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Match Prediction

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Fateh

€20.20m

13 Jan13:30
3 : 1

Al Riyadh

€192.15m

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Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction Pro League

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction: Smart Betting Tips & Insights

If you’re searching for a reliable Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. This Saudi Pro League fixture on January 13, 2026, promises plenty for football fans and punters alike. With both teams desperate for points but heading into the match from very different positions, let’s break down the tactics, form, and betting angles you need to know.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head-to-Head Analysis

The Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium in Al-Ahsa will host this Matchday 15 encounter, and the stakes are high for both sides. Al Fateh, currently sitting 10th in the table with 14 points, have been showing signs of life lately. Under the guidance of Portuguese coach José Gomes, they’ve found a balance between attack and defense, notching up three wins in their last five matches—including a morale-boosting 2-0 home win over Al Shabab. Their home record is a mixed bag, with three wins and three defeats, but the recent uptick in form suggests they’re starting to gel.

Al Riyadh, on the other hand, are in a world of trouble. Rooted to 16th place with just 8 points, they’ve lost their last four league games and have yet to taste victory away from home this season. Defensive frailties have been their undoing, conceding 27 goals in just 12 matches. Coach Daniel Carreño has his work cut out, especially after a bruising 3.7 defeat to Al Qadsiah last time out.

  • Head to head between these sides is tight: in their last five meetings, Al Fateh have one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent encounter saw Al Fateh win 2-0 in the King Cup on October 27, 2025.
  • Since 2009, both teams have two wins each, with three draws—so history suggests a close contest.
  • Al Fateh’s key men include Matías Vargas (top scorer, 5 goals) and Mourad Batna (6 assists), while Al Riyadh rely on Mamadou Sylla (6 goals) and Teddy Lia Okou (3 assists).
  • Al Fateh have scored in 10 consecutive matches, and 33% of their goals come just before halftime—a stat worth noting for live bettors.
  • Al Riyadh have conceded in each of their last seven matches and are on a four-game losing streak.

Injury news is scarce, but Al Fateh have previously missed several players due to rehabilitation and injuries, though it’s unclear if they’ll be absent for this match.

Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Prediction: AI Betting Tips & Odds

Now for the part you’ve been waiting for: the Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction and betting tips, powered by NerdyTips’ AI analysis. The odds are currently set at 2.02 for a home win, 3.7 for a draw, and 3.8 for an away win. Our AI suggests the best value lies in the 1X market (home win or draw), with a trust level of 3.8/10 and odds of 1.31. While not the riskiest play, it’s a solid option for accumulator fans.

  1. 1X2 Prediction: The AI leans towards an Al Fateh win, with a confidence level of 3.7 and odds of 2.02. Given Al Riyadh’s travel sickness and leaky defense, this looks like a smart shout.
  2. Under/Over Goals: Under 3.7 goals is recommended, with a trust score of 3.3 and odds of 1.52. Both teams have struggled to rack up big scores, and Al Fateh’s improved organization under Gomes could keep things tight.
  3. Final Score Prediction: 2:1 in favor of Al Fateh, with a 1:0 lead at halftime. Expect the home side to control possession (forecasted at 60%) and outshoot their visitors (14 shots to 10), but don’t rule out Al Riyadh grabbing a goal on the break.

Other stats to consider: Al Fateh are expected to win the corner count (7 to 4), and yellow cards should be minimal (2 for Al Fateh, 1 for Al Riyadh). Despite Al Riyadh’s higher squad value, it’s the hosts who look more cohesive and confident.

Betting Tips Summary

  • Best Bet: Al Fateh to win (odds 2.02)
  • Safe Bet: 1X (home win or draw, odds 1.31)
  • Value Bet: Under 3.7 goals (odds 1.52)
  • Correct Score: 2:1 to Al Fateh

In summary, our Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction is for the home side to edge a competitive but controlled match. Al Fateh’s recent form and tactical discipline should see them through, but with both teams’ unpredictable streaks, don’t bet the house—just enough for a celebratory coffee. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as Al Fateh’s finishing!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Al Fateh has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh

1X -323

Al Fateh to win or draw with odds of -323
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 102

Al Fateh is expected to win with odds of 102
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -217

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -154

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -238

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.77
xG
0.7
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.34
Expected Goals
0.75
2.9
Total Goals
2.6
1.5
Goals Scored
0.7
1.4
Goals Against
1.9
46%
Possession
38%
11.8
Total Shots
11.2
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.8
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.3
13.6
Fouls
14
6
Corners
4.9
1.7
Offsides
1.2
2.22
Yellow Cards
1.88
301
Total Passes
298

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Fateh
1 - 3 - 1
Al Riyadh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 27-Oct-25
2:0
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 23-Apr-25
2:2
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 28-Nov-24
1:2
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 02-May-24
2:2
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 09-Nov-23
1:1
Al Fateh Al Fateh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fateh

14 Mar Al Fateh Al Fateh - Al Hilal Al Hilal -

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Riyadh

13 MarAl Riyadh Al Riyadh - Al Ittihad Al Ittihad -

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr25
66-19
64
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah25
49-16
62
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi25
66-23
61
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah25
59-23
57
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon25
45-31
44
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC25
40-31
42
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq25
36-43
39
8 NEOM NEOM25
29-34
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej25
44-39
30
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha25
33-41
30
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh25
34-46
28
12 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm25
27-46
28
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab25
31-39
26
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood25
33-46
25
15 Damac Damac25
21-41
19
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh25
22-48
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood25
22-55
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma25
22-58
8
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