Torino hosts Empoli at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on March 15, 2025, at 19:45 UTC, with the home side favored at 1.83 odds to claim all three points. Empoli, sitting at 4.6 odds for an upset, will look to defy expectations once again after their shock win over Juventus.

Statistically, home teams in Serie A have won 41.1% of matches in recent years, giving Torino a slight edge. However, Empoli’s recent form suggests they are no strangers to surprises. In their last head-to-head meeting, Empoli edged out a 2-1 victory, despite being underdogs.

Our AI model gives Torino a 5.2/10 trust rating to win, predicting a 2-1 final score. The expected halftime score is 1-0, suggesting Torino might take early control. The possession forecast also leans towards the home side at 58%, with Torino expected to register 12 shots (4 on target), compared to Empoli’s 8 shots (1 on target).

Looking at the goal market, 75.1% of Serie A matches have seen over 1.5 goals, making the over 1.5 goals bet at 1.38 odds a solid option. However, with only 51.2% of games surpassing the 2.5-goal mark, a cautious approach might be advisable.

Discipline-wise, Torino is expected to receive 1 yellow card, while Empoli could pick up 2. Corners are predicted to total 8, with Torino earning 5 and Empoli 3.

While Torino’s squad value of €185.70m dwarfs Empoli’s €88.00m, money alone doesn’t win matches. Empoli’s ability to punch above their weight is evident, but Torino’s home advantage and statistical superiority make them the logical pick.

Final verdict? Torino to win at 1.83 odds remains the best bet, but don’t rule out Empoli making things difficult. Expect a close encounter with goals on the board.