Istanbul Derby AI Tips: Eyupspor vs Besiktas

Match context and betting angle

Eyupspor welcome Besiktas to Eyüp Stadı in Istanbul (Süper Lig, Turkey), with kick-off set for 17:00 UTC. It’s an all-Istanbul derby with very different objectives: Eyupspor have been fighting to stay clear of the drop zone, while Besiktas are pushing to keep pace near the top end of the table.

Bookmakers reflect that gap clearly: Home win 7.50, Draw 4.75, Away win 1.42. For bettors, this is a classic “favorite away” spot where the key question is whether Besiktas can turn control into a professional three points.

Best bet and AI prediction

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 makes the away win the standout selection. The top 1X2 call is Besiktas to win (2) @ 1.42 with a 10.0/10 confidence rating. You can compare markets and reasoning via NerdyTips football analysis.

Projected match script supports the price: expected possession 37%–63% and shots 7–21 (on target 2–8) point to sustained Besiktas pressure. The model leans to a controlled result, with a predicted final score of 0:2 and half-time 0:1.

Form guide: recent vs longer-term level

Eyupspor’s last 10 matches: 3 wins, 1.4 scored per game, 1.5 conceded, with 6 games over 2.5 goals. Their average possession (46.6%) and shots (9.7) suggest they can compete in phases, but they often struggle to limit high-volume opponents.

Besiktas arrive with 7 wins in 10, scoring 2.0 and conceding just 0.9 per game, plus 18 shots per match on average—numbers more in line with their stronger multi-season standard as a title-chasing “Büyük” club.

Extra markets to consider

Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.57 (confidence 4.2/10), which fits a disciplined Besiktas away approach, but the lower confidence suggests prioritizing the straight away win.

Notable recent signals: Eyupspor’s surprise 1:1 away draw at Konyaspor (odds 7.7) shows resilience, yet the latest H2H (2025-02-21) ended Eyupspor 1–3 Besiktas—another reminder of the quality gap.