Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem prediction starts with a simple idea: this is a Matchday 21 meeting where one team is chasing the title pace, and the other is trying to keep its season calm. The game is set for 2026-02-05 at Alinma Stadium in Jeddah, with kickoff at 17:30 GMT (18:30 local time). On paper, it looks one-way traffic, but the details still matter if you want smart betting tips rather than blind confidence.
Al Ahli come into this round sitting 3rd with 43 points, and the mood around Jeddah is “keep pushing.” A 0-0 draw with leaders Al Hilal on February 2 didn’t bring goals, but it did bring belief—especially with Edouard Mendy pulling the kind of saves that keep title dreams alive. Before that, they brushed aside Al-Ettifaq 4-0 and beat Neom 3-0, which tells you the attack can purr when the matchup is right.
Al Hazem, 12th with 20 points, are in a different story arc: mid-table stability, avoid a spiral, steal points when possible. Their recent 1-1 draw with Al Fateh fits the pattern—hard-working, organized, and sometimes short of sharpness in the final third. But there’s also that other side: the kind of match where the floor suddenly collapses, like the 0-4 defeat to Al Shabab.
Matthias Jaissle has built an Al Ahli side that looks comfortable dictating games. The shape often reads as a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, with a high press that forces rushed clearances and quick turnovers. With wide players like Mahrez stretching the pitch and runners arriving around the box, the pressure tends to feel constant. It helps that Al Ahli’s defense has been elite—only 12 conceded all season—which means even when the press fails, the structure usually holds.
Jalel Kadri’s Al Hazem, appointed in April 2025, tends to answer with a compact block—often a 4-5-1 or even 5-4-1 away to top sides. The plan is clear: reduce space between the lines, protect the middle, and wait for counter-attacks. The issue is that “waiting” becomes expensive if you give up an early goal, because then you must open up against one of the league’s best transition teams.
Ivan Toney headlines this one. He’s reportedly the league’s top scorer with 18 goals, and the scary part for Al Hazem is the rhythm: 13 goals in his last 8 league appearances, plus two hat-tricks in his last four outings. Behind him, Mahrez supplies the craft and decision-making, while Kessie gives the midfield muscle that turns 50-50 moments into sustained pressure.
For Al Hazem, Omar Al Somah remains the primary threat—if they create chances, he’s usually at the end of them. And Bruno Varela will likely be busy; if Al Hazem are to make this a long afternoon for the home crowd, it probably starts with their goalkeeper having one of those “how did he save that?” nights.
Now to the numbers and where they meet the football logic. The 1x2 market is heavily tilted: home win 1.21, draw 7.2, away win 14.0. That pricing matches the league table, the form trend, and the tactical matchup (press and quality vs deep block and survival). The question for bettors is not “who wins?” but “by how much, and do goals follow?”
The cleanest story is the handicap: Al Ahli’s defensive record (12 conceded) reduces the “randomness” factor, while their recent big wins (4-0, 3-0) suggest they can turn control into separation on the scoreboard. Add Toney’s current scoring run, and it’s easy to see why our top betting tip is H1 rather than simply backing the short 1.21 home win.
Over 2.5 is a softer call. The trust is notably lower because Al Hazem’s defensive approach can slow games down, and Al Ahli just played a 0-0 with Al Hilal. Still, if Al Ahli score early, Kadri’s compact plan has to loosen, and that’s when the match can move from “disciplined” to “open” very quickly.
Final thought: this Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem prediction leans heavily toward the hosts because the matchup is built for them—press, depth, form, and a striker in a hurry. Al Hazem can be stubborn, and history has shown they can surprise in wild games, but the most likely script remains Al Ahli wearing them down and pulling away after the first goal.
Read More
H1 -164
H11 -476
Al Ahli SC is expected to win with odds of -476Over 2.5 -213
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to score
3:0
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8
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2
-
1
|
|
 Al Hazem |
26-Sep-25
0:2
| Al Ahli SC  |
| Al Hazem |
22-Dec-23
0:4
| Al Ahli SC |
| Al Ahli SC |
11-Aug-23
3:1
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
29-May-23
0:0
| Al Ahli SC |
| Al Ahli SC |
18-Jan-23
1:0
| Al Hazem |
| Al Ahli SC |
15-Jan-22
1:0
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
19-Aug-21
2:2
| Al Ahli SC |
| Al Ahli SC |
04-Aug-20
4:2
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
26-Oct-19
2:1
| Al Ahli SC |
| Al Hazem |
07-Feb-19
2:4
| Al Ahli SC |
Recent Matches of Al Ahli SC| 18 Mar | D |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
Al Hilal
| 1 |
| 13 Mar | L |
Al Qadisiya
| 3 |
Al Ahli SC
| 2 |
| 06 Mar | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 3 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
| 26 Feb | W |
Al Riyadh
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | W |
Damac
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
| 19 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 4 |
Al Najma
| 1 |
| 16 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 4 |
Shabab A
| 3 |
| 13 Feb | W |
Al Shabab
| 2 |
Al Ahli SC
| 5 |
| 09 Feb | D |
Al Wahda
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 0 |
| 05 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 2 |
Al Hazem
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Al Hazem
| 12 Mar | W | Al Hazem |
2 |  Al Kholood |
1 |
| 06 Mar | L |  Al Khaleej |
2 | Al Hazem |
1 |
| 27 Feb | W | Al Hazem |
3 |  Al Ettifaq |
1 |
| 24 Feb | D | Al Hazem |
1 |  Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 21 Feb | L |  Al Nassr |
4 | Al Hazem |
0 |
| 12 Feb | W | Al Hazem |
2 |  Al Okhdood |
1 |
| 05 Feb | L | Al Ahli SC |
2 | Al Hazem |
0 |
| 01 Feb | D |  Al Fateh |
1 | Al Hazem |
1 |
| 29 Jan | L | Al Hazem |
0 |  Al Shabab |
4 |
| 26 Jan | W | Al Hazem |
2 |  Damac |
1 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
