icon back

Match Prediction

Al Fayha vs Al Nassr Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Fayha

€15.60m

28 Feb14:00
1 : 3

Al Nassr

€133.40m

Preview

Al Fayha vs Al Nassr Prediction Pro League

Al Fayha vs Al Nassr prediction: late-season pressure at Majma’ah

The Al Fayha vs Al Nassr prediction for Saturday, 2026.252-28 (19:00 GMT) feels like a neat summary of the Saudi Pro League right now: a title-chasing giant arriving with momentum, and a stubborn mid-table side trying to turn one good night into a trend. Gameweek 24 lands at a time when every point has weight—Al Nassr are sitting right at the top end of the table conversation, while Al Fayha are trying to keep their season steady and avoid being dragged into trouble.

Context, tactics, and the match story

Al Nassr come in on a five-match winning run and with a defensive habit that is becoming just as important as their star power: nine straight clean sheets. Under Jorge Jesus, the blueprint has looked consistent—high press, controlled possession, and a 4-2-3-1 that squeezes opponents into rushed clearances. Jesus has even framed it plainly: keep clean sheets, keep winning. With rivals dealing with injuries, the door is slightly open for Al Nassr to create daylight at the top.

Al Fayha, currently mid-table, have been more unpredictable. Their last five reads like a heartbeat (D-W-L-W-L), and they were recently held 1-1 by NEOM SC with Yassine Benzia scoring again. Pedro Emanuel often prefers an attacking 4-3-3, but against the league’s biggest sides he typically lowers the risk and waits for counters—something they’ll likely need, given they’ve conceded 38 league goals.

Players who can shape the script

  • Cristiano Ronaldo (Al Nassr): 20 league goals, recently renewed until 2027, still the finishing reference point at 41.
  • João Félix (Al Nassr): the creative connector with 11 league goals, often the player who turns possession into real chances.
  • Bento (Al Nassr): a key reason clean sheets keep piling up; his calm distribution also supports the press.
  • Fashion Sakala (Al Fayha): 10 goals and their most direct threat if they can break pressure.
  • Chris Smalling (Al Fayha): the organiser tasked with making Ronaldo’s night uncomfortable.

In the head to head, Al Nassr have largely dictated terms: 15 wins in the last 20 meetings, and Al Fayha’s last win over them dates back to 2018. The most recent meeting on 2024-08-27 ended 1-4, a reminder that once Al Nassr score first, they tend to turn the match into a one-way road.

Al Fayha vs Al Nassr prediction and betting tips from NerdyTips

Now to the numbers that matter for sports betting. The 1X2 betting odds are blunt: Home win 11.5, Draw 6.25, Away win 1.28. Our models and NerdyTips’ model agree completely: the best tip is 2 (Al Nassr to win), both with a trust score of 10.0/10 at odds 1.28. That consistency is rare—and it fits the match shape.

Why the data points to an away win

  • Projected possession: Al Fayha 32% vs Al Nassr 68%—that’s a long evening without the ball.
  • Shot volume: 6 vs 15, with on-target shots 1 vs 6—chance quality leans heavily away.
  • Corner estimate: 1 vs 6—territory and pressure should belong to Al Nassr.
  • Squad value gap: €15.60m vs €133.40m—usually visible over 90 minutes.

Goal markets also tell a story. The under/over selection leans to under 3.5 goals at 1.52, but with a modest trust level (3.8). That “low-ish total” idea matches Al Nassr’s clean-sheet streak and Al Fayha’s likely conservative plan, yet the trust is lower because one early goal can force Al Fayha to open up.

Our correct score call is 0:2, with a first-half projection of 0:1. For bettors, that supports a simple approach: the Al Fayha vs Al Nassr prediction is away win as the core 1X2, and if you want an extra layer, consider pairing Al Nassr victory with a controlled total like under 3.5—because this looks more like method than chaos.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Al Nassr has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Fayha vs Al Nassr

2 -357

Al Nassr is expected to win with odds of -357
10/10

1x2 Tip

2 -357

Al Nassr is expected to win with odds of -357
10/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -154

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -132

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -256

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

0.55
xG
2
32%
Ball Possession
68%
6
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
5
1
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.85
Expected Goals
2
3.2
Total Goals
2.3
1.5
Goals Scored
2.2
1.7
Goals Against
0.1
42%
Possession
61%
9.5
Total Shots
15.5
3.1
Shots on Goal
6.2
3.8
Shots off Goal
5.1
9.6
Fouls
13.5
3.4
Corners
6.5
1.5
Offsides
2.7
1.3
Yellow Cards
1.89
357
Total Passes
507

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
10
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
1
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Fayha
1 - 4 - 14
Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 01-Nov-25
2:1
Al Fayha Al Fayha
Al Nassr Al Nassr 07-Feb-25
3:0
Al Fayha Al Fayha
Al Fayha Al Fayha 27-Aug-24
1:4
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 19-Apr-24
3:1
Al Fayha Al Fayha
Al Nassr Al Nassr 21-Feb-24
2:0
Al Fayha Al Fayha
Al Fayha Al Fayha 14-Feb-24
0:1
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Fayha Al Fayha 28-Oct-23
1:3
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Fayha Al Fayha 09-Apr-23
0:0
Al Nassr Al Nassr
Al Nassr Al Nassr 16-Oct-22
4:0
Al Fayha Al Fayha
Al Nassr Al Nassr 17-Mar-22
1:0
Al Fayha Al Fayha

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fayha

28 FebL Al Fayha Al Fayha 1 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3
25 FebD Al Fayha Al Fayha 1 Neom SC Neom SC 1
20 FebW Al Taawon Al Taawon 2 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3
13 FebL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 2 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1
05 FebW Al Fayha Al Fayha 3 Al Najma Al Najma 0
01 FebL Al Shabab Al Shabab 1 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0
28 JanW Al Fayha Al Fayha 3 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1
25 JanW Al Fayha Al Fayha 2 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0
22 JanL Al Hilal Al Hilal 4 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1
17 JanD Al Fayha Al Fayha 1 Damac Damac 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Nassr

28 FebWAl Fayha Al Fayha 1 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3
25 FebWAl Najma Al Najma 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 5
21 FebWAl Nassr Al Nassr 4 Al Hazem Al Hazem 0
18 FebWAl Nassr Al Nassr 1 Arkadag (Tkm) Arkadag (Tkm) 0
14 FebWAl Fateh Al Fateh 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2
11 FebWArkadag (Tkm) Arkadag (Tkm) 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1
06 FebWAl Nassr Al Nassr 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 0
02 FebWAl Riyadh Al Riyadh 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1
30 JanWAl Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3
26 JanWAl Nassr Al Nassr 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr23
62-18
58
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah23
45-15
56
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi23
57-20
55
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah23
54-21
53
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon23
41-28
40
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC23
38-28
39
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq23
34-39
38
8 NEOM NEOM23
28-31
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej23
42-37
27
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh23
31-42
27
11 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha23
27-38
27
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab23
27-33
25
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm23
23-43
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood23
30-41
22
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh23
22-44
16
16 Damac Damac23
17-40
15
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood23
19-49
10
18 Al Najma Al Najma23
21-51
8
Video preview
You might also like:
Everton vs Burnley Fulham vs West Ham Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches