Pachuca W vs Toluca W: AI Football Predictions

Liga MX Femenil: A Battle of Form and Firepower

Pachuca W and Toluca W meet in what promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Liga MX Femenil season. While Pachuca enters as heavy favorites, Toluca’s recent performances suggest an upset could be brewing. The odds reflect Pachuca’s dominance (1.4 for a home win), but our AI-driven analysis highlights value in backing Toluca at 6.11.

Recent Form and Key Stats

Pachuca W has been ruthless, winning 60.6% of their last 71 matches and averaging 2.7 goals per game in their last 10. Their 9-0 demolition of Mazatlán earlier this season showcased their attacking firepower, led by Charlyn Corral, the league’s top scorer last term. However, Toluca W is no pushover—they’ve won 44.6% of their last 56 games and arrive with momentum after a 3-1 away win against Tijuana.

Historically, home teams win 51.8% of Liga MX Femenil matches, but Toluca’s recent resilience (6 wins in their last 10) makes them a live underdog. Their new signings, including French star Eugénie Le Sommer, add quality and unpredictability.

Betting Tips and AI Insights

Best Bet: AS (Away Team to Score) at 1.5
Our AI gives this a 5.0/10 confidence rating, and the stats back it up. Toluca W has scored in 80.4% of their matches this season, and Pachuca’s defense, while solid, isn’t impenetrable. With both teams scoring in 51.8% of Toluca’s games, this bet offers solid value.

Value Pick: Toluca W to Win (2) at 6.11

The odds suggest a slim chance (16.4% implied probability), but Toluca’s recent form and Pachuca’s occasional defensive lapses make this a high-reward play. Their 3-2 win in the last H2H meeting proves they can topple Pachuca.

Over 2.5 Goals at 1.44

A safer option, given both teams’ attacking tendencies. Pachuca’s matches average 3.5+ goals 50.7% of the time, while Toluca’s games exceed 2.5 goals in 66.1% of cases. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Final Thoughts

Pachuca W is the logical favorite, but Toluca W’s recent form and attacking additions make them a dangerous opponent. For bettors, AS (Away Team to Score) is the standout choice, while those chasing bigger payouts should consider Toluca’s upset potential. With both teams likely to contribute to the scoreline, over 2.5 goals also looks a strong play.

Keep an eye on Toluca’s new signings—if Le Sommer and Van de Sanden click, this could be the surprise result of the week.