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Match Prediction

Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Ahli SC

€163.08m

2 Jan12:30
3 : 2

Al Nassr

€144.12m

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Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr Prediction Pro League

Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr Prediction: Goals Expected in a High-Stakes Battle

Welcome to our Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr prediction, where we break down one of the most anticipated Saudi Pro League matches of the season. With both teams boasting rich histories, passionate fanbases, and plenty of star power, this fixture on January 2, 2026, promises a football spectacle—and perhaps a few surprises for punters and fans alike.

Form Guide and Tactical Overview

Al Nassr arrive in Jeddah as league leaders, sitting pretty with 31 points from 11 matches. Their attacking machine has already netted 35 goals, conceding just 7—a testament to both their firepower and defensive discipline. Despite a recent 2-2 draw with Al-Ettifaq that snapped a ten-game winning streak, Jorge Jesus’ men remain the team to beat, playing with high tempo and relentless aggression.

Al Ahli, currently fourth with 22 points, have quietly built a reputation as one of the league’s toughest sides to break down. Only eight goals conceded in 11 matches speaks volumes about Matthias Jaissle’s defensive setup. Their recent 2-0 win over Al-Fayha and a strong home record (just one defeat in five) underline their resilience at the Alinma Bank Stadium.

Head to Head and Recent Meetings

The head to head history between these two giants is remarkably balanced: 34 wins each, with 18 draws from 86 encounters. However, recent form tips the scale slightly towards Al Nassr, who have lost just once in the last six meetings. That said, Al Ahli’s dramatic penalty shootout victory in the 2025 Saudi Super Cup after a 2-2 draw could give them a psychological edge.

Squad News and Key Absences

  • Al Ahli SC: Missing several key players due to the Africa Cup of Nations (Mendy, Kessie, Mahrez), suspension (Ibanez), national team duty (Abdulrahman, Al-Zubaidi), and injury (Otayf). Ivan Toney and Firas Al-Buraikan will shoulder the attacking burden, with Al-Buraikan especially in fine form (8 goals, 5 assists).
  • Al Nassr: Also juggling injuries, notably to Simakan and Haqawi, but buoyed by the return of Ayman Yahya and John Duran to training. Cristiano Ronaldo remains the headline act, sharing the league’s top scorer spot with Felix at 13 goals each.

Betting Odds and Market Insights

Bookmakers have set the betting odds at 3.15 for a home win, 3.5 for a draw, and 2.07 for an away win. These odds reflect both Al Nassr’s status as favorites and Al Ahli’s formidable home presence. The teams’ total market values—€163.08m for Al Ahli and €144.12m for Al Nassr—suggest a close contest, even if the away side are expected to dominate possession (69% to 31%) and shots (17 to 6).

AI-Driven Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr Prediction and Betting Tips

Our in-house AI at NerdyTips has crunched the numbers for this Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr prediction, and the results point to an entertaining, high-scoring affair. The most profitable bet, with a trust rating of 8.0/10, is over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.48. Both sides have attacking talent to spare, and recent head to head meetings have delivered plenty of goals (including a 3-2 Al Nassr win last February and a 2-2 draw in the Super Cup).

  • Final Score Prediction: 2:2, with a 1:1 scoreline expected at half-time.
  • Shots and Corners: Al Nassr are projected to dominate with 17 shots (6 on target) and 7 corners, while Al Ahli are expected to muster 6 shots (3 on target) and 2 corners.
  • Discipline: The home side could see up to 4 yellow cards, compared to just 1 for the visitors—perhaps a sign of Al Ahli’s need to disrupt Al Nassr’s rhythm.

The 1X2 market leans towards a double chance on Al Ahli (1X) with odds of 2.47, but confidence is moderate (2.0). Given Al Nassr’s attacking intent and Al Ahli’s home resilience, a draw or home win is certainly within reach—especially with both teams missing key players.

Summary and Best Bets

  1. Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48, trust rating 8.0/10): Both teams have the firepower and recent history to deliver goals.
  2. 1X (Home win or draw) (odds 2.47): Al Ahli’s home form and defensive strength could frustrate the league leaders.

In summary, our Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr prediction expects a lively encounter full of attacking football, drama, and perhaps a few twists. With both sides eager to make a statement in the title race, expect goals, cards, and plenty of talking points—just don’t expect a quiet night in Jeddah!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Al Nassr can be tired due to frequent matches

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr

O2.5 -208

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -208
8/10

1x2 Tip

1X 147

Al Ahli SC to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -208

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -182

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 176

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

0.92
xG
1.78
31%
Ball Possession
69%
6
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Corners
7
4
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.46
Expected Goals
2.01
2.9
Total Goals
4.2
2
Goals Scored
3.2
0.9
Goals Against
1
46%
Possession
64%
11.8
Total Shots
19.3
5.2
Shots on Goal
7.1
3.9
Shots off Goal
8.1
13.2
Fouls
9.4
4.9
Corners
7.9
3.6
Offsides
3
3
Yellow Cards
1.63
347
Total Passes
512

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
8
8
Over 1.5 Goals
10
6
Over 2.5 Goals
10
2
Over 3.5 Goals
7
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Al Ahli SC
2 - 6 - 11
Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 23-Aug-25
2:2
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 13-Feb-25
2:3
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 13-Sep-24
1:1
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 15-Mar-24
0:1
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 22-Sep-23
4:3
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Nassr Al Nassr 28-May-22
1:1
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 26-Nov-21
1:2
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 11-Mar-21
1:2
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 12-Dec-20
1:2
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Ahli SC

28 Jan Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
-
Al Ettifaq. Al Ettifaq
24 JanW Neom SC Neom SC.
0:3
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
20 JanW Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
4:1
Al Khaleej. Al Khaleej
17 JanW Al Kholood Al Kholood.
0:1
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
14 JanW Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
2:1
Al Taawon. Al Taawon
10 JanW Al Okhdood Al Okhdood.
0:1
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
02 JanW Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
3:2
Al Nassr. Al Nassr
30 DecW Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
2:0
Al Fayha. Al Fayha
26 DecL Al Fateh Al Fateh.
2:1
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
22 DecW Al Shorta Al Shorta.
0:5
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Nassr

21 JanWDamac Damac.
1:2
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
17 JanWAl Nassr Al Nassr.
3:2
Al Shabab.Al Shabab
12 JanLAl Hilal Al Hilal.
3:1
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
08 JanLAl Nassr Al Nassr.
1:2
Al Qadisiya.Al Qadisiya
02 JanLAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
3:2
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
30 DecDAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq.
2:2
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
27 DecWAl Nassr Al Nassr.
3:0
Al Okhdood.Al Okhdood
24 DecWAl Nassr Al Nassr.
5:1
Al Zawraa.Al Zawraa
26 NovWIstiqlol Istiqlol.
0:4
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
23 NovWAl Nassr Al Nassr.
4:1
Al Khaleej.Al Khaleej

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
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