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Match Prediction

AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos Prediction

Finished

AEL Larissa

€10.35m

7 Dec10:30
2 : 2

Panathinaikos

€92.10m

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AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos Prediction Super League 1

AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos Prediction: Expert Analysis & Betting Tips

Welcome to our comprehensive AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this Super League 1 encounter on December 7, 2025. With Panathinaikos traveling to the AEL FC Arena, football fans and punters alike are keen to see if the home underdogs can spring a surprise, or if the visitors’ quality will shine through. Let’s dive into the stats, tactics, and latest updates to help you make the smartest betting decisions.

Team News, Form Guide & Tactical Insights

AEL Larissa come into this fixture in need of a spark. Sitting 13th in the Greek Super League 1 with just 7 points, their recent form has been far from inspiring. Four losses in their last six home matches and a recent cup exit to Atromitos have left coach Stelios Malezas searching for answers. Injuries to Panagiotis Deligiannidis and Ángelo Sagal further complicate matters, while key man Giannis Pasas (3 goals) will again shoulder much of the attacking burden. To add to the drama, Thomas Kyparissis has just been installed as General Captain, hoping to steady a ship that’s taken on water in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, Panathinaikos, now under the guidance of Rafael Benítez, find themselves 6th in the table with 18 points and a game in hand. Their last outing—a 3-2 defeat to AEK Athens—was a rollercoaster, featuring a red card for Ahmed Touba and a late equalizer from Filip Djuricic, only for AEK to snatch victory with a penalty. The return of Cyriel Dessers from injury is a boost, and with Karol Swiderski leading their scoring charts (4 goals), the Greens will be confident of getting back on track.

Tactically, Panathinaikos have shown a preference for building from the back and pressing aggressively when out of possession. Under Benítez, expect a well-drilled side, likely to use a 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 formation, balancing defensive solidity with quick transitions. Larissa, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency, and with limited squad depth (squad value €10.35m vs Panathinaikos’ €92.10m), they’re likely to focus on defensive organization and quick counters.

Head to Head, Match Facts & What the Numbers Say

When it comes to head to head meetings, Panathinaikos have historically had the upper hand, both in terms of squad quality and recent results. However, Larissa have shown they can be stubborn at home—recall their unexpected 1-1 draw with AEK Athens earlier this season, defying odds of 6.5.

  • Larissa’s home form: 4 losses in last 6 Super League matches
  • Panathinaikos: 18 points, 6th place, one game in hand
  • Key injuries for Larissa; Dessers returns for Panathinaikos
  • Larissa: 4 goals in last 6 matches; Panathinaikos: 13 shots per game expected

The odds reflect the gulf in class: Home win at 10.0, Draw at 5.0, and Away win at 1.38. It’s clear the bookmakers—and our own analysis—see Panathinaikos as firm favorites.

AI Betting Tips & AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos Prediction

Our AI-powered betting tips back up what the stats are telling us. The top recommendation is a Panathinaikos win (2), with a confidence level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.38. While not a guarantee, it’s the most logical choice given the visitors’ superior squad and recent performances. The AI also predicts a low-scoring affair, suggesting under 3.5 goals (confidence 4.3, odds 1.37), a reflection of Larissa’s struggles in front of goal and Panathinaikos’ disciplined approach.

  1. Predicted final score: 1-2 in favor of Panathinaikos
  2. Expected half-time score: 0-1
  3. Possession forecast: Larissa 38%, Panathinaikos 62%
  4. Shots: Larissa 7, Panathinaikos 13 (on target: 2 vs 4)
  5. Corners: Larissa 1, Panathinaikos 5
  6. Yellow cards: Larissa 3, Panathinaikos 2

In summary, our AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos prediction is for a professional, workmanlike win for the visitors. Larissa may keep things tight early on, but Panathinaikos’ quality and depth should tell over 90 minutes. For those seeking betting tips, backing the away win or combining it with under 3.5 goals looks a smart play.

Final Thoughts & Best Bets for AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos

To wrap up, this AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos prediction points strongly towards an away victory, with Panathinaikos’ experience and squad depth likely to prove decisive. While Larissa have shown they can frustrate bigger teams on occasion, the numbers and recent form suggest their best hope is to keep the scoreline respectable. For punters, the best value lies in the away win (odds 1.38) and under 3.5 goals (odds 1.37). As always, consider the stats, follow the trends, and bet responsibly.

Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert betting tips, head to head insights, and in-depth analysis for every big game. Good luck!

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Warning

Panathinaikos has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for AEL Larissa vs Panathinaikos

2 -263

Panathinaikos is expected to win with odds of -263
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -263

Panathinaikos is expected to win with odds of -263
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 129

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -370

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.71
xG
1.72
38%
Ball Possession
62%
7
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
5
1
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.6
0.8
Goals Scored
1.6
2.2
Goals Against
1
45%
Possession
51%
11.5
Total Shots
12.5
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.6
5.6
Shots off Goal
4.5
16.1
Fouls
13.5
3.8
Corners
4.6
1.8
Offsides
1.8
3.2
Yellow Cards
3.33
344
Total Passes
434

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
7
9
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

AEL Larissa
1 - 3 - 7
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 10-Jan-21
2:0
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 28-Sep-20
1:1
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 25-Jan-20
0:2
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 27-Oct-19
1:2
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 27-Jan-19
1:1
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 16-Sep-18
1:3
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa 19-Feb-18
0:1
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 16-Oct-17
2:1
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 20-Sep-17
2:0
AEL Larissa AEL Larissa

Profile time Recent Matches of AEL Larissa

31 Jan Volos Volos.
-
AEL Larissa. AEL Larissa
24 JanW AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
1:0
Panserraikos. Panserraikos
18 JanW AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
1:0
Aris. Aris
10 JanD Kifisia Kifisia.
1:1
AEL Larissa. AEL Larissa
21 DecD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
0:0
Atromitos. Atromitos
13 DecL Levadiakos Levadiakos.
3:0
AEL Larissa. AEL Larissa
07 DecD AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
2:2
Panathinaiko. Panathinaikos
03 DecL AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
0:1
Atromitos. Atromitos
29 NovL Aris Aris.
2:1
AEL Larissa. AEL Larissa
24 NovL AEL Larissa AEL Larissa.
1:2
OFI Crete. OFI Crete

Profile time Recent Matches of Panathinaikos

29 JanPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
-
AS Roma.AS Roma
25 JanDAtromitos Atromitos.
0:0
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
22 JanDFerencvaros Ferencvaros.
1:1
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
18 JanLAEK Athens FC AEK Athens F.
4:0
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
14 JanWPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
3:0
Aris.Aris
11 JanWPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
3:0
Panserraikos.Panserraikos
21 DecLPAOK PAOK.
2:0
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
17 DecWKavala Kavala.
1:2
Panathinaiko.Panathinaikos
14 DecWPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
2:1
Volos.Volos
11 DecDPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
0:0
Plzen.Plzen

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC18
32-12
44
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos17
34-8
42
3 PAOK PAOK17
37-12
41
4 Levadiakos Levadiakos18
44-21
35
5 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos17
24-21
26
6 Volos NFC Volos NFC18
19-25
25
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris18
16-20
22
8 Kifisia Kifisia17
24-26
19
9 OFI OFI17
20-30
18
10 Atromitos Atromitos18
17-22
17
11 Larisa Larisa18
16-28
16
12 Panetolikos Panetolikos18
15-31
15
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras17
15-24
13
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos18
9-42
8
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