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Match Prediction

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eerste Divisie

Vitesse

€5.72m

9 May14:00
3 : 1

Den Bosch

€7.03m

Preview

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Prediction Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Prediction: A Tale of Two Fortunes

The 2024-25 Eerste Divisie season has been a story of extremes, and the Vitesse vs Den Bosch prediction for May 9th at GelreDome encapsulates it perfectly. Vitesse, rock-bottom with a heartbreaking 2 points from 37 games, host a mid-table Den Bosch side (9th, 55 points) in what could be a final act of defiance—or another chapter of misery. The odds reflect the drama: a Vitesse home win at 1.83, a draw at 4.15, and an away win at 3.5. But as any football fan knows, numbers only tell half the story.

Contrasting Seasons, High Stakes

Vitesse’s campaign has been nothing short of disastrous. With a squad valued at €5.72m—less than Den Bosch’s €7.03m—they’ve become the league’s cautionary tale. Yet football loves an underdog, and their 3.5 away win over Excelsior (odds 7.4) proved they can punch above their weight. Den Bosch, meanwhile, arrives with confidence after a 3.5 demolition of Emmen (odds 5.0). The head-to-head dynamics are fascinating: will Vitesse’s desperation trump Den Bosch’s consistency?

Key Stats That Shape the Narrative

  • League Positions: Vitesse (20th, 2 pts) vs Den Bosch (9th, 55 pts).
  • Squad Values: Vitesse (€5.72m) vs Den Bosch (€7.03m).
  • Historical Trends: Home teams win 44.4% of Eerste Divisie matches; away sides take 30.5%.

Betting Tips: Where Logic Meets Gut Feeling

The AI system’s betting tips lean cautiously toward Vitesse (trust 3.5.150, odds 1.83), predicting a 1.83 win with a 1-0 halftime lead. Stats back this: Vitesse should dominate possession (59%), outshoot Den Bosch (16 to 11), and earn more corners (7 to 5). But here’s the twist—the same AI recommends under 3.5 goals (odds 1.71, confidence 3.3.50), aligning with league trends (only 36.4% of games exceed 3.5 goals).

Why Under 3.5 Goals Makes Sense

  1. Vitesse averages just 0.6 goals per game; Den Bosch isn’t prolific (1.4 away).
  2. Only 58.2% of Eerste Divisie matches see over 2.5 goals.
  3. Both teams score in just 57% of games—tight defenses could prevail.

The X-Factors: Discipline and Set-Pieces

Expect a physical battle: Vitesse is projected to receive 1 yellow card, Den Bosch 2. With 12 total corners, dead-ball situations might decide the game. Den Bosch’s higher league position suggests composure, but Vitesse’s home crowd could ignite a rare spark. Remember: in the Eerste Divisie, 78.4% of matches feature over 1.5 goals—so a slow start isn’t likely.

Final Verdict: High Risk, High Reward?

The Vitesse vs Den Bosch prediction hinges on whether you believe in miracles or cold, hard stats. Here’s the cheat sheet:

  • Best Value Bet: Vitesse win (1.83). Risky, but the odds are tempting for a desperate home side.
  • Safe Pick: Under 3.5 goals (1.71). The numbers don’t lie.
  • Dark Horse: Correct score 1.83 to Vitesse. If their shots find the target, it’s plausible.

One thing’s certain: this isn’t just a game—it’s a microcosm of football’s unpredictability. Whether you’re backing the underdog or playing it safe, May 9th at GelreDome promises drama.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.47

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Vitesse vs Den Bosch

U3.5 -141

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -141
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -120

Vitesse is expected to win with odds of -120
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -141

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -244

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -139

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1.2
1.2
Goals Against
1.6
56%
Possession
45%
13.4
Total Shots
11.3
5
Shots on Goal
4.1
4.7
Shots off Goal
4.7
13.7
Fouls
10.8
6.7
Corners
5.8
1.8
Offsides
2.4
1.56
Yellow Cards
1.9
0
Red Cards
0
430
Total Passes
343

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Vitesse
1 - 0 - 1
Den Bosch
Vitesse Vitesse 09-May-25
3:1
Den Bosch Den Bosch
Den Bosch Den Bosch 18-Oct-24
4:2
Vitesse Vitesse

Profile time Recent Matches of Vitesse

07 Dec Vitesse Vitesse.
-
Oss. Oss
04 DecL Vitesse Vitesse.
1:2
De Graafscha. De Graafschap
01 DecL Jong Ajax Jong Ajax.
2:0
Vitesse. Vitesse

Profile time Recent Matches of Den Bosch

05 DecLCambuur Cambuur.
2:1
Den Bosch.Den Bosch

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Volendam FC Volendam38
87-48
82
2 Excelsior Excelsior38
74-38
74
3 Cambuur Cambuur38
63-42
71
4 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag38
69-47
70
5 Dordrecht Dordrecht38
69-46
68
6 De Graafschap De Graafschap38
73-50
65
7 Telstar Telstar38
69-47
61
8 Emmen Emmen38
56-53
56
9 Den Bosch Den Bosch38
53-48
55
10 Jong AZ Jong AZ38
69-63
52
11 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven38
58-64
51
12 Roda Roda38
49-57
49
13 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport38
53-61
46
14 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo38
44-69
41
15 MVV MVV38
52-59
40
16 FC OSS FC OSS38
31-61
38
17 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax38
37-52
36
18 Jong PSV Jong PSV38
55-86
30
19 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht38
31-82
23
20 Vitesse Vitesse38
54-73
5
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