Wexford vs Longford Town AI Tips & Predictions
Wexford vs Longford Town: Expert Betting Insights
Ready for another thrilling Friday night in Ireland’s First Division? Wexford welcomes Longford Town in a fixture that’s sure to draw the attention of football punters and fans alike. With both sides eager to climb the table, this contest promises plenty of intrigue for those seeking value in their football bets.
Wexford vs Longford Town Odds & Market Overview
The bookmakers have Wexford as clear favourites at 1.62 for the home win, while Longford Town are out at 4.75, and the draw sits at 3.92. These odds reflect Wexford’s stronger recent form and home advantage, but Longford Town’s underdog status could tempt those looking for a bigger payout.
AI Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
The top AI-powered tip for this match is under 3.5 goals, with a confidence rating of 5.4/10 and odds of 1.39. This prediction is grounded in the statistical trends of both teams and the wider First Division. Despite both sides having a history of high-scoring matches, recent form suggests a tighter affair could be on the cards.
Statistical Breakdown: What the Numbers Say
Let’s dive into the stats that matter for your betting slip:
League Trends
– Home teams win 36.1% of matches, away teams 28.6%, and draws occur 35.3% of the time.
– 45.6% of games see both teams score.
– Over 1.5 goals lands in 65.7% of matches, over 2.5 in 45.6%, and over 3.5 in just 27.2%.
Team Performance
– Wexford have won 38.7% of their last 124 games, while Longford Town have a 26.9% win rate from their last 119.
– Both teams have a similar draw rate (Wexford 28.2%, Longford 30.3%).
– Over 1.5 goals lands in 83.9% of Wexford games and 80.7% of Longford’s.
– Over 2.5 goals is seen in 57.3% of Wexford matches and 56.3% for Longford Town.
– Both teams scored in 58.1% of Wexford’s fixtures and 57.1% of Longford’s.
Recent Form
– Wexford: 2 wins from last 10, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
– Longford Town: 1 win in 10, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded.
– Both sides have seen 4 of their last 10 games finish with over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head & Recent Surprises
Wexford took the spoils in their last meeting (3-1) back in April, underlining their superiority in this fixture. That match had odds stacked in Wexford’s favour, and they delivered. However, Longford Town have shown they can spring a surprise, as seen in their recent 1-1 draw with Cobh Ramblers—a result that defied the odds.
Betting Analysis: Where’s the Value?
While Wexford’s home form and higher win percentage make them favourites, their recent goal output has dipped. Longford Town, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net but have shown resilience, especially away from home. The AI’s preference for under 3.5 goals aligns with both teams’ recent matches, where goals have been hard to come by.
Best Bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39
Given that both teams have seen only 4 of their last 10 matches go over 2.5 goals, and considering the league’s overall rate for under 3.5 goals (72.8%), this tip offers a solid blend of safety and value for cautious punters.
Predicted Outcome & Correct Score
The AI leans towards a narrow away win, predicting a 0:1 scoreline for Longford Town. The trust level for this 1×2 prediction is low (2.0), reflecting the risk involved. However, the odds of 4.75 for an away win could entice those chasing a bigger return, especially given Wexford’s inconsistent form.
Half-time is expected to be cagey, with a predicted 0:0 scoreline—suggesting a slow start before the game opens up in the second half.
Interesting Team Facts
– Wexford have built a reputation as tough hosts, often making life difficult for visiting sides in the First Division.
– Longford Town, despite a challenging season, are known for their resilience and ability to grind out results against the odds.
– Both clubs have a history of producing tight, tactical encounters, often decided by fine margins.
Final Thoughts & Betting Strategy
For those seeking a safe bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.39 stands out as the top pick. If you’re feeling adventurous, the away win at 4.75 offers big value, though it carries more risk given Longford Town’s recent struggles in front of goal.
As always, consider the stats, recent form, and league trends before placing your bets. This fixture has all the makings of a close, tactical battle—ideal for punters who favour careful, data-driven football tips.
Stay tuned for more First Division betting previews and expert football predictions, powered by the latest performance data and AI insights. Good luck, and may your bet land!