Posted on January 13, 2026

Al Sailiya vs Qatar SC: Match Predictions

Derby context, stakes, and venue

Al Sailiya vs Qatar SC in the Qatar Stars League always carries extra edge, and this edition matters for very different reasons. Al Sailiya are scrapping for points near the bottom, while Qatar SC sit in the mid-table pack and want to steady the ship after dropping points recently. Kick-off is set for 16:30 UTC at the Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium). For more data-driven angles, see Best AI Football Predictions.

Match odds and what the market implies

The 1X2 prices lean toward the visitors: Home win 3.45, Draw 3.45, Away win 2.05. In league-wide terms, away wins (38.5%) are almost as common as home wins (39.0%) across the last four years, so the market’s Qatar SC preference isn’t out of step with Stars League trends.

Best bet: Over 2.5 goals

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 with a strong 7.0/10 confidence (our model: 7.1/10). The numbers back it up:
League profile: 60.5% of Stars League matches go over 2.5, and 55.7% see both teams score.
Team profile: Al Sailiya games clear over 2.5 in 65.8% of their last 73; Qatar SC do it in 62.2% of their last 98.
Recent form: Al Sailiya have seen 8/10 over 2.5, while Qatar SC have 7/10. Both are conceding 2.0 per match lately, which is the kind of defensive leakage that turns one goal into three quickly.

Tactically, the projection also screams goals: expected possession 39% vs 61% suggests Qatar SC will dictate territory, while the shot forecast (9–18 total shots; 2–4 on target) points to sustained away pressure and enough home moments to contribute.

1X2 prediction: Qatar SC to win

Our 1X2 call is Qatar SC (2) at 2.05, but with a modest 4.2/10 confidence—because derby games in Qatar can swing on a single spell, a set piece, or a red-hot goalkeeper. Still, the underlying match script favours the visitors: more ball, more shots, and a corner edge (4–6).

Historically, Qatar SC have had the upper hand overall (22 wins to 12 since 2006), and direct meetings average around 3.06 goals—another nod toward the overs angle. Yes, Al Sailiya once hit Qatar SC for eight (8–0 in 2021), but the more typical pattern is open, trading football.

Correct score lean and in-play angles

Model lean: 1–2 full-time, with 1–1 at half-time. That aligns with Al Sailiya’s need to chase points and Qatar SC’s attacking tools (with João Pedro a key finisher). If the first 20 minutes are lively, Over 2.5 looks even stronger; if it’s cagey, consider waiting for a better in-play price rather than forcing pre-match stakes.