Al-Fateh vs Al-Raed: Betting Insights & Predictions

Al-Fateh and Al-Raed meet in the Saudi Pro League, with the home side entering as favorites. With odds of 1.56 for an Al-Fateh win, 3.82 for a draw, and 5.6 for an Al-Raed victory, the market leans heavily towards the hosts. However, could there be value in backing the underdogs? Let’s break down the key betting angles.

Al-Fateh’s Strength at Home

Al-Fateh has been inconsistent in recent matches, winning 4 of their last 10 while averaging 1.2 goals per game. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding 2.2 goals per match. Despite this, they dominate possession, averaging 47.3%, and take 15.8 shots per game, suggesting they create plenty of chances.

Their last meeting with Al-Raed ended in a 3-1 victory, reinforcing their dominance in this fixture. Additionally, Al-Fateh recently secured a win against Al-Qadisiyah, despite entering as underdogs with odds of 5.0.

Al-Raed’s Struggles on the Road

Al-Raed has been in poor form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. They average 0.9 goals per game while conceding 2.1, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Their possession rate of 46% and 8 shots per game indicate a lack of attacking threat.

However, they have pulled off surprises before, such as their 1-0 away win against Al-Ettifaq, where they were priced at 5.25. This suggests they can grind out results when underestimated.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

The best betting tip for this match is over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.62 and a confidence rating of 3.6/10. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, with 7 of Al-Fateh’s last 10 matches and 6 of Al-Raed’s last 10 surpassing the 2.5-goal mark.

Predicted Match Flow

Al-Fateh is expected to control possession (60%), take more shots (22 total, 7 on target), and win more corners (7 vs. 3). Al-Raed, meanwhile, will likely sit deep and look for counter-attacks. The AI predicts a 0-3 away win, though Al-Fateh’s attacking stats suggest they could still find the net.

Final Thoughts

While Al-Fateh is the clear favorite, Al-Raed’s ability to pull off shock results makes this an intriguing betting opportunity. The safest bet appears to be over 2.5 goals, given both teams’ defensive struggles and recent high-scoring encounters. Bettors looking for value might also consider an Al-Raed win at 5.6, though confidence in this outcome is low.

For those seeking a well-researched bet, backing goals in this fixture seems the smartest approach.