Venezia welcomes Napoli to Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo on March 16, 2025, for what promises to be an intriguing Serie A showdown. While the hosts will be eager to pull off an upset, the bookmakers and our AI suggest otherwise. With odds of 1.5, Napoli is the clear favorite, and our AI backs them to take all three points with a confidence rating of 5.7/10.

Napoli’s squad value of €361.55m dwarfs Venezia’s €66.50m, highlighting the gulf in quality between the two sides. Historically, away teams win 30.9% of Serie A matches, and Napoli’s recent form suggests they can add to that tally. Their last encounter in 2022 saw Napoli cruise to a 2-0 victory, and a similar outcome could be on the cards.

Looking at the expected match dynamics, Napoli is projected to dominate possession (59%) and create more chances, with an estimated 15 shots compared to Venezia’s 8. The visitors are also expected to register 5 shots on target, while Venezia may struggle with just 2.

For bettors eyeing the 1x2 market, the best tip is a Napoli win (2) at 1.5 odds, backed by a trust rating of 5.8. If you're looking for an alternative bet, consider the Under 3.5 goals market, which comes with a confidence rating of 5.7 and odds of 1.28. Our AI predicts a 1-2 final score, with Napoli likely leading 0-1 at halftime.

Discipline-wise, expect a relatively clean game, with Venezia picking up 2 yellow cards and Napoli just 1. Corners should be fairly even, with Napoli edging it 5-3.

While Venezia pulled off a surprise away win against Como recently, Napoli’s stunning victory over Inter suggests they are in strong form. Given the stats, squad value, and historical trends, backing Napoli to win at 1.5 odds looks like the smartest bet. Will Venezia defy the odds? Stranger things have happened in football, but we wouldn’t bet on it!