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Match Prediction

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction

Ajax

€153.50m

28 Jan15:00
1 : 2

Olympiakos

€141.75m

Preview

Ajax vs Olympiakos Prediction UEFA Champions League

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction: A Crucial Night in Amsterdam

The Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction is a hot topic as these two European giants prepare for a pivotal UEFA Champions League encounter on January 28, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. The Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam will be buzzing, with Olympiakos knowing a win could punch their ticket to the knockout rounds, while Ajax will be desperate to play spoiler and find some continental consistency. Let's dive into what makes this match so intriguing.

Tactical Setup and Team News

Both squads are navigating significant injury headaches, which will heavily influence the tactical battle. Ajax, under interim boss Fred Grim, is expected to lean on a structured, counter-attacking style. With key attackers like Oscar Gloukh and Kasper Dolberg, they'll look to press high but remain disciplined, often using a double pivot in midfield to control transitions. However, absences like the suspended Owen Wijndal and injured Steven Berghuis strip them of vital experience.

Olympiakos, in contrast, arrives with better momentum. Coach José Luis Mendilibar has forged a combative and well-organized unit, currently on a nine-match unbeaten run domestically. Their recent 2-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen in this competition proves their threat. Yet, their injury list is daunting, affecting every line, from goalkeeper Paschalakis to star forward Mehdi Taremi. Their strategy will rely on high intensity and exploiting set-pieces, but their depth will be tested.

Recent Form and Historical Context

Form guides tell contrasting stories. Ajax's season has been a rollercoaster, marked by a heavy 6-0 cup defeat but also a spirited 2-1 away win at Villarreal just last week. Olympiakos has been more stable, showcasing a resilient defense with multiple clean sheets. Their own landmark away win at FC Porto last year shows they fear no one on the road.

Looking at the head to head history adds another layer. In their most recent meeting in July 2024, Ajax came out on top with a 1-0 victory. That historical edge, however slight, might linger in the minds of the players.

Breaking Down the NerdyTips AI Forecast

Now, let's get to the numbers that fuel our Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction. Our AI has crunched the data, from team value and possession stats to recent results, to paint a detailed picture of how this might unfold.

The Predicted Match Flow and Final Score

The AI envisions a tight, competitive affair. It predicts a halftime score of 1-1, suggesting both teams will find opportunities early. The final whistle, however, is forecast to see Ajax edge it with a 2-1 victory. This aligns with the betting odds slightly favoring an Ajax win or draw (the 1X bet). The prediction suggests Ajax will grow into the game, leveraging their expected 57% possession and higher volume of shots (15 total, 6 on target) to eventually break through.

Key Match Statistics and Betting Angles

For those interested in sports betting, the AI provides specific insights. The recommended wager is 1X (Ajax to win or draw) at odds of 1.7, rated with a 5.6/10 confidence level. In terms of the 1x2 market, the straight '1' (home win) is the pick at odds of 3.2. Other notable predictions include:

  • Goals: Under 3.6 total goals is favored (odds 1.5), pointing to a tense, not goal-filled, contest.
  • Possession & Shots: Ajax to control the ball (57%) but Olympiakos to be efficient, even earning more corners (7 to 5).
  • Discipline: A fair but firm referee is anticipated, with two yellow cards predicted for each side.

These stats sketch a match where Ajax's control meets Olympiakos's resilience and threat from dead-ball situations. The value difference between the squads (€153.60m vs €141.75m) is minimal, hinting at the even quality on paper, further complicated by each team's lengthy absentee list.

