Ajax
€196.30m
Benfica
€357.00m
Preview
Welcome to our Ajax vs Benfica prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage match at the Johan Cruijff ArenA on November 25, 2025. Both teams are desperate for points, and with both sitting at the bottom of their league phase table, this fixture is more about pride and progress than anything else. If you’re looking for the latest sports betting insights, betting odds, and a detailed head to head analysis, you’re in the right place.
Let’s not sugarcoat it—neither Ajax nor Benfica have set Europe alight this season. Ajax, the home team, are currently 36th in the league phase, having scored just one goal and conceded a jaw-dropping fourteen in four Champions League games. Their recent 3-0 defeat to Galatasaray sums up their struggles, and domestically, things aren’t much brighter with only one win in their last five matches.
Benfica, managed by the ever-demanding José Mourinho, are only marginally better off—35th place, zero points, but a slightly less painful goal difference (2 scored, 8 conceded). Their last European outing was a narrow 1-0 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, showing some defensive grit. However, the Portuguese giants have now lost six straight Champions League matches and haven’t found the net in their last three.
Let’s get into the numbers that matter for your sports betting decisions. The current betting odds are:
Our Ajax vs Benfica prediction leans heavily toward the away side. NerdyTips’ AI recommends an X2 bet (Benfica to win or draw), with a strong trust level of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.27. The 1x2 prediction also favors Benfica (2), with a calculated trust of 8.0 and odds at 1.95. If you’re looking for value, this is where the smart money seems to be.
The stats and head to head record suggest that while Ajax have the historical edge, recent form and squad value tip the scales toward Benfica. Mourinho’s tactical discipline and Benfica’s slightly better defensive record make them the logical pick. Ajax’s leaky defense and lack of firepower up front make it hard to see them breaking their duck here—especially against a Mourinho side that knows how to grind out results when it matters.
If you’re looking to bet, the recommended X2 market (Benfica win or draw) offers a good balance of safety and value. The odds for a Benfica win at 1.95 are also tempting, given their predicted dominance in possession and shots. The under 3.5 goals market is less certain, but with both teams struggling to score, it’s a reasonable punt.
To sum up our Ajax vs Benfica prediction: this match is likely to be a tough watch for Ajax fans and a potential turning point for Benfica. Our AI and expert analysis both point to a Benfica win or draw, with a predicted scoreline of 0:2. The betting odds and recent head to head results support this view. For sports betting enthusiasts, the X2 and away win markets look the most promising. As always, bet responsibly—and remember, football is full of surprises, even when the stats seem to tell the whole story!
Welcome to our Ajax vs Benfica prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage match at the Johan Cruijff ArenA on November 25, 2025. Both teams are desperate for points, and with both sitting at the bottom of their league phase table, this fixture is more about pride and progress than anything else. If you’re looking for the latest sports betting insights, betting odds, and a detailed head to head analysis, you’re in the right place.
Let’s not sugarcoat it—neither Ajax nor Benfica have set Europe alight this season. Ajax, the home team, are currently 36th in the league phase, having scored just one goal and conceded a jaw-dropping fourteen in four Champions League games. Their recent 3-0 defeat to Galatasaray sums up their struggles, and domestically, things aren’t much brighter with only one win in their last five matches.
Benfica, managed by the ever-demanding José Mourinho, are only marginally better off—35th place, zero points, but a slightly less painful goal difference (2 scored, 8 conceded). Their last European outing was a narrow 1-0 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, showing some defensive grit. However, the Portuguese giants have now lost six straight Champions League matches and haven’t found the net in their last three.
Let’s get into the numbers that matter for your sports betting decisions. The current betting odds are:
Our Ajax vs Benfica prediction leans heavily toward the away side. NerdyTips’ AI recommends an X2 bet (Benfica to win or draw), with a strong trust level of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.27. The 1x2 prediction also favors Benfica (2), with a calculated trust of 8.0 and odds at 1.95. If you’re looking for value, this is where the smart money seems to be.
The stats and head to head record suggest that while Ajax have the historical edge, recent form and squad value tip the scales toward Benfica. Mourinho’s tactical discipline and Benfica’s slightly better defensive record make them the logical pick. Ajax’s leaky defense and lack of firepower up front make it hard to see them breaking their duck here—especially against a Mourinho side that knows how to grind out results when it matters.
