Preview
The Jeddah Derby is back on Friday, 2026-03-06 at 19:00 GMT, and this Al Ahli SC vs Al Ittihad prediction leans slightly toward the hosts. With the league table, recent form, and squad news all pointing in one direction, it feels like a night where Al Ahli can control the rhythm—while still needing to watch the punch Al Ittihad carry on the break.
Al Ahli arrive in outstanding league shape under Matthias Jaissle, sitting right at the top end of the table after 24 matches. They have put together a five-game winning run in the Pro League and, crucially, did it without conceding. That sort of defensive stretch usually changes how derbies are played: calmer in possession, more patient in buildup, and less panic when the game gets messy.
Al Ittihad, the defending champions, are chasing from 5th. Their league form has been mixed, yet they have shown they can raise their level in big moments—most notably the 1:1 away draw at Al Hilal on 2026-02-21 despite being priced around 6.25 to win. That result matters for bettors because it confirms Ittihad can survive long spells without the ball and still land a decisive counter.
Market prices have Al Ahli as the favorites: home win 1.95, draw 3.8, away win 4.0. That aligns with the performance trend and a slightly higher squad market value (€170.78m vs €1.28.8555m), but derbies rarely follow spreadsheets perfectly. Our Al Ahli SC vs Al Ittihad prediction therefore balances safety with value.
The latest head to head ended 2-2 on 2025-04.0, a reminder that Ittihad can trade punches in Jeddah. Still, the current model expects Al Ahli to have 53% possession, outshoot Ittihad 11 to 7 (on target 4 to 2), and edge corners 5 to 3. With discipline projected at 1 yellow for Al Ahli and 2 for Al Ittihad, the visitors may spend more time defending transitions.
Putting it together: expected final score 2-1, with a 1-0 half-time lean. If you want one smart bet, 1X is the steady option; if you want a bit more upside, pair the home win idea with the match leaning over 2.5 total goals.
The Jeddah Derby is back on Friday, 2026-03-06 at 19:00 GMT, and this Al Ahli SC vs Al Ittihad prediction leans slightly toward the hosts. With the league table, recent form, and squad news all pointing in one direction, it feels like a night where Al Ahli can control the rhythm—while still needing to watch the punch Al Ittihad carry on the break.
Al Ahli arrive in outstanding league shape under Matthias Jaissle, sitting right at the top end of the table after 24 matches. They have put together a five-game winning run in the Pro League and, crucially, did it without conceding. That sort of defensive stretch usually changes how derbies are played: calmer in possession, more patient in buildup, and less panic when the game gets messy.
Al Ittihad, the defending champions, are chasing from 5th. Their league form has been mixed, yet they have shown they can raise their level in big moments—most notably the 1:1 away draw at Al Hilal on 2026-02-21 despite being priced around 6.25 to win. That result matters for bettors because it confirms Ittihad can survive long spells without the ball and still land a decisive counter.
Market prices have Al Ahli as the favorites: home win 1.95, draw 3.8, away win 4.0. That aligns with the performance trend and a slightly higher squad market value (€170.78m vs €1.28.8555m), but derbies rarely follow spreadsheets perfectly. Our Al Ahli SC vs Al Ittihad prediction therefore balances safety with value.
The latest head to head ended 2-2 on 2025-04.0, a reminder that Ittihad can trade punches in Jeddah. Still, the current model expects Al Ahli to have 53% possession, outshoot Ittihad 11 to 7 (on target 4 to 2), and edge corners 5 to 3. With discipline projected at 1 yellow for Al Ahli and 2 for Al Ittihad, the visitors may spend more time defending transitions.
Putting it together: expected final score 2-1, with a 1-0 half-time lean. If you want one smart bet, 1X is the steady option; if you want a bit more upside, pair the home win idea with the match leaning over 2.5 total goals.
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Derby match
1X -357
Al Ahli SC to win or draw with odds of -3571 -105
Al Ahli SC is expected to win with odds of -105Over 2.5 -152
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -175
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -200
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
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8
-
5
-
4
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Al Ittihad |
08-Nov-25
0:1
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
Al Ahli SC |
05-Apr-25
2:2
| Al Ittihad ![]() |
Al Ittihad |
31-Oct-24
1:0
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
Al Ahli SC |
01-Apr-24
1:0
| Al Ittihad ![]() |
Al Ittihad |
06-Oct-23
0:1
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
Al Ahli SC |
26-Feb-22
3:4
| Al Ittihad ![]() |
Al Ittihad |
01-Oct-21
2:0
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
Al Ahli SC |
11-Feb-21
1:1
| Al Ittihad ![]() |
Al Ittihad |
31-Oct-20
2:0
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
Al Ittihad |
09-Aug-20
1:2
| Al Ahli SC ![]() |
| 13 Mar |
Al Qadisiya
| - |
Al Ahli SC
| - | |
| 06 Mar | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 3 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
| 26 Feb | W |
Al Riyadh
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | W |
Damac
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 1 |
| 19 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 4 |
Al Najma
| 1 |
| 16 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 4 |
Shabab A
| 3 |
| 13 Feb | W |
Al Shabab
| 2 |
Al Ahli SC
| 5 |
| 09 Feb | D |
Al Wahda
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 0 |
| 05 Feb | W |
Al Ahli SC
| 2 |
Al Hazem
| 0 |
| 02 Feb | D |
Al Hilal
| 0 |
Al Ahli SC
| 0 |
| 06 Mar | L | Al Ahli SC |
3 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 27 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
1 | Al Khaleej |
0 |
| 24 Feb | D | Al Hazem |
1 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 21 Feb | D | Al Hilal |
1 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 17 Feb | W | Al-Sadd (Qat) |
1 | Al Ittihad |
4 |
| 13 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
2 | Al Fayha |
1 |
| 10 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
7 | Al-Gharafa |
0 |
| 06 Feb | L | Al Nassr |
2 | Al Ittihad |
0 |
| 01 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
1 | Al Najma |
0 |
| 29 Jan | D | Al Fateh |
2 | Al Ittihad |
2 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |