Abha vs Al Anwar AI Tips

Match overview (Saudi First Division / Yelo League)

Abha welcome newly promoted Al Anwar in the Saudi First Division (Yelo League) with very different objectives as the season moves into its final third. Abha have been setting the pace at the top and are pushing hard for an immediate return to the Saudi Pro League, while Al Anwar’s priority is to keep a safe gap from the relegation conversation.

Kick-off is set for 2026-02-24 at 18:45 UTC in Saudi Arabia, at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium—one of the tougher away trips in the division this season.

Abha vs Al Anwar odds and what they imply

The 1X2 market is strongly tilted toward the hosts:

Match odds

Home win: 1.33
Draw: 4.5
Away win: 7.5

Those prices reflect a clear expectation: Abha control the match, Al Anwar defend deep, and the visitors need efficiency (and probably a bit of luck) to take something.

For context, league-wide results over the last four years show home wins at 39.0%, draws at 32.6%, and away wins at 28.4%. Even in a league where draws are common, this fixture is priced as a home-leaning spot.

Best betting tip and AI prediction

NerdyTips’ model points firmly in one direction:

Best tip

Best Tip: 1 (Abha to win) — confidence 10.0/10 at odds 1.33

The 1X2 prediction also lands on:

1X2 call

Prediction: 1 — trust level 10.0, odds 1.33

If you want to compare this match with other data-led picks, you can find more at Football Predictions with AI.

Goals market: Over/Under 2.5

The suggested lean is toward goals, but with moderate confidence:

Over 2.5 goals

Prediction: Over 2.5 — confidence 5.5, odds 1.58

This is interesting because the league baseline for Over 2.5 is 45.2%, so it’s not an automatic “goals league.” The case for the over here is more match-specific: Abha’s attack has been productive lately, and Al Anwar’s recent games have also been open.

A practical betting angle: if you like Abha to win but find 1.33 short, pairing a home win with a goals line (or looking at in-play overs if Abha start fast) can sometimes offer better value—always depending on your risk tolerance.

Form guide: what recent results suggest

Abha recent form

Abha come in with a perfect run in their last 10 matches: 10 wins, averaging 2.1 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per game. Seven of those 10 went over 2.5 goals, which supports the idea that Abha can win with margin when they get on top.

They’ve also shown they can handle pressure moments: a notable example was holding a strong opponent to a 2–2 draw despite being priced as clear underdogs in that match.

Al Anwar recent form

Al Anwar have 4 wins in their last 10, scoring 2.0 per game but conceding 1.8 on average—numbers that often lead to volatile scorelines. Seven of their last 10 also cleared Over 2.5, but that comes with a warning sign for bettors: they can score, yet they also allow chances.

They’ve shown they can resist expectations away from home too, including a recent road draw at very long odds—useful evidence that they won’t automatically fold when priced as outsiders.

Tactical expectations: how this match may be played

Abha are expected to take the initiative with a proactive approach: higher tempo, pressure in the opponent’s half, and sustained possession. Al Anwar’s most realistic route is compact defending and quick transitions, trying to turn a few moments into high-quality chances.

The model’s match flow projections align with that:

Projected match stats

Possession: Abha 65% vs Al Anwar 35%
Total shots: 14 vs 6
Shots on target: 7 vs 2
Corners: 6 vs 1 (7 total)
Yellow cards: 1 vs 3

If those numbers are close to reality, it points to a familiar Saudi First Division pattern: the home side pins the visitor back, racks up set pieces, and the away side spends long spells defending and breaking up play (often reflected in cards).

Correct score and half-time angle

Model score picks

Correct score: 2–1
Half-time: 1–0

A 1–0 half-time call fits the “home control” script: Abha start on the front foot, get the first goal, then the game opens up later as Al Anwar chase. For bettors, this can translate into angles like Abha to lead at half-time, or second-half goals if the match state forces the visitors to take more risks.

Key match narratives (without relying on player news)

Home strength matters in the Yelo League

Abha’s home ground has been a genuine advantage this season, with the crowd and travel factor often showing up in the tempo of visiting teams. In a division where draws are frequent, strong home performance is one of the clearest signals bettors can lean on.

Newly promoted teams can be unpredictable

Al Anwar’s first season at this level has included both resilience and defensive lapses. That mix is exactly why the away win is priced high, but also why “both teams to score” remains a live idea in certain game states—league-wide, BTTS lands at 50.8%, and the projected 2–1 score suggests the visitors may still find a moment.

Betting summary: safest angles vs value angles

Main pick

Abha to win (1) @ 1.33 is the clearest selection, supported by form, projected dominance, and the model’s maximum confidence.

Secondary lean

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.58 is plausible but not as strong—treat it as a supporting angle rather than the core bet, especially given the league’s moderate Over 2.5 rate.

Scoreline lean

2–1 is a reasonable “script” bet (home control, away response), but correct scores are high variance—best used for small stakes only.

Responsible betting note

Odds and predictions are tools, not guarantees. Keep stakes consistent, avoid chasing losses, and consider line movement and confirmed team news closer to kick-off.

If you are interested in other leagues, check our Amazonense betting tips and predictions.