Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
The Al Ettifaq vs Al Fateh prediction for Thursday, February 19, 2026 (kickoff 19:00 GMT) comes with a familiar Saudi Pro League theme: two mid-table teams trying to turn “good spells” into real momentum. Round 23 takes us to EGO Stadium in Dammam (around 12,900 capacity), where the atmosphere has noticeably sharpened in this stadium’s first full season as Ettifaq’s dedicated home.
Al Ettifaq arrive in 6th, and the table says “comfortable,” but the calendar says “urgent.” They were stopped 2-0 by leaders Al Hilal on February 13, yet that loss sits next to solid wins over Damac (2-0) and Al Taawoun (1-0). The pattern is clear: they can control games against peers, especially at home, where they have become difficult to unlock.
Al Fateh, in 10th, are still searching for a clean reset. They are winless in seven matches and come off a 2-0 defeat to Al Nassr (February 14). Still, they have shown they can dig in—most recently a surprising 1-1 away draw at Al Qadisiya on February 7, delivered despite massive pre-match odds (7.5). That kind of resilience keeps them from drifting into trouble, but it also underlines how much they need a win.
Since Saad Al Shehri replaced Steven Gerrard in early 2025, Ettifaq have leaned into a disciplined, possession-first 4-3-3. Expect Georginio Wijnaldum to set the rhythm, with Álvaro Medrán helping manage tempo. Goalkeeper Marek Rodák has been a major factor behind recent clean sheets, while Mohau Nkota’s pace gives them a direct option when passing lanes close.
José Gomes’ Al Fateh often line up 4-2-3-1, with a recent emphasis on tighter box defending after conceding too many chances from inside the area. Matías Vargas remains their main creator and scorer, Sofiane Bendebka supplies late runs, and Mourad Batna adds set-piece danger—though his minutes may be managed after his return.
The current betting odds price Ettifaq at 2.6 (home), 3.65 (draw), 2.7 (away). That suggests the market sees the hosts as the better side, but not by a huge margin—reasonable given the head to head trend and Ettifaq’s attacking doubt up front.
NerdyTips’ model leans toward Ettifaq avoiding defeat: the best tip is 1X at 1.53 with a 7.0/10 trust level. The straight 1X2 suggestion is home win (odds 2.6) at a moderate 5.5 trust score, and the goals lean is over 1.53 total goals at 1.27 (trust 4.2).
The model’s match script supports that: 54% home possession to 46%, shots 11-10, on-target 4-3, and a projected 9 corners (interestingly tilted 3.65 toward Al Fateh). It reads like Ettifaq control the ball while Fateh create pressure in bursts—often via wide play and set pieces. Discipline looks even at 2 yellows each.
Final call for this Al Ettifaq vs Al Fateh prediction: Ettifaq’s home organization and higher squad value (€31.67m vs €16.80m) should tell over 90 minutes. NerdyTips’ projected score is 2-0, with 1-0 at half-time—an answer to last year’s 2-1 head to head loss, and a useful reminder that in Dammam, patience usually pays.
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Al Ettifaq didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1X -189
Al Ettifaq to win or draw with odds of -1891 160
Al Ettifaq is expected to win with odds of 160Over 1.5 -455
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo 147
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U5.5 -143
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
2:0
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5
-
7
-
8
|
|
 Al Fateh |
24-Oct-25
2:1
| Al Ettifaq  |
| Al Ettifaq |
14-Feb-25
1:2
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
14-Sep-24
1:2
| Al Ettifaq |
| Al Fateh |
03-Apr-24
1:0
| Al Ettifaq |
| Al Ettifaq |
05-Oct-23
1:2
| Al Fateh |
| Al Ettifaq |
22-May-23
0:4
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
12-Jan-23
2:0
| Al Ettifaq |
| Al Fateh |
27-Feb-22
4:0
| Al Ettifaq |
| Al Ettifaq |
30-Sep-21
0:0
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
23-Feb-21
2:3
| Al Ettifaq |
Recent Matches of Al Ettifaq| 07 Mar | D |
Al Ettifaq
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 1 |
| 27 Feb | L |
Al Hazem
| 3 |
Al Ettifaq
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | L |
Al Qadisiya
| 4 |
Al Ettifaq
| 0 |
| 19 Feb | W |
Al Ettifaq
| 4 |
Al Fateh
| 3 |
| 13 Feb | L |
Al Hilal
| 2 |
Al Ettifaq
| 0 |
| 06 Feb | W |
Al Ettifaq
| 2 |
Damac
| 0 |
| 03 Feb | W |
Al Ettifaq
| 1 |
Al Taawon
| 0 |
| 28 Jan | L |
Al Ahli SC
| 4 |
Al Ettifaq
| 0 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Al Kholood
| 1 |
Al Ettifaq
| 2 |
| 21 Jan | D |
Al Ettifaq
| 0 |
Neom SC
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Al Fateh
| 06 Mar | L |  Al Taawon |
3 | Al Fateh |
2 |
| 26 Feb | D | Al Fateh |
1 |  Damac |
1 |
| 23 Feb | W | Al Fateh |
2 |  Al Okhdood |
1 |
| 19 Feb | L | Al Ettifaq |
4 | Al Fateh |
3 |
| 14 Feb | L | Al Fateh |
0 |  Al Nassr |
2 |
| 07 Feb | D |  Al Qadisiya |
1 | Al Fateh |
1 |
| 01 Feb | D | Al Fateh |
1 |  Al Hazem |
1 |
| 29 Jan | D | Al Fateh |
2 |  Al Ittihad |
2 |
| 25 Jan | L |  Al Fayha |
2 | Al Fateh |
0 |
| 20 Jan | L | Al Fateh |
2 |  Al Kholood |
5 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
