Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Mark your calendar for 1.8326-01.831 at 17:30 GMT, because this Al Fateh vs Al Hazem prediction comes with the kind of mid-table tension that usually ends in either a cagey stalemate or a slightly chaotic goal-fest. The Saudi Pro League meeting will be played at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium in Al-Ahsa, with only a small gap between the sides in the standings—exactly the type of “six-pointer” that changes the mood around a club fast.
Al Fateh come in around 10th with 21 points, a team that has looked bright one week and flat the next. Their recent run (W-W-D-L-L) tells the story: they earned a useful 1.832 draw at the end of January against Al Ittihad, even though Ittihad were strongly fancied at 1.62. Then Al Fateh followed it with a 1.83 loss to Al Fayha—another reminder that consistency is still the missing piece.
Al Hazem are close behind in 11th (roughly 17–20 points depending on results), and their form (L-W-L-D-W) has included some rough days—like a 5-1 loss to Al Qadsiah and 4-0 against Al Shabab. Still, they’ve shown they can dig in when the moment demands it. Just ask Al Nassr: Hazem once walked into that stadium as 16.75 outsiders and left with a wild 4.5 draw.
Jose Gomes has Al Fateh playing with flexibility—often high pressing and fast transitions. The problem is what happens after they lose the ball: with 31 goals conceded this season, their defensive transitions have been too open. Gomes has spoken about needing a quick return to wins and better organization, and you can see why.
Jalel Kadri’s Al Hazem are more pragmatic. Expect a low block, counters, and set-piece ambition. The plan is simple: stay structured, avoid the mistakes that caused the heavy defeats, and steal moments.
The head to head trend is nicely balanced over the last five meetings (1.832-1), and their most recent H2H on 1.8324-05-23 ended 2-1 to Al Fateh (priced 1.832 then). But it’s worth noting the reverse fixture in September 1.8325 finished 0-0—physical, busy, and not much finishing.
Now for the numbers. The 1x2 betting odds are: Home 1.832, Draw 3.8, Away 3.8. Our AI leans to Al Fateh to win (pick “1”), but it’s a cautious lean—trust is only 2.1/10 at 1.832 odds. That low trust matches the reality: both teams swing between strong and shaky.
The stronger signal is in total goals. Our AI’s best tip is Over 2.5 at 1.83 odds, trust 6.3/10 (and the under/over model also points to Over 2.5 with trust 6.4). With both defenses conceding 30+ across the season, it doesn’t take much for this game to loosen up.
Model expectations back the story: 53% possession for Al Fateh, shots 13-10, on target 4.5, and corners 6-3 (9 total). Add a predicted 3-2 final score (1-0 at half-time), plus 5 yellows overall, and this Al Fateh vs Al Hazem prediction reads like a match that starts controlled—then gets messy in the best way for goal backers.
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O2.5 -120
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1201 -120
Al Fateh is expected to win with odds of -120Over 2.5 -120
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -133
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -182
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:2
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|
6
-
1
-
3
|
|
 Al Hazem |
20-Sep-25
0:0
| Al Fateh  |
| Al Fateh |
23-May-24
2:1
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
07-Dec-23
2:0
| Al Fateh |
| Al Hazem |
18-Feb-22
0:1
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
25-Sep-21
0:1
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
24-Aug-20
3:4
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
20-Dec-19
2:1
| Al Hazem |
| Al Hazem |
28-Mar-19
1:0
| Al Fateh |
| Al Fateh |
08-Dec-18
3:2
| Al Hazem |
| Al Fateh |
05-Jan-18
1:0
| Al Hazem |
Recent Matches of Al Fateh| 06 Mar | L |
Al Taawon
| 3 |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
| 26 Feb | D |
Al Fateh
| 1 |
Damac
| 1 |
| 23 Feb | W |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
Al Okhdood
| 1 |
| 19 Feb | L |
Al Ettifaq
| 4 |
Al Fateh
| 3 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Al Fateh
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 2 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Al Qadisiya
| 1 |
Al Fateh
| 1 |
| 01 Feb | D |
Al Fateh
| 1 |
Al Hazem
| 1 |
| 29 Jan | D |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
Al Ittihad
| 2 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Al Fayha
| 2 |
Al Fateh
| 0 |
| 20 Jan | L |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
Al Kholood
| 5 |
Recent Matches of Al Hazem
| 12 Mar | Al Hazem |
- |  Al Kholood |
- | |
| 06 Mar | L |  Al Khaleej |
2 | Al Hazem |
1 |
| 27 Feb | W | Al Hazem |
3 |  Al Ettifaq |
1 |
| 24 Feb | D | Al Hazem |
1 |  Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 21 Feb | L |  Al Nassr |
4 | Al Hazem |
0 |
| 12 Feb | W | Al Hazem |
2 |  Al Okhdood |
1 |
| 05 Feb | L |  Al Ahli SC |
2 | Al Hazem |
0 |
| 01 Feb | D | Al Fateh |
1 | Al Hazem |
1 |
| 29 Jan | L | Al Hazem |
0 |  Al Shabab |
4 |
| 26 Jan | W | Al Hazem |
2 |  Damac |
1 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
