Ilioupoli vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: Predictions

Ilioupoli vs Olympiakos Piraeus II Match Preview

Derby day in Ilioupoli: points, pressure, and promotion dreams

Ilioupoli welcome Olympiakos Piraeus II to Stadio Ilioupolis for a Super League 2 afternoon that feels very “Greek football”: tight margins, tactical nerves, and huge stakes at both ends of the table. Ilioupoli are stuck in the lower half (19th of 21), staring at the relegation picture, while Olympiakos II arrive in 4th, chasing a place in the promotion group before the regular season wraps up.

Match odds (1X2) and what the market is saying

Home win: 2.20 | Draw: 3.35 | Away win: 3.05
The pricing suggests Ilioupoli have a real chance at home on paper—but their home record tells a harsher story: no home wins this season (0W-1D-7L). That contrast is exactly where value-hunters start asking questions.

Form guide: why this feels like a “must-not-lose” game

Ilioupoli’s recent run is rough (1 win in the last 5), and the season numbers underline the struggle: just 2 wins overall, with goals hard to find. They’ve been conceding too often, and when you’re chasing games in Super League 2, it usually turns into long balls, second balls, and frustration.

Olympiakos Piraeus II, on the other hand, have been steadier lately (3 wins in the last 5) and are conceding less across that spell. Recent results like the 1-0 win over Marko (Jan 11, 2026) and 2-1 vs Panargiakos (Dec 21, 2025) fit the profile of a team that knows how to manage moments.

Tactical angle: cautious hosts vs vertical visitors

Ilioupoli’s numbers (10 scored, 28 conceded in 15) point toward a pragmatic plan: protect the middle, keep the lines compact, and try to steal something on counters or set pieces.

Olympiakos II are likely to mirror the senior club’s modern identity: direct, vertical football, aggressive pressing, and quick transitions—often in a 4-2-3-1 that can drop into a 4-4-2 without the ball. Expect intensity, wide deliveries, and a focus on winning second balls.

Best bet and AI predictions

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 flags the safest angle as goals-related: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.31, confidence 4.3/10). Our model also leans the same way for totals: Under 3.5 (confidence 4.4/10). That fits the league trend too—only 22.7% of Super League 2 matches go over 3.5 goals.

For the 1X2, the prediction is away win (2) at odds 3.05, but with a modest confidence (3.0/10). Translation for bettors: the price is tempting, yet variance is real—consider staking responsibly.

Projected match flow supports a controlled scoreline: possession 54%-46%, shots 6-6, on target 2-2, corners 2-3. The model’s projected score: 1-2 (HT 0-1).