Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford City prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026 (15:00 GMT) comes with a clear narrative: Wimbledon need a response after a bruising trip to the top, while Bradford arrive looking like a team that enjoys the slow squeeze of a promotion chase. It’s at the Cherry Red Records Stadium, and the market sets the tone with betting odds of 3.05 for the home win, 3.2 for the draw, and 2.42 for the away win.
AFC Wimbledon sit 16th and were brought back down to earth in a 4-1 loss at Cardiff on February 17. That scoreline stings, but it also interrupts a three-match unbeaten spell (two wins and a draw) that had started to put daylight between them and the relegation conversation. Bradford, meanwhile, are 5th and keep finding ways to bank points; their 1-0 win over Stockport on February 17, settled by captain Antoni Sarcevic, felt like a “grown-up” result from a side happy in the play-off places.
Wimbledon’s forward options are stretched. Josh Kelly remains out long-term with a broken foot, Layton Stewart has a thigh setback, and Sam Hutchinson is still sidelined with a back issue. The Dons still have punch, though: Marcus Browne leads their scoring with 11, and Mathew Stevens grabbed their only goal at Cardiff.
Bradford have a couple of question marks: Louie Sibley is close after an ankle injury but is a doubt, while Will Swan has a minor knock yet may feature. Bobby Pointon (8 goals) remains a key threat, and Sarcevic has become the heartbeat again, scoring in back-to-back games.
Johnnie Jackson usually keeps Wimbledon structured and may tweak the wing-backs, with Nathan Asiimwe pushing for a start. Graham Alexander’s 3-4-1-2 has been working, with Max Power supplying ideas and Stephen Humphrys doing the heavy lifting. Bradford’s away end is sold out (922 tickets), which should add bite to every tackle and second ball.
Our AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford City prediction leans into Bradford’s steadier away profile and Wimbledon’s home scoring issues. Squad value also points slightly away: Wimbledon are priced around €5.40m, Bradford at €8.57m.
This aligns with the expectation that Bradford control a touch more of the ball (53%) and land more on target (3 vs 2). Even if Wimbledon keep it organized, Bradford’s system tends to create at least one clean chance.
The away win call is cautious rather than loud, but it matches the betting odds tilt. Under 3.5 also fits the usual rhythm of this head to head and Wimbledon’s recent home output.
If Wimbledon repeat that spirit they showed in the 3.2 away draw at Huddersfield (despite huge pre-match prices), they can make this awkward. Still, Bradford have already shown they can nick big away wins too—like the 1-0 at Derby as outsiders—so the story points toward Bradford scoring and edging it.
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AS -313
Bradford City is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -3132 142
Bradford City is expected to win with odds of 142Under 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -114
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -172
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:2
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6
-
5
-
7
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|
 Bradford City |
30-Aug-25
3:2
| AFC Wimbledon  |
| AFC Wimbledon |
01-Feb-25
1:0
| Bradford City |
| Bradford City |
21-Sep-24
0:0
| AFC Wimbledon |
| Bradford City |
03-Feb-24
0:0
| AFC Wimbledon |
| AFC Wimbledon |
14-Oct-23
0:1
| Bradford City |
| AFC Wimbledon |
14-Jan-23
0:0
| Bradford City |
| Bradford City |
24-Sep-22
2:2
| AFC Wimbledon |
| Bradford City |
04-May-19
0:0
| AFC Wimbledon |
| AFC Wimbledon |
02-Oct-18
0:1
| Bradford City |
| Bradford City |
27-Jan-18
0:4
| AFC Wimbledon |
Recent Matches of AFC Wimbledon| 08 Mar | W |
AFC Wimbledon
| 1 |
Northampton
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | D |
Mansfield
| 2 |
AFC Wimbledon
| 2 |
| 21 Feb | W |
AFC Wimbledon
| 3 |
Bradford City
| 1 |
| 17 Feb | L |
Cardiff
| 4 |
AFC Wimbledon
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | D |
Barnsley
| 3 |
AFC Wimbledon
| 3 |
| 10 Feb | L |
AFC Wimbledon
| 1 |
Northampton
| 2 |
| 07 Feb | W |
AFC Wimbledon
| 3 |
Reading
| 2 |
| 03 Feb | W |
Port Vale
| 0 |
AFC Wimbledon
| 1 |
| 31 Jan | L |
AFC Wimbledon
| 0 |
Bolton
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | D |
Rotherham
| 1 |
AFC Wimbledon
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Bradford City
| 11 Mar |  Port Vale |
- | Bradford City |
- | |
| 07 Mar | W | Bradford City |
2 |  Leyton Orient |
1 |
| 28 Feb | L |  Reading |
2 | Bradford City |
1 |
| 24 Feb | W | Bradford City |
1 |  Rotherham |
0 |
| 21 Feb | L | AFC Wimbledon |
3 | Bradford City |
1 |
| 17 Feb | W | Bradford City |
1 |  Stockport |
0 |
| 14 Feb | W | Bradford City |
2 |  Peterborough |
0 |
| 07 Feb | L |  Luton |
2 | Bradford City |
1 |
| 31 Jan | W | Bradford City |
1 |  Doncaster |
0 |
| 27 Jan | L |  Lincoln |
3 | Bradford City |
0 |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln | 35 | 65-31 | 74 |
| 2 |
Cardiff | 35 | 68-38 | 72 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 36 | 53-36 | 64 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 35 | 45-39 | 61 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 34 | 47-43 | 56 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 36 | 56-46 | 55 |
| 7 |
Reading | 35 | 53-46 | 54 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 34 | 38-35 | 54 |
| 9 |
Wycombe | 36 | 52-39 | 53 |
| 10 |
Plymouth | 35 | 51-51 | 49 |
| 11 |
Luton | 35 | 45-44 | 47 |
| 12 |
Barnsley | 33 | 55-55 | 47 |
| 13 |
Peterborough | 35 | 50-49 | 46 |
| 14 |
AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 42-48 | 46 |
| 15 |
Exeter City | 35 | 40-42 | 42 |
| 16 |
Mansfield Town | 33 | 39-37 | 41 |
| 17 |
Burton Albion | 36 | 39-51 | 40 |
| 18 |
Doncaster | 34 | 37-57 | 39 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 34 | 36-47 | 38 |
| 20 |
Blackpool | 35 | 41-55 | 38 |
| 21 |
Leyton Orient | 34 | 45-58 | 36 |
| 22 |
Rotherham | 35 | 33-48 | 35 |
| 23 |
Northampton | 36 | 31-48 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 32 | 26-44 | 27 |
