Talleres
€47.45m
Velez S
€63.53m
Preview
Friday night under the lights of Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, two struggling giants of Argentine football lock horns in a match that reeks of urgency. Talleres, sitting 21st with a meager 13 points, host a Velez Sarsfield side that’s somehow found themselves even deeper in the mire—29th, with just 8 points to their name. If this were a boxing match, the referee might be checking both fighters for a pulse. But here’s the twist: Talleres’ recent 1-1 draw against River Plate (a result priced at a juicy 5.4 for the draw) proved they’ve still got some fight left. Velez? Their season is less 'phoenix rising' and more 'smoke alarm blaring at 3 AM.'
The bookmakers aren’t exactly tossing confetti for this one. A home win for Talleres sits at a modest 2.0, while the draw and away win are priced at 3.18 and 3.9 respectively. But here’s where it gets interesting: NerdyTips’ top pick is the 1X (Home Win or Draw) at 1.25 odds—a 7.7/10 confidence rating. Even the cold, calculating AI agrees, leaning toward a straight home win (2.0 odds, 6.6 confidence). Why? Because Velez’s away form is about as reliable as a weather forecast in Patagonia. Talleres, meanwhile, might not be world-beaters, but they’ve at least shown they can scrap for points when it matters.
If you’re expecting a goal-fest, you might want to adjust those expectations. The AI predicts Under 2.5 Goals (1.52 odds, 6.4 trust) with a likely 1-0 final score and a goalless first half. Velez’s attack has been about as threatening as a deflated balloon—they’re averaging just 7 shots per game compared to Talleres’ 17. And while Talleres should dominate possession (60% projected), don’t mistake that for swashbuckling football. They’re more likely to patiently prod than go all guns blazing, with just 4 on-target shots expected. Velez, meanwhile, will probably spend 40% of the game chasing shadows—and racking up fouls (4 expected yellow cards).
Here’s a stat that’ll make Talleres fans nod knowingly: home teams win 43.4% of Liga Profesional matches, while away sides triumph just 25.9% of the time. The last time these two met, Talleres nicked a 1-0 win (odds: 2.01 vs. Velez’s 3.8). Patterns matter in football, and this one suggests Velez’s misery isn’t ending soon. Oh, and here’s a quirky footnote: Velez’s squad is valued at €63.53m compared to Talleres’ €47.45m. Yet, they’re the ones flirting with the drop zone. Someone’s not getting their money’s worth.
So, what’s the play here? Expect a match that’s more grit than glamour. Talleres won’t dazzle, but they don’t need to—Velez’s attack is about as potent as a spoon in a knife fight. The smart money says back Talleres to win (or at least avoid defeat), and don’t be surprised if this ends 1-0 with a goal scraped from a set-piece or a defensive blunder. If corners won matches, Talleres’ 6 expected ones might just save their season. Alas, they don’t. But on Friday night, three points will do just fine.
Final tip: Talleres 1-0, under 2.5 goals, and a Velez player seeing yellow for dissent after a questionable offside call. Some things in football are just inevitable.
Friday night under the lights of Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, two struggling giants of Argentine football lock horns in a match that reeks of urgency. Talleres, sitting 21st with a meager 13 points, host a Velez Sarsfield side that’s somehow found themselves even deeper in the mire—29th, with just 8 points to their name. If this were a boxing match, the referee might be checking both fighters for a pulse. But here’s the twist: Talleres’ recent 1-1 draw against River Plate (a result priced at a juicy 5.4 for the draw) proved they’ve still got some fight left. Velez? Their season is less 'phoenix rising' and more 'smoke alarm blaring at 3 AM.'
The bookmakers aren’t exactly tossing confetti for this one. A home win for Talleres sits at a modest 2.0, while the draw and away win are priced at 3.18 and 3.9 respectively. But here’s where it gets interesting: NerdyTips’ top pick is the 1X (Home Win or Draw) at 1.25 odds—a 7.7/10 confidence rating. Even the cold, calculating AI agrees, leaning toward a straight home win (2.0 odds, 6.6 confidence). Why? Because Velez’s away form is about as reliable as a weather forecast in Patagonia. Talleres, meanwhile, might not be world-beaters, but they’ve at least shown they can scrap for points when it matters.
