icon back

Match Prediction

Al Fateh vs Damac Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Fateh

€16.80m

26 Feb14:00
1 : 1

Damac

€12.55m

Preview

Al Fateh vs Damac Prediction Pro League

Al Fateh vs Damac prediction: goals, form, and value

The Al Fateh vs Damac prediction for Thursday, 26 February 2026 (kickoff 19:00 GMT) sits right at the intersection of urgency and opportunity. Al Fateh welcome Damac to Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, also marketed as Maydan Tamweel Aloula in broadcasts, with both sides needing points more than pretty football. For bettors, that tension often produces markets with clearer angles than the table suggests.

Context, form, and why this fixture often leans to a draw

Late February has not been kind to either camp. Al Fateh are 11th on 24 points and have struggled for wins, while Damac are 16th on 15 points and staring at the relegation line. Historically, this is a tricky head to head for anyone expecting a simple script: seven of the last 15 meetings ended level, with Al Fateh edging the overall record (5 wins to Damac’s 3).

  • Al Fateh recent pattern: winless in five (3 draws, 2 losses), but still scoring enough to worry opponents.
  • Damac recent pattern: one win in five, plus a managerial change aimed at stabilizing results quickly.
  • Recent head to head note: Al Fateh won 2–1 on 2025-01.26, despite being priced at 3.755 while Damac were 2.15.

That “draw gravity” also showed up in the first league meeting this season, which ended 1–1. Add two recent surprises—Al Fateh drawing away at Al Qadisiya (1–1) when priced around 7.5 for the win, and Damac drawing away at Al Fayha (1–1) at roughly 5.0—and it’s clear both teams can frustrate expectations.

Tactics, managers, and the players who shape the bet

José Gomes is still trying to make Al Fateh’s proactive style pay consistently. He typically sets them up in a 4.3-3 or 3.75-3-1, encouraging wide attacks and quick combinations. The upside is obvious: chances come in volume. The downside is also obvious: transitions can cut them open, as seen in their recent 3–4 loss to Al Ettifaq.

Damac, meanwhile, are in “survival mode.” Fábio Carille took charge on 10 February 2026 and has leaned into a defensive-first structure, aiming to restore confidence and grind points. The winter departure of Georges-Kévin Nkoudou reduces their one-on-one threat out wide, so they may rely more on structured counters and set pieces.

Players to watch

  • Matías Vargas (Al Fateh): 7 league goals, direct dribbler, big in transition moments.
  • Mourad Batna (Al Fateh): 8 assists, the main creative hub if Al Fateh dominate territory.
  • Valentin Vada (Damac): 7 goals, the most reliable route to an away goal.

Squad value also tilts slightly to the hosts (€16.80m vs €12.55m), but this match is less about name value and more about who manages the chaos better.

AI picks, betting odds, and match stats for smart bets

The market makes Al Fateh clear favorites with betting odds of 2.15 for the home win, 3.75 for the draw, and 4.3 for the away win. That pricing fits the table and home advantage, but it may not fully price in the fixture’s draw history and both teams’ recent habit of landing on 1–1 type scorelines.

Our strongest angle: goals over sides

NerdyTips rates over 1.5 goals as the best tip, with odds of 1.26 and a 5.8/10 trust level. That aligns neatly with the game model:

  • Expected final score: 2–2
  • Half-time expectation: 1–1
  • Shot forecast: Al Fateh 16 shots vs Damac 13
  • On-target shots: 5 vs 3
  • Possession: 52% vs 48% (close enough to suggest chances at both ends)

When possession is near-split and both teams project for double-digit shots, sports betting logic often says: don’t overcomplicate it. Back the match to produce at least two goals, especially with Al Fateh’s open style and Damac’s need to chase points.

1X2 lean: the draw is tempting, but low confidence

For the main result, NerdyTips’ AI points to X (Draw) at 3.75, but with a modest trust score of 2.0. The price is attractive given the head to head trend and the projected 2–2, yet the low confidence is a warning: Al Fateh’s stronger squad and home edge can still tilt it late, especially if Batna and Vargas click.

How we would frame it

  1. Main bet: Over 1.5 goals (1.26) — the safest read of the data and the tactics.
  2. Smaller stake option: Draw (3.75) — fits the rivalry pattern, but keep stakes sensible.

Final word for this Al Fateh vs Damac prediction: expect a busy, slightly messy match where both teams find a path to goal. If you’re choosing between drama and discipline, the numbers suggest we get a bit of both.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Damac didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Fateh vs Damac

O1.5 -385

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -385
5/10

1x2 Tip

X 275

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -385

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -149

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -164

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

1.96
xG
1.02
52%
Ball Possession
48%
16
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
5
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.62
Expected Goals
0.98
3.5
Total Goals
2.3
1.5
Goals Scored
0.7
2
Goals Against
1.6
46%
Possession
47%
13.1
Total Shots
12.1
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.6
5.8
Shots off Goal
5.5
13.4
Fouls
10.8
6.7
Corners
4.2
3.1
Offsides
2.7
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
319
Total Passes
366

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
1
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
8
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Fateh
4 - 7 - 2
Damac
Damac Damac 30-Oct-25
1:1
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Damac Damac 22-May-25
0:1
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 22-Jan-25
2:1
Damac Damac
Al Fateh Al Fateh 23-Feb-24
1:1
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 29-Aug-23
2:2
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 27-May-23
1:1
Damac Damac
Damac Damac 20-Jan-23
3:1
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Damac Damac 29-May-22
0:3
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 25-Nov-21
5:5
Damac Damac
Al Fateh Al Fateh 17-Apr-21
1:1
Damac Damac

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fateh

26 FebD Al Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1
23 FebW Al Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
19 FebL Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 4 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3
14 FebL Al Fateh Al Fateh 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2
07 FebD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
01 FebD Al Fateh Al Fateh 1 Al Hazem Al Hazem 1
29 JanD Al Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 2
25 JanL Al Fayha Al Fayha 2 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0
20 JanL Al Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 5
16 JanD Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Damac

05 MarDamac Damac - Al Riyadh Al Riyadh -
26 FebDAl Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1
23 FebLDamac Damac 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 1
20 FebLDamac Damac 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 3
12 FebWDamac Damac 2 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1
06 FebLAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2 Damac Damac 0
03 FebDDamac Damac 0 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0
30 JanLNeom SC Neom SC 3 Damac Damac 0
26 JanLAl Hazem Al Hazem 2 Damac Damac 1
21 JanLDamac Damac 1 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr24
65-19
61
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah24
46-15
59
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi24
62-23
58
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah24
55-22
54
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC24
39-28
42
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon24
42-29
41
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq24
35-42
38
8 NEOM NEOM24
29-33
32
9 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh24
32-43
28
10 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm24
26-44
28
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej24
42-38
27
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha24
28-41
27
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab24
30-38
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood24
32-42
25
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh24
22-45
16
16 Damac Damac24
18-41
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood24
22-50
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma24
22-54
8
Video preview
You might also like:
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Newcastle vs Manchester United PSG vs Monaco
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches