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Match Prediction

Wexford vs Kerry Prediction

Finished
Ireland flag Ireland
First Division

Wexford

€25.00Th.

27 Jun14:45
4 : 3

Kerry

-

Preview

Wexford vs Kerry Prediction First Division

Wexford vs Kerry Prediction: Betting Preview, Odds & Insights for Ferrycarrig Park

As the sun dips behind the rolling hills of County Wexford, Ferrycarrig Park prepares for a Friday evening brimming with anticipation. The latest First Division fixture—Wexford vs Kerry—kicks off at 19:45 GMT on June 27, 2025, promising a contest where every point matters. For punters and football fans alike, the Wexford vs Kerry prediction is more than just numbers; it's a tale of recent upsets, statistical intrigue, and the ever-present unpredictability of Irish football. Let’s break down the story behind the odds, the trends, and the best bets for this encounter.

Setting the Scene: Why This Fixture Matters

Both Wexford and Kerry enter this match with plenty to prove. Wexford, playing on home turf, will look to capitalize on familiar surroundings, while Kerry, the underdog by odds, have already shown they can upset the apple cart. The significance of this fixture is amplified by the league’s razor-thin margins: home teams win just 36.2% of the time, with away teams not far behind at 28.6%. Draws are common currency in this division, occurring in 35.3% of matches—a stat that could shape your betting strategy.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions: Where’s the Value?

  • Home Win (Wexford): 2.0
  • Draw: 3.25
  • Away Win (Kerry): 3.55

The betting odds reflect a tight contest, with Wexford favored but not overwhelmingly so. NerdyTips’ AI leans towards a Kerry victory, albeit with a modest trust rating of 3.4/10—hardly a ringing endorsement, but enough to raise eyebrows given Kerry’s previous exploits. The predicted final score? A narrow 0:1 win for Kerry, with a goalless first half expected. If you’re seeking a bold pick, the away win at 3.55 offers tempting value, especially considering Kerry’s ability to surprise.

Best Bet: Under 3.5 Goals

When it comes to sports betting, sometimes the best value is found in the margins. NerdyTips’ AI highlights under 3.5 goals (odds 1.25, trust rating 7.0/10) as the most profitable bet. Why? Only 27.1% of First Division matches see more than 3.5 goals, and the predicted scoreline (0:1) fits snugly within this trend. If you prefer a safer wager, this market looks tailor-made for a low-scoring affair.

Head to Head: What History Tells Us

Any thorough Wexford vs Kerry prediction must consider recent head to head results. Their meeting on March 21, 2025, saw Kerry edge Wexford 2:1, despite Wexford being favorites (odds 1.8 vs 3.8). This result underscores Kerry’s knack for defying expectations—something that should not be overlooked when assessing the current betting odds.

  • Wexford’s notable away win over Cobh Ramblers (1:3, odds 5.5) on April 4, 2025, shows they can deliver when underestimated.
  • Kerry’s 2:2 draw with Bohemians on August 18, 2024, where Bohemians were overwhelming favorites (odds 1.28), reinforces their resilience against stronger sides.

League Trends: What the Numbers Reveal

The First Division is a haven for draws and low-scoring games. Both teams have scored in just 45.5% of matches, while over 3.5 goals is a rare sight at 27.1%. More than half of games (65.6%) see over 1.5 goals, but less than half (45.5%) exceed 2.5 goals. These stats dovetail perfectly with the AI’s predicted 0:1 scoreline and the under 3.5 goals recommendation. In short, expect a tactical, cagey affair rather than a goal-fest.

Wexford vs Kerry Prediction: Expert Betting Tips

So, how should you approach this fixture from a sports betting perspective? Here’s a concise summary to guide your picks:

  1. Under 3.5 Goals (1.25): Supported by league trends, AI predictions, and recent head to head results. The safest bet on the board.
  2. Kerry to Win (3.55): A riskier play, but with historical precedent and generous odds. Kerry have shown they can upset the odds, and the AI gives them a fighting chance.
  3. Draw (3.25): Given the league’s high draw rate, this is a value option for those who like to play the percentages.

In conclusion, the Wexford vs Kerry prediction points to a tight, low-scoring contest where defense may trump attack. Whether you’re chasing value in the away win or playing it safe with under 3.5 goals, the data and past encounters suggest this is a fixture where caution—and a touch of boldness—could pay off handsomely. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the drama as it unfolds at Ferrycarrig Park.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Wexford vs Kerry

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 255

Kerry is expected to win with odds of 255
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -110

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
2.4
0.9
Goals Scored
1.1
1.3
Goals Against
1.3

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Wexford
6 - 3 - 1
Kerry
Kerry Kerry 16-May-25
1:1
Wexford Wexford
Wexford Wexford 21-Mar-25
1:2
Kerry Kerry
Wexford Wexford 11-Oct-24
4:0
Kerry Kerry
Kerry Kerry 28-Jun-24
1:1
Wexford Wexford
Wexford Wexford 17-May-24
2:0
Kerry Kerry
Kerry Kerry 29-Mar-24
1:1
Wexford Wexford
Kerry Kerry 06-Oct-23
1:2
Wexford Wexford
Wexford Wexford 11-Aug-23
3:2
Kerry Kerry
Kerry Kerry 26-May-23
0:6
Wexford Wexford

Ireland - First Division Ireland - First Division

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dundalk Dundalk36
74-31
79
2 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers36
70-38
69
3 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers36
63-53
62
4 UCD UCD36
50-40
59
5 Treaty United Treaty United36
51-48
48
6 Longford Town Longford Town36
43-59
45
7 Wexford Wexford36
42-51
44
8 Finn Harps Finn Harps36
42-55
36
9 Kerry Kerry36
38-58
33
10 Athlone Town Athlone Town36
29-69
20
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