Nouakchott King’s vs Gendrim: Match Predictions
Nouakchott King’s vs Gendrim Preview (Mauritanian Premier League)
Nouakchott King’s welcome Gendrim in Mauritania’s Super D1 on 2026-01-25 with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. It’s a capital-city derby with real pressure on the home side: King’s are sitting 11th (10 points from 13 matches) and need results to stay clear of the relegation fight. Gendrim, 7th with 19 points, arrive with a realistic target of finishing in the top half.
For more data-driven picks, see Football Forecasts by AI.
1X2 Odds and Market Read
The bookmakers install Nouakchott King’s as narrow favourites:
Match odds
Home win: 1.88 | Draw: 3.10 | Away win: 3.90
Those prices suggest the market still respects King’s at home, but the underlying form points the other way. King’s have 0 wins in their last 10, while Gendrim have 4 wins in their last 10. When a “favourite” can’t convert games into wins, the value often sits with the double chance or the away price.
Best Bet and AI Predictions
NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 rates the safest angle as the away side avoiding defeat.
Best tip
X2 (Gendrim win or draw) at 1.71 (AI confidence: 2.6/10)
1X2 lean
Our 1X2 prediction: 2 (Gendrim to win) at 3.90 (confidence: 1.2/10)
The confidence is low because Mauritanian league games can swing on small moments (set pieces, pitch conditions, game management), and King’s draw a lot. Still, the away win price is attractive given the away team’s profile.
Why the Numbers Support X2
Over a larger sample, Nouakchott King’s have won 24.5% of their last 49 matches, while Gendrim have won 28.3% of their last 46—already a slight edge to Gendrim.
The bigger signal is King’s tendency to share points: draws make up 53.1% of their matches. That draw-heavy DNA fits the X2 angle perfectly: even if King’s don’t lose, they often don’t win either.
Recent form strengthens the case:
– Nouakchott King’s last 10: 0W, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game
– Gendrim last 10: 4W, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game
Also notable: Gendrim’s season away record is reported as excellent (5W-1D-1L), which is exactly what bettors want when taking X2 or a straight away win.
Goals Betting: Under 2.5 in Focus
Under/Over tip: Under 2.5 goals at 1.58 (confidence: 1.0/10)
Both teams trend low-scoring over time: only 32.7% of King’s matches and 30.4% of Gendrim matches went over 2.5 goals. King’s recent results also include tight scorelines (0-0, 1-1 patterns), including a morale-boosting 1-1 away at Nouadhibou despite huge pre-match odds.
Correct Score Picks
Predicted half-time score: 0:0
Predicted full-time score: 0:1
That matches the idea of a cautious first half, then Gendrim using their stronger away habits to nick the key goal.
Head-to-Head Note
Their last meeting (2024-12-14) ended Nouakchott King’s 2-1 Gendrim. That result is a reminder this derby can ignore reputations—another reason to prioritise X2 over an aggressive stake on the away win.