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Match Prediction

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

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Japan flag Japan
J1 League

Urawa

€20.52m

20 Apr03:00
3 : 1

Yokohama

€17.17m

Preview

Urawa vs Yokohama  Prediction J1 League

The Saitama Stadium 2002 will host a fascinating J1 League encounter on April 20, 2025, as Urawa, sitting comfortably in 9th place with 16 points, welcome a struggling Yokohama F. Marinos side languishing in 19th with just 8 points. The 12-point gap between them tells a story of two teams on very different trajectories this season. For Urawa, this is a chance to solidify their mid-table standing; for Yokohama, it’s a desperate fight to keep their heads above water.

A Tale of Two Form Lines

Urawa’s season has been a mix of resilience and missed opportunities. Their home form, though not flawless, has been a source of stability, with the squad’s €20.52m market value reflecting a slight edge in quality over Yokohama’s €17.17m roster. Meanwhile, Yokohama’s campaign has been nothing short of a nightmare. Their defense, leaking goals at an alarming rate, has been as reliable as a sinking ship—hence their position just above the relegation zone.

The last time these two met, Urawa walked away with a 2-1 victory, a result that will weigh heavily on Yokohama’s psyche. History, however, is just one piece of the puzzle. The real question is whether Yokohama can summon the fight needed to turn their season around—or if Urawa will simply outclass them once more.

Tactical Chess: Possession vs Efficiency

Statistically, this match promises to be a tight, tactical affair. Yokohama are expected to dominate possession (53% to Urawa’s 47%), but possession alone won’t win games. Urawa’s efficiency in front of goal could be the difference-maker—they average 4 shots on target per game compared to Yokohama’s 3. If they can convert those chances, Yokohama’s shaky backline will crumble under pressure.

Set pieces could also play a role, with both teams averaging 4 corners per game. This balance in wide play suggests neither side will dominate aerially, making clinical finishing even more crucial. Given the league’s 41.4% over-2.5-goals rate and Yokohama’s defensive woes, a low-scoring grind isn’t guaranteed—but the smart money leans toward a controlled, tense battle.

Betting Insights: Where’s the Value?

The odds tell their own story: Urawa are slight favorites at 2.35, with the draw at 3.4 and Yokohama at 2.88. Home advantage matters in the J1 League—home teams win 36.4% of matches, compared to just 29.3% for away sides. NerdyTips’ AI model reinforces this, favoring a 1X double chance at 1.4 odds (6.5/10 trust rating). It’s a safe bet, aligning with Urawa’s home resilience and Yokohama’s dire form.

For those eyeing the goal markets, under 3.5 goals at 1.36 odds (5.3/10 trust) makes sense. Both teams’ shot data (11 vs 10 total shots, 4 vs 3 on target) points to a game decided by fine margins rather than a goal fest. And with an expected low card count (just 1 yellow each), this won’t be a fiery derby—just a calculated battle for points.

Final Prediction: Urawa to Edge It

All signs point to a 2-1 victory for Urawa, mirroring their last meeting. A 1-1 halftime scoreline seems likely, with Urawa’s superior efficiency in front of goal proving decisive late on. Yokohama’s desperation might lead to fleeting moments of promise, but their defensive frailties will likely undo them once more.

For bettors, the 1X double chance is the standout pick, offering solid value given the context. Pair it with under 3.5 goals for a well-rounded wager that reflects both teams’ tendencies and the broader J1 League trends. In a match where every point matters, Urawa’s home edge should see them through.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Urawa vs Yokohama

1X -250

Urawa to win or draw with odds of -250
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 135

Urawa is expected to win with odds of 135
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -161

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -149

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.1
Total Goals
2.7
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
1
Goals Against
1.3
50%
Possession
56%
11.3
Total Shots
11.6
4
Shots on Goal
4.2
4.7
Shots off Goal
4.6
7.9
Fouls
11.4
4.3
Corners
4
1.4
Offsides
1.8
0.71
Yellow Cards
1.25
0
Red Cards
0
458
Total Passes
505

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Urawa
9 - 6 - 15
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa Urawa 20-Apr-25
3:1
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama 30-Oct-24
0:0
Urawa Urawa
Urawa Urawa 06-May-24
2:1
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa Urawa 15-Oct-23
2:0
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama 11-Oct-23
1:0
Urawa Urawa
Urawa Urawa 06-Aug-23
0:0
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama 25-Feb-23
2:0
Urawa Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama 29-Oct-22
4:1
Urawa Urawa
Urawa Urawa 18-May-22
3:3
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa Urawa 20-Nov-21
2:1
Yokohama Yokohama F. Marinos

Profile time Recent Matches of Urawa

06 DecW Urawa Reds Urawa Reds.
4:0
Kawasaki . Kawasaki

Profile time Recent Matches of Yokohama

06 DecLKashima Kashima.
2:1
Yokohama .Yokohama

Japan - J1 League Japan - J1 League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Kashima Kashima37
56-30
73
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol37
59-34
72
3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga37
60-40
65
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiro37
44-27
65
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe37
46-31
64
6 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia37
52-37
60
7 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Front37
67-53
57
8 Urawa Urawa37
41-39
56
9 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka37
49-54
54
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka37
59-54
52
11 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo37
40-47
49
12 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka37
34-37
48
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-puls37
40-49
44
14 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Ma37
45-45
43
15 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy37
22-37
43
16 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayam37
32-42
42
17 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus37
43-56
40
18 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC37
24-44
32
19 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmar37
35-61
32
20 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigat37
35-66
23
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