Maranguape vs Maracana Tips & Predictions

Match context: points, pressure, and the relegation phase

Maranguape welcome Maracana to Estádio Francisco Cardoso de Morais with both sides trying to steady themselves in the early rounds of the 2026 Cearense – 1 season. With this fixture tied to the relegation phase narrative, every point feels heavy: Maranguape want to turn home turf into a lifeline, while Maracana travel needing a result to stop the slide and rebuild confidence.

Form guide and what it suggests for bettors

Maranguape: home urgency, uneven rhythm

Recent results point to a team searching for consistency: one win and three defeats in their first four league matches, including losses to Floresta (0-3), Ceará (0-1) and Iguatu (0-2), plus a narrow 1-0 win over CEFAT. Over their last 10 overall, Maranguape have 5 wins, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded—numbers that hint at competitiveness, but not necessarily open games.

Maracana: tight margins, low scoring trend

Maracana’s start has been harsh with four straight losses, including Fortaleza (0-1) and Horizonte (1-2). Their broader 10-game profile is more conservative: 4 wins, just 0.8 goals scored per match and 0.8 conceded, with only 3 of those 10 going over 2.5 goals. They’ve also shown they can frustrate bigger names—like the surprising 1-1 draw away to Ceará in 2024 when Ceará were strongly fancied.

League stats that shape the betting angle

Cearense – 1 trends (last 4 years) lean balanced: home wins 40.9%, away wins 29.6%, draws 29.6%. Goals are often controlled: only 40.9% go over 2.5, and both teams score in 45.9%. That backdrop supports a cautious read here.

NerdyTips predictions and best bets

Best tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.49, confidence 4.9/10). The model expects a tactical match with few clear chances, matching the projected scoreline.

1X2 market

Draw (X) is the lean (odds 2.85, trust 2.0/10). It’s a lower-trust call, but it fits the idea of two teams prioritizing not losing.

Correct score thoughts

Expected final score: 0-0, with 0-0 at half-time—ideal for under backers and a warning for anyone chasing goals.

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Odds: Home 3.15 | Draw 2.85 | Away 2.28