If you’re expecting a goal-fest, you might want to adjust those expectations. The AI predicts Under 2.5 Goals (1.52 odds, 6.4 trust) with a likely 1-0 final score and a goalless first half. Velez’s attack has been about as threatening as a deflated balloon—they’re averaging just 7 shots per game compared to Talleres’ 17. And while Talleres should dominate possession (60% projected), don’t mistake that for swashbuckling football. They’re more likely to patiently prod than go all guns blazing, with just 4 on-target shots expected. Velez, meanwhile, will probably spend 40% of the game chasing shadows—and racking up fouls (4 expected yellow cards).
Here’s a stat that’ll make Talleres fans nod knowingly: home teams win 43.4% of Liga Profesional matches, while away sides triumph just 25.9% of the time. The last time these two met, Talleres nicked a 1-0 win (odds: 2.01 vs. Velez’s 3.8). Patterns matter in football, and this one suggests Velez’s misery isn’t ending soon. Oh, and here’s a quirky footnote: Velez’s squad is valued at €63.53m compared to Talleres’ €47.45m. Yet, they’re the ones flirting with the drop zone. Someone’s not getting their money’s worth.
So, what’s the play here? Expect a match that’s more grit than glamour. Talleres won’t dazzle, but they don’t need to—Velez’s attack is about as potent as a spoon in a knife fight. The smart money says back Talleres to win (or at least avoid defeat), and don’t be surprised if this ends 1-0 with a goal scraped from a set-piece or a defensive blunder. If corners won matches, Talleres’ 6 expected ones might just save their season. Alas, they don’t. But on Friday night, three points will do just fine.
Final tip: Talleres 1-0, under 2.5 goals, and a Velez player seeing yellow for dissent after a questionable offside call. Some things in football are just inevitable.
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1X -400
Talleres to win or draw with odds of -4001100
Talleres is expected to win with odds of 100Under 2.5 -192
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -149
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -159
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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3
-
5
-
7
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Talleres |
18-Apr-25
0:1
| Velez S ![]() |
Velez S |
22-Jul-24
3:0
| Talleres ![]() |
Talleres |
30-Mar-24
1:0
| Velez S ![]() |
Velez S |
05-Nov-23
1:1
| Talleres ![]() |
Talleres |
06-Mar-23
1:2
| Velez S ![]() |
Velez S |
13-Oct-22
2:1
| Talleres ![]() |
Talleres |
11-Aug-22
0:1
| Velez S ![]() |
Velez S |
04-Aug-22
3:2
| Talleres ![]() |
Talleres |
20-Nov-21
1:1
| Velez S ![]() |
Talleres |
07-Apr-21
1:1
| Velez S ![]() |
| 08 Nov |
Talleres .
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-
| Platense.
| |
| 01 Nov | W |
Velez S.
|
0:1
| Talleres .
|
| 10 Nov | Gimnasia L.P. |
- |
Velez S.![]() | |
| 01 Nov | L | Velez S. |
0:1 |
Talleres .![]() |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Centra |
14 | 18-7 | 30 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Ries |
14 | 18-10 | 27 |
| 3 |
Lanus |
14 | 16-11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Velez Sarsfiel |
14 | 19-10 | 25 |
| 5 |
San Lorenzo |
14 | 12-10 | 22 |
| 6 |
River Plate |
14 | 20-13 | 21 |
| 7 |
San Martin S.J |
14 | 10-11 | 18 |
| 8 |
Talleres Cordo |
14 | 8-12 | 17 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Juni |
14 | 10-15 | 16 |
| 10 |
Gimnasia L.P. |
14 | 9-16 | 16 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucum |
14 | 14-18 | 15 |
| 12 |
Instituto Cord |
14 | 8-15 | 15 |
| 13 |
Independiente |
14 | 12-13 | 12 |
| 14 |
Platense |
14 | 12-21 | 12 |
| 15 |
Godoy Cruz |
14 | 9-16 | 11 |