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Match Prediction

AEL Larissa vs Aris Prediction

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18 Jan11:00
1 : 0

Aris

€35.70m

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AEL Larissa vs Aris Prediction Super League 1

AEL Larissa vs Aris Prediction: Odds, Tips & Betting Insights

Welcome to our AEL Larissa vs Aris prediction for the Super League 1, brought to you by the team at NerdyTips. As the Greek football season heats up, this Round 17 fixture on January 18, 2.076, at the AEL Arena promises to be a fascinating sports betting opportunity. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just looking for some smart betting odds, our preview covers all the angles — from recent form and tactical trends to head to head history and AI-generated tips.

Team Form, Tactics & Key Stats

Let’s start with the facts: AEL Larissa are struggling this season. Sitting 13th in the Super League table with just 10 points, their home record is especially worrying — zero wins, four draws, and four losses. Fans in Larissa have seen their team go nine matches without a win and, perhaps most painfully, fail to find the net in their last two outings. Even the dramatic 2.07 draw against Panathinaikos on December 7, 2.075, felt more like a rare bright spot than a sign of a turnaround.

Aris, meanwhile, are perched in 7th place with 20 points. Their away form isn’t spectacular (three wins, one draw, four losses), but it’s a world away from Larissa’s woes. In their last five games, Aris have chalked up two wins, two draws, and just one loss. They also have history on their side, having won the last three meetings with Larissa, including a 2-1 victory just a few weeks ago.

  • Head to head: Since 2.076, these sides have met 23 times; Larissa have only managed two wins, Aris nine, and there have been 12 draws. At the AEL Arena, draws are common — six in the last eight meetings.
  • Squad value: Aris are valued at €35.70m, dwarfing Larissa’s €9.73m. Money doesn’t always buy happiness, but it certainly helps in football.
  • Possession & shots forecast: Expect Aris to control the ball (56% possession), with more shots (13 to 10) and an edge in corners (3 to 2).

Tactically, Aris often line up in a 4.2-3-1, blending high pressing with careful possession. They’ve kept seven clean sheets in their last ten matches — a testament to their defensive organization, even if it sometimes gets them in the referee’s notebook. Larissa, under new manager Savvas Pantelidis, are still searching for a winning formula, and their lack of goals is a real concern.

Player News & Staff Updates

Larissa head into this match with a clean bill of health — a rare luxury for a team in their position. Aris, on the other hand, are missing several key players due to injuries, including Donis, Fabiano, Voriazidis, Alfarela, Sonko Sundberg, Dioudis, and Kadewere. Loren Morón, their top scorer with seven goals, is walking a disciplinary tightrope, but remains a major threat. Monchu is the creative spark, leading the team in big chances created.

  • Managers: Savvas Pantelidis (Larissa, appointed December 2.075) vs. Manolo Jiménez (Aris, experienced and tactically astute).
  • Technical Directors: Thomas Kyparissis (Larissa) and Ruben Reyes Diaz (Aris).

AI Betting Tips, Odds & Final AEL Larissa vs Aris Prediction

Now, let’s get to what everyone’s here for: the sports betting tips and odds. The bookmakers see Aris as favorites — and for good reason. Here’s how the numbers stack up:

  1. Home win: 4.2
  2. Draw: 3.35
  3. Away win: 2.07

Our AI at NerdyTips gives the X2 (Aris win or draw) bet a trust level of 8.5/10 at odds of 1.26 — a strong, safe option for cautious punters. For those who like a bit more risk, the straight Aris win (2) is the best 1x2 bet, with a trust score of 8.0 and odds of 2.07. Given Larissa’s goal drought and Aris’s defensive discipline, the under 3.5 goals market (odds 1.25, trust level 7.1) looks attractive too.

  • Final score prediction: 0-2 to Aris
  • Halftime prediction: 0-1 to Aris
  • Expected corners: 5 total (Larissa 2, Aris 3)
  • Yellow cards: 2 each (no Greek drama here, just steady bookings)

So, what’s the smart play? The AEL Larissa vs Aris prediction is clear: Aris are favorites for a reason. History, squad value, recent form, and AI sports betting models all point in their direction. Larissa’s only hope may be to channel their 1987-88 championship spirit, but don’t bet your souvlaki on it.

Best Bets for AEL Larissa vs Aris

  • X2 (Aris win or draw) at odds of 1.26 — high trust, low risk
  • Away win (2) at odds of 2.07 — good value for braver punters
  • Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25 — both teams struggle to score freely

In summary, our AEL Larissa vs Aris prediction is a professional away performance from Aris, who should have enough quality (and motivation) to get the job done. Good luck with your sports betting — and remember, even the best tips can’t predict the unpredictable magic of Greek football!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AEL Larissa vs Aris

X2 -385

Aris to win or draw with odds of -385
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 107

Aris is expected to win with odds of 107
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -500

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -263

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

0.85
xG
1.18
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.88
Expected Goals
0.95
2.6
Total Goals
1.8
0.6
Goals Scored
0.8
2
Goals Against
1
39%
Possession
44%
10
Total Shots
11.2
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.2
4.9
Shots off Goal
4.4
16.4
Fouls
13.2
2.6
Corners
3.3
2.5
Offsides
1.9
3
Yellow Cards
2.43
306
Total Passes
348

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

AEL Larissa
1 - 3 - 4
Aris
Aris Aris 29-Nov-25
2:1
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
Aris Aris 10-Aug-21
0:0
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
Aris Aris 26-Jan-21
1:0
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 02-Dec-20
0:3
Aris Aris
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 11-Jan-20
0:0
Aris Aris
Aris Aris 28-Sep-19
2:3
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 20-Jan-19
0:0
Aris Aris
Aris Aris 02-Sep-18
2:0
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa

Profile time Recent Matches of AEL Larissa

07 MarL AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0
28 FebL OFI Crete OFI Crete 3 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0
22 FebD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 PAOK PAOK 1
15 FebD Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1
07 FebL AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 Panetolikos Panetolikos 4
31 JanW Volos Volos 0 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 2
24 JanW AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0
18 JanW AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 Aris Aris 0
10 JanD Kifisia Kifisia 1 AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1
21 DecD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 0 Atromitos Atromitos 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Aris

07 MarDAris Aris 0 Atromitos Atromitos 0
01 MarLPanathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 Aris Aris 1
22 FebDAris Aris 1 Kifisia Kifisia 1
14 FebDVolos Volos 1 Aris Aris 1
08 FebDAris Aris 0 PAOK PAOK 0
31 JanWPanetolikos Panetolikos 0 Aris Aris 1
25 JanDAris Aris 2 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2
18 JanLAEL Larissa AEL Larissa 1 Aris Aris 0
14 JanLPanathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 Aris Aris 0
11 JanDAris Aris 1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PAOK PAOK23
48-15
53
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos23
42-11
53
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC23
43-15
53
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos23
38-24
42
5 Levadiakos Levadiakos23
49-30
39
6 Aris Thessalonikis Aris23
20-25
28
7 OFI OFI23
31-41
28
8 Atromitos Atromitos23
24-27
27
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC23
23-34
27
10 Kifisia Kifisia23
29-37
24
11 Panetolikos Panetolikos23
22-37
21
12 Larisa Larisa23
21-37
21
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras23
20-37
16
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos23
15-55
12
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