Union St. Gilloise welcomes Standard Liège to Stade Joseph Mariën on March 9, 2025, at 18:15 UTC, and all signs point to a home win. The bookmakers have priced a Union victory at 1.35, while a draw sits at 5.0, and an away shocker is at 8.25. Given these odds, it’s clear that the hosts are the heavy favorites.

Our AI-backed prediction strongly supports a home win (1) with a confidence level of 5.6/10. While not the most rock-solid bet, it’s still the best option available. Union has been dominant this season, and with 65% expected possession, they should control the tempo. They are also projected to take 17 shots, with 7 on target, compared to Standard's 8 shots, with only 2 likely to trouble the keeper.

One interesting trend? We expect a goalless first half (0:0) before Union breaks through in the second, with a predicted final score of 2:1. That aligns with our Over 2.5 goals bet, which has a confidence rating of 3.5/10 and odds of 1.62. Not the safest over bet, but worth considering.

Historically, home teams win 38.9% of Jupiler Pro League matches, while away sides only claim victory 27.7% of the time. Plus, in their last head-to-head clash on February 25, 2024, Union triumphed 2:1—a result we might just see again.

Standard Liège did pull off a shock 2:1 away win over Club Brugge recently, with odds of 9.5, so they have the potential for surprises. However, Union’s squad value of €72.25m compared to Standard’s €66.30m suggests they have the stronger team.

Expect a competitive match, but Union should have the edge. If you're looking for a solid bet, the home win at 1.35 is the safest option. Want a bit more risk? The Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 could be worth a shot.