icon back

Match Prediction

Union St Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction

Finished
Belgium flag Belgium
Jupiler Pro League

Union S

€85.75m

16 Aug14:45
3 : 0

Standard Liege

€44.40m

Preview

Union S vs Standard Liege Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Union St Gilloise vs Standard Liege Prediction: Can USG Extend Their Dominance?

The Union St Gilloise vs Standard Liege prediction leans heavily toward another home victory for the reigning Belgian champions. With USG's recent dominance and Standard's struggles, this Jupiler Pro League fixture promises intrigue—but will it follow the script? Let’s break it down.

Tactical Battle: Wing Play Meets Defensive Resilience

Union St Gilloise, under Sébastien Pocognoli, have perfected a 3-5-2 system that thrives on wing play and set-piece efficiency. Their Polish set-piece specialist has turned dead balls into a weapon, while center-back Christian Burgess anchors a defense that concedes just 1 goal per game on average. With 68% expected possession and 15 total shots projected, USG will look to overwhelm Standard Liege early.

Standard, meanwhile, are in rebuild mode. Coach Mircea Rednic favors a four-defender setup but faces injury headaches, including the absence of key midfielder Casper Nielsen. Their head-to-head record against USG is grim: just 2 wins in 11 meetings, including a 3-0 thrashing last March. With only 0.6 goals per game in their last 10 league matches, Standard’s attack looks toothless.

Key Players to Watch

  • Raul Florucz (USG): The league’s top scorer this season (3 goals) will test Standard’s shaky backline.
  • Marlon Fossey (Standard): Scored against Genk—can he spark an upset?
  • Kevin Mac Allister (USG): Defensive rock crucial to USG’s high line.

AI Insights: Why USG Is the Smart Bet

Our betting odds analysis leaves little room for doubt. USG’s win probability sits at 8.8/10 confidence, with odds of 1.33. Here’s what the numbers say:

  • Final Score Prediction: 2-1 to Union St Gilloise (1-0 at half-time).
  • Total Goals: Under 3.5 (1.41 odds) aligns with their past meetings’ 3.09 average.
  • Expected Stats: 7 on-target shots for USG vs. Standard’s 1—a telling disparity.

Historical Context & Betting Tips

USG’s 11-game unbeaten league run contrasts sharply with Standard’s 14-winless streak. Add USG’s home advantage (3 wins in last 5 H2Hs here) and the betting tips write themselves:

  1. Home Win (1.33): The safest pick given form and squad value (€85.75m vs. €44.4m).
  2. Under 3.5 Goals: Both teams’ recent trends support a tighter game.
  3. Florucz to Score: The Israeli winger loves a big stage.

Final Verdict: A Routine Night for the Champions?

Unless Standard Liege pulls off a tactical masterclass—or USG’s injury list worsens—this Union St Gilloise vs Standard Liege prediction points to a comfortable home win. The AI’s 2-1 scoreline suggests Standard might sneak a goal, but USG’s firepower should prevail. For bettors, the home win at 1.33 is the standout choice in the 1x2 market.

One thing’s certain: at Stade Joseph Marien, the champions rarely disappoint.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Avoid first matches from a league!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Union S vs Standard Liege

1 -303

Union S is expected to win with odds of -303
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -303

Union S is expected to win with odds of -303
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 125

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -476

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

68%
Ball Possession
32%
15
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
1
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.04
Expected Goals
0.61
2.7
Total Goals
1.3
2
Goals Scored
0.9
0.7
Goals Against
0.4
47%
Possession
41%
12.9
Total Shots
8.8
5.6
Shots on Goal
3.1
4.1
Shots off Goal
3.1
11.9
Fouls
11.5
5.1
Corners
3.4
2
Offsides
1.9
2.63
Yellow Cards
1.88
0
Red Cards
0.13
361
Total Passes
342

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
5
5
Over 2.5 Goals
1
4
Over 3.5 Goals
0
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Union St Gilloise
6 - 2 - 1
Standard Liege
Union St Gilloise Union S 09-Mar-25
3:0
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 20-Sep-24
0:0
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 25-Feb-24
2:1
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 04-Aug-23
0:1
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 18-Feb-23
2:4
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 13-Nov-22
2:3
Union S Union St Gilloise
Standard Liege Standard 03-Apr-22
1:3
Union S Union St Gilloise
Union St Gilloise Union S 28-Aug-21
4:0
Standard Standard Liege
Standard Liege Standard 30-Jun-21
0:0
Union S Union St Gilloise

Profile time Recent Matches of Union S

09 Dec Union S Union S.
-
Marseille. Marseille
06 DecD Union S Union S.
1:1
Gent. Gent
03 DecW Union S Union S.
2:1
Waregem. Waregem

Profile time Recent Matches of Standard

12 DecSt. Liege St. Liege.
-
Leuven.Leuven
06 DecWCercle B Cercle B.
1:2
St. Liege.St. Liege

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill17
32-10
37
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden17
26-20
33
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV17
24-17
32
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht17
23-17
31
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen17
21-18
27
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege17
16-20
24
7 Gent Gent17
25-25
23
8 Genk Genk17
21-23
23
9 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem17
23-23
22
10 Antwerp Antwerp17
18-18
20
11 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo17
25-26
20
12 Charleroi Charleroi17
18-22
19
13 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvi17
12-17
18
14 OH Leuven OH Leuven17
18-27
16
15 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge17
20-26
13
16 Dender Dender17
14-27
12
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches