Match Prediction
Match Prediction
South-Korea
Ulsan Citizen
€2.01m
Gyeongju HNP
€350.00Th.
Preview
If you’re searching for a fresh Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP prediction ahead of the K3 League meeting on June 28, 2025, you’re in the right place. Let’s set the scene: Ulsan Complex Stadium, 11:00 GMT, two teams with very different recent stories, and a set of betting odds that might just tempt you to root for the underdog. Grab a coffee—let’s break down the numbers, the narratives, and the best bets for this intriguing fixture.
Picture this: Ulsan Citizen, market value of €2.01m, hosting Gyeongju HNP, valued at just €350.00Th. On paper, the home side looks like the heavyweight, but recent results tell a different story. Their last head to head on August 25, 2024, saw Gyeongju HNP storm to a 4-1 away win, defying the odds (Ulsan Citizen at 3.3, Gyeongju HNP at 2.17). That result still stings for the home fans.
But don’t count Ulsan Citizen out just yet. Remember their gritty 0:0 draw against Busan I Park on March 24, 2024? They were massive underdogs (odds 6.93), but they held firm, showing the kind of resilience that makes football so unpredictable. If you’re looking for a team that loves to spoil the script, Ulsan Citizen is your pick.
Let’s talk betting odds for this one:
Gyeongju HNP are clear favorites, but the K3 League has a habit of keeping things interesting. Across the league, home teams win 35.8% of the time, away teams 32.3%, and draws come in at 31.9%. So, while the bookies see this as a one-sided affair, the stats suggest the home side and the draw are more likely than the odds imply.
If you’re expecting a goal-fest, you might want to temper those expectations. Here’s how the K3 League shapes up:
With only about one in five matches seeing more than three goals, the under 3.5 goals market (odds 1.25, trust rating 6.6/10) looks like a smart play. It’s not the flashiest bet, but sometimes the best wins are the ones that don’t make headlines.
The last meeting was a tough lesson for Ulsan Citizen, but football has a funny way of offering second chances. Gyeongju HNP’s recent dominance is clear, but Ulsan’s underdog spirit—especially at home—shouldn’t be underestimated. The market values suggest Ulsan should be stronger, but recent results say otherwise.
Here’s how the Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP prediction shapes up:
Why under 3.5 goals? Simple: only 21.6% of K3 League games go above that mark, and both teams have shown a knack for tight, low-scoring affairs. The 1X prediction is a bit riskier, but with home teams and draws combining for 67.7% of league results, it’s not as wild as the odds suggest.
It’s easy to get lost in the stats, but every match has its own story. Ulsan Citizen have shown they can dig deep as underdogs, while Gyeongju HNP have the recent head to head edge. The league’s trends point to a close, cagey contest—perfect for those who appreciate the tactical chess match as much as the goals.
So, whether you’re backing the favorites or hoping for another underdog story, keep an eye on the numbers—but don’t forget the heart and grit that make football so much fun to watch. For this Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP prediction, NerdyTips’ best bet is under 3.5 goals, and if you’re feeling brave, a cheeky punt on the home side or draw could be worth a look.
Whatever you choose, enjoy the game—and may your bets be as sharp as your insights!
Read More
U3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4001X 125
Ulsan Citizen to win or drawUnder 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -139
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 151
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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2
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3
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3
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 Ulsan C |
25-Aug-24
1:4
| Gyeongju HNP  |
| Gyeongju HNP |
28-Apr-24
1:2
| Ulsan C |
| Gyeongju HNP |
01-Jul-23
0:0
| Ulsan C |
| Ulsan C |
18-Mar-23
2:1
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
20-Aug-22
2:0
| Ulsan C |
| Ulsan C |
23-Apr-22
1:2
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Ulsan C |
15-Sep-21
1:1
| Gyeongju HNP |
| Gyeongju HNP |
16-May-21
2:2
| Ulsan C |
South-Korea - K3 League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gimhae City | 28 | 48-20 | 61 |
| 2 |
Siheung Citize | 28 | 45-25 | 57 |
| 3 |
Pocheon | 28 | 47-28 | 55 |
| 4 |
Daejeon Korail | 28 | 48-32 | 49 |
| 5 |
Gyeongju HNP | 28 | 34-29 | 45 |
| 6 |
Busan Transpor | 28 | 35-34 | 44 |
| 7 |
Changwon City | 28 | 31-23 | 43 |
| 8 |
Yangpyeong | 28 | 27-24 | 43 |
| 9 |
Yeoju Sejong | 28 | 31-35 | 36 |
| 10 |
Paju Citizen | 28 | 27-32 | 36 |
| 11 |
Gangneung City | 28 | 38-45 | 31 |
| 12 |
Chuncheon | 28 | 27-37 | 30 |
| 13 |
Ulsan Citizen | 28 | 20-38 | 21 |
| 14 |
Jeonbuk Motors | 28 | 28-51 | 20 |
| 15 |
Mokpo City | 28 | 18-51 | 16 |
