Apollon Limassol vs Enosis: Bet of the day
Match Overview
The Cypriot First Division presents an intriguing encounter as Apollon Limassol hosts Enosis Neon Paralimni on September 21, 2025. Both teams enter this fixture seeking their first points of the 2025-2026 season, adding significant importance to this early campaign match. Apollon, historically one of Cyprus’s most successful clubs with multiple league titles, faces Enosis, a team traditionally fighting to maintain their top-flight status.
Statistical Analysis
Our analysis leverages comprehensive data from the Cypriot First Division over the past four seasons, revealing important trends. Home teams have won 36.9% of matches, while away teams secured victory in 27.8% of games, with draws occurring in 35.3% of fixtures. Both teams scored in just 39.8% of matches, indicating generally tight defensive performances across the league.
Examining team-specific statistics: Apollon Limassol has won 40.7% of their last 140 matches, while Enosis has secured victories in 32.1% of their previous 106 games. Both teams scored in exactly 44.3% of matches for both clubs, showing remarkable consistency in this metric.
Recent Form and Head-to-Head
Apollon’s recent form shows 4 wins in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.1 goals conceded per game. Enosis also recorded 4 wins in their last 10 fixtures, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded on average. Their most recent encounter on July 18, 2025, saw Apollon secure a convincing 4-1 victory, though historical results show this was an outlier rather than the norm.
Betting Markets and Value Opportunities
The moneyline odds present Apollon Limassol as strong favorites at 1.49, with the draw at 3.8 and Enosis victory at 6.5. Our predictive analysis, powered by advanced statistical modeling, identifies X2 (Double Chance – Away Win or Draw) at 2.45 as the most compelling value bet for this fixture.
This recommendation aligns with several key factors: Enosis’s respectable away record, the historical draw rate in the Cypriot First Division (35.3%), and both teams’ need to avoid early-season defeats. The odds of 2.45 represent significant value compared to the implied probability.
Goals Market Analysis
The Under/Over 2.5 goals market shows clear value in the under selection at 1.65 odds. Both teams have demonstrated defensive tendencies in recent matches, with Apollon conceding 2.1 goals per game and Enosis allowing 1.5 goals on average. Historical league data supports this approach, with only 41.8% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
Our prediction model suggests a 0-1 correct score with a 0-0 halftime score, further reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring affair. This aligns with both teams’ current form and the tactical approaches typically seen in early-season Cypriot football.
Final Betting Recommendations
Based on our comprehensive analysis of historical data, current form, and market odds, we recommend two primary bets for this fixture:
X2 (Double Chance – Away Win or Draw) at 2.45 – This offers excellent value given Enosis’s ability to compete away from home and the high draw probability in the league
Under 2.5 Goals at 1.65 – The statistical evidence strongly supports a low-scoring encounter between these two sides
These selections provide a balanced approach to betting this match, combining strong statistical backing with favorable odds value. Always remember to bet responsibly and within your means.