Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Qatar
UMM Salal
€8.52m
Al Wakrah
€19.05m
Preview
There’s something quietly intriguing about the upcoming match between UMM Salal and Al Wakrah, set to kick off at 15:00 GMT on April 4 at the Grand Hamad Stadium. On paper, it might look like a straightforward win for the visitors, but if football has taught us anything, it’s that surprises often lurk where we least expect them. Still, this one might be a bit more predictable than most.
UMM Salal are stepping into this fixture as underdogs—and the odds don’t sugarcoat it. With a home win priced at 3.5 and a draw at 3.6, the bookmakers clearly lean toward an Al Wakrah victory, currently sitting at 1.92. And there’s good reason for that.
Let’s start with the basics: squad value. Al Wakrah's roster is worth a healthy €19.05 million, more than double UMM Salal’s €8.52 million. That financial muscle often translates into depth, quality, and consistency. Combine that with recent form, including a solid 2-0 win over UMM Salal just a few weeks ago on March 16, and it’s easy to see why the odds are what they are.
But it’s not just about money and history. Al Wakrah are expected to dominate possession, holding the ball 57% of the time, and take slightly more shots—15 compared to UMM Salal’s 14. While that might sound close, the quality of those chances could make all the difference. Al Wakrah are also expected to get more shots on target (5 versus 4), and when you add in the AI’s predicted final score of 3-0 in favor of the away side, the picture becomes clearer.
So, what does our AI think? The smartest AI bet for UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah is the double chance on the away side—meaning Al Wakrah to win or draw—with a confidence level of 8.5 out of 10 and odds of 1.26. If you're looking for a straight 1x2 pick, the AI leans toward an Al Wakrah win with 8.3 trust and odds of 1.92. Not exactly a moonshot, but a solid bet nonetheless.
For those who like a little more action, the AI also suggests going for over 2.5 goals, though with a slightly lower confidence of 6.2. Given that 60.8% of Stars League matches have featured three or more goals, there’s some statistical backing there too. We’re predicting a halftime score of 0:1 and a full-time result of 0:3, which would certainly cash that over ticket.
It’s not all doom and gloom for the home side. UMM Salal do have a reputation for pulling off the occasional upset—just ask Al Sadd, who were stunned 3-1 by UMM Salal last September despite the odds being stacked heavily against them (12.0 to win, to be exact). So while history and stats might not be on their side this time, there’s always a chance they could catch Al Wakrah napping.
Still, the numbers don’t lie. In the Stars League, home teams win 38.5% of the time, and away sides are just a tick behind at 38.4%. Draws occur in about 23.2% of matches—so while the split is fairly even overall, the specific dynamics of this matchup tilt things toward the visitors.
Expect a game with plenty of action. Both teams are predicted to combine for 13 corners, and while Al Wakrah are expected to be more disciplined with just one yellow card, UMM Salal might be a bit more aggressive, with a forecast of three bookings. That could reflect the pressure they’ll be under, especially if they’re chasing the game early.
It’s hard to look past Al Wakrah in this one. They’ve got the better squad, stronger recent form, and a tactical edge going into the match. Unless UMM Salal can channel the same energy they brought against Al Sadd last year, they’ll likely find themselves on the back foot for most of the 90 minutes.
So, if you’re placing a bet or just following the action, keep an eye on how the first half unfolds. If Al Wakrah go into the break with a lead, as predicted, it might be smooth sailing from there. Either way, this match promises to be an interesting one—not necessarily for the drama, but for how efficiently Al Wakrah might get the job done.
Read More
X2 -385
Al Wakrah to win or draw with odds of -3852 -109
Al Wakrah is expected to win with odds of -109Over 2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 125
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -238
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
0:3
|
|
12
-
7
-
14
|
|
 Al Wakrah |
26-Sep-25
3:2
| UMM Salal  |
| Al Wakrah |
07-May-25
1:4
| UMM Salal |
| UMM Salal |
04-Apr-25
0:1
| Al Wakrah |
| Al Wakrah |
01-Nov-24
3:0
| UMM Salal |
| Al Wakrah |
12-Oct-24
2:0
| UMM Salal |
| UMM Salal |
16-Mar-24
0:2
| Al Wakrah |
| Al Wakrah |
29-Oct-23
2:1
| UMM Salal |
| Al Wakrah |
09-Sep-23
0:5
| UMM Salal |
| UMM Salal |
21-Feb-23
0:0
| Al Wakrah |
| Al Wakrah |
07-Oct-22
3:5
| UMM Salal |
Recent Matches of UMM Salal| 29 Nov | W |
Al-Waab.
|
1:2
| Umm-Salal.
|
Recent Matches of Al Wakrah
Qatar - Stars League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Sadd | 22 | 62-23 | 52 |
| 2 |
Al-Duhail SC | 22 | 51-20 | 50 |
| 3 |
Al-Gharafa | 22 | 41-30 | 41 |
| 4 |
Al Ahli Doha | 22 | 38-39 | 35 |
| 5 |
Al-Rayyan SC | 22 | 45-35 | 33 |
| 6 |
Al Shamal | 22 | 41-34 | 32 |
| 7 |
Al Shahaniya | 22 | 31-43 | 27 |
| 8 |
Al Wakrah | 22 | 27-40 | 25 |
| 9 |
Al-Arabi SC | 22 | 32-49 | 23 |
| 10 |
Qatar SC | 22 | 26-44 | 23 |
| 11 |
UMM Salal | 22 | 27-43 | 21 |
| 12 |
Al-Khor | 22 | 21-42 | 13 |