Final Thoughts on the Ajax vs Olympiakos Prediction

This Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction sets the stage for a fascinating tactical duel. Ajax, at home with a point to prove, will try to impose their game. Olympiakos, organized and confident, will believe their European journey is far from over. While the betting odds and AI analysis lean towards the hosts avoiding defeat in a close game, the sheer number of missing players for both sides makes this wonderfully unpredictable. Mark your calendar for a classic European night where strategy, nerve, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance, will decide it all.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Ajax vs Olympiakos

1X -143

Ajax to win or draw with odds of -143
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 220

Ajax is expected to win with odds of 220
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -217

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -167

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -116

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.61
xG
1.56
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

4.5
Total Goals
2.2
2.8
Goals Scored
1.9
1.7
Goals Against
0.3
17.2
Total Shots
18.8
7.8
Shots on Goal
6.7
5.3
Shots off Goal
7.3
9.4
Fouls
13.6
0.9
Offsides
2.6
550
Total Passes
446

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
7
10
Over 1.5 Goals
7
8
Over 2.5 Goals
3
7
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
1
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Ajax
1 - 0 - 0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax Ajax 19-Jul-24
1:0
Olympiakos Olympiakos Piraeus

Profile time Recent Matches of Ajax

01 Feb Excelsior Excelsior.
-
Ajax. Ajax
24 JanW Ajax Ajax.
2:0
FC Volenda. FC Volendam
20 JanW Villarreal Villarreal.
1:2
Ajax. Ajax
17 JanD Ajax Ajax.
2:2
G.A. Eagle. G.A. Eagles
14 JanL AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar.
6:0
Ajax. Ajax
11 JanW Telstar Telstar.
2:3
Ajax. Ajax
05 JanW Ajax Ajax.
4:0
Seraing. Seraing
20 DecD Nijmegen Nijmegen.
2:2
Ajax. Ajax
17 DecW Excelsior Excelsior.
2:7
Ajax. Ajax
14 DecW Ajax Ajax.
2:0
Feyenoord. Feyenoord

Profile time Recent Matches of Olympiakos

24 JanWOlympiakos Olympiakos.
1:0
Volos.Volos
20 JanWOlympiakos Olympiakos.
2:0
Leverkusen.Leverkusen
14 JanLOlympiakos Olympiakos.
0:2
PAOK.PAOK
10 JanWAtromitos Atromitos.
0:2
Olympiakos.Olympiakos
03 JanWOlympiakos Olympiakos.
3:0
OFI Crete.OFI Crete
20 DecDOlympiakos Olympiakos.
1:1
Kifisia.Kifisia
17 DecWOlympiakos Olympiakos.
6:0
Iraklis 19.Iraklis 1908
14 DecDAris Aris.
0:0
Olympiakos.Olympiakos
09 DecWKairat Almaty Kairat Alm.
0:1
Olympiakos.Olympiakos
06 DecWOlympiakos Olympiakos.
3:0
OFI Crete.OFI Crete

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal7
20-2
21
2 Bayern München Bayern7
20-7
18
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid7
19-8
15
4 Liverpool Liverpool7
14-8
15
5 Tottenham Tottenham7
15-7
14
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint7
20-10
13
7 Newcastle Newcastle7
16-6
13
8 Chelsea Chelsea7
14-8
13
9 Barcelona Barcelona7
18-13
13
10 Sporting CP Sporting CP7
14-9
13
11 Manchester City Manchester7
13-9
13
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico7
16-13
13
13 Atalanta Atalanta7
10-9
13
14 Inter Inter7
13-7
12
15 Juventus Juventus7
14-10
12
16 Borussia Dortmund Borussia7
19-15
11
17 Galatasaray Galatasaray7
9-9
10
18 Qarabag Qarabag7
13-15
10
19 Marseille Marseille7
11-11
9
20 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer7
10-14
9
21 Monaco Monaco7
8-14
9
22 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven7
15-14
8
23 Athletic Club Athletic Club7
7-11
8
24 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos7
8-13
8
25 Napoli Napoli7
7-12
8
26 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen7
11-17
8
27 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV7
12-17
7
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt7
12-14
6
29 Benfica Benfica7
6-10
6
30 Pafos Pafos7
4-10
6
31 Union St. Gilloise Union St.7
7-17
6
32 Ajax Ajax7
7-19
6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht7
10-19
4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha7
4-15
3
35 Villarreal Villarreal7
5-15
1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty7
5-19
1
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