If you’re looking to bet, the recommended X2 market (Benfica win or draw) offers a good balance of safety and value. The odds for a Benfica win at 1.95 are also tempting, given their predicted dominance in possession and shots. The under 3.5 goals market is less certain, but with both teams struggling to score, it’s a reasonable punt.
To sum up our Ajax vs Benfica prediction: this match is likely to be a tough watch for Ajax fans and a potential turning point for Benfica. Our AI and expert analysis both point to a Benfica win or draw, with a predicted scoreline of 0:2. The betting odds and recent head to head results support this view. For sports betting enthusiasts, the X2 and away win markets look the most promising. As always, bet responsibly—and remember, football is full of surprises, even when the stats seem to tell the whole story!
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X2 -370
Benfica to win or draw with odds of -3702 -105
Benfica is expected to win with odds of -105Under 3.5 -217
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 123
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U5.5 -256
Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:1
0:2
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1
-
2
-
1
|
|
Ajax |
15-Mar-22
0:1
| Benfica ![]() |
Benfica |
23-Feb-22
2:2
| Ajax ![]() |
Benfica |
07-Nov-18
1:1
| Ajax ![]() |
Ajax |
23-Oct-18
1:0
| Benfica ![]() |
| 20 Dec |
Nijmegen.
|
-
| Ajax.
| |
| 17 Dec | W |
Excelsior.
|
2:7
| Ajax.
|
| 14 Dec | W |
Ajax.
|
2:0
| Feyenoord.
|
| 10 Dec | W |
Qarabag.
|
2:4
| Ajax.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
Sittard.
|
1:3
| Ajax.
|
| 02 Dec | D |
Ajax.
|
0:0
| Groningen.
|
| 25 Nov | L |
Ajax.
|
0:2
| Benfica.
|
| 22 Nov | L |
Ajax.
|
1:2
| Excelsior.
|
| 09 Nov | L |
Utrecht.
|
2:1
| Ajax.
|
| 05 Nov | L |
Ajax.
|
0:3
| Galatasaray.
|
| 22 Dec | Benfica. |
- |
Famalicao.![]() | |
| 17 Dec | W | SC Farense. |
0:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 14 Dec | W | Moreirense. |
0:4 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 10 Dec | W | Benfica. |
2:0 |
Napoli.![]() |
| 05 Dec | D | Benfica. |
1:1 |
Sporting CP.![]() |
| 29 Nov | W | Nacional. |
1:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 25 Nov | W | Ajax. |
0:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 21 Nov | W | Atletico CP. |
0:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 09 Nov | D | Benfica. |
2:2 |
Casa Pia.![]() |
| 05 Nov | L | Benfica. |
0:1 |
Leverkusen.![]() |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 5 | 14-1 | 15 |
| 2 |
Paris Saint Ge | 5 | 19-8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Bayern Münche | 5 | 15-6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Inter | 5 | 12-3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid | 5 | 12-5 | 12 |
| 6 |
Borussia Dortm | 5 | 17-11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Chelsea | 5 | 12-6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sporting CP | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Manchester Cit | 5 | 10-5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Atalanta | 5 | 6-5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Newcastle | 5 | 11-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Atletico Madri | 5 | 12-10 | 9 |
| 13 |
Liverpool | 5 | 10-8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Galatasaray | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 15 |
PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 13-8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 5 | 10-7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Bayer Leverkus | 5 | 8-10 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barcelona | 5 | 12-10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Qarabag | 5 | 8-9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Napoli | 5 | 6-9 | 7 |
| 21 |
Marseille | 5 | 8-6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Juventus | 5 | 10-10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Monaco | 5 | 6-8 | 6 |
| 24 |
Pafos | 5 | 4-7 | 6 |
| 25 |
Union St. Gill | 5 | 5-12 | 6 |
| 26 |
Club Brugge KV | 5 | 8-13 | 4 |
| 27 |
Athletic Club | 5 | 4-9 | 4 |
| 28 |
Eintracht Fran | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 29 |
FC Copenhagen | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 30 |
Benfica | 5 | 4-8 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slavia Praha | 5 | 2-8 | 3 |
| 32 |
Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 7-11 | 2 |
| 33 |
Olympiakos Pir | 5 | 5-13 | 2 |
| 34 |
Villarreal | 5 | 2-10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Kairat Almaty | 5 | 4-14 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ajax | 5 | 1-16 | 0 |