Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha prediction time, and this one comes with a very “new era” feeling in Jeddah. Friday, 2026-02-13 (17:30 GMT) brings Matchday 22 of the Saudi Pro League to the more intimate Al Inma Stadium, where the noise tends to sit right on top of the pitch. Al Ittihad arrive in 6th on 34 points, Al Fayha in 11th on 23, and the table says “home control”… but the recent storylines say “don’t blink.”
Al Ittihad’s last five read L-W-L-W-D, and the most recent chapter was a frustrating 0-2 loss to Al Nassr on February 6. Sérgio Conceição is still in the phase where he asks for patience while he installs a high-intensity identity. That would be easier with fewer moving parts, but the winter window took two headline acts out of the script: Karim Benzema (to Al Hilal) and N’Golo Kanté (to Fenerbahçe). The upside? More minutes for younger legs, and new faces like Stéphane Keller (joined February 6) starting to matter quickly.
Al Fayha’s form is the opposite kind of rhythm: W-L-W-L-W. They come in fresh off a convincing 3-0 win over Al Najma (February 5), and Pedro Emanuel has been selling a message of resilience. Away from home, though, it’s been a tougher sell: only 2 wins in 10 away games. If they take something here, it will likely be earned the hard way, with patience, compact lines, and one or two sharp counter punches.
Conceição has leaned toward a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, with aggressive pressing and quick transitions. The complication is at the back: injuries have forced Fabinho into emergency duty as a makeshift centre-back at times, and the schedule has been brutal (10 matches in 25 days). That combination can make even a well-drilled press look like a group project done the night before.
Expect Al Fayha to respond with a disciplined 4-5-1 or 5-4-1 away setup. Their main idea is simple: absorb pressure, stay narrow, and release Fashion Sakala (their top scorer) into space when Al Ittihad’s line creeps up. It’s not flashy, but it can be effective—especially if the home side’s legs feel heavy after another week of football without much breathing room.
Now for the numbers, and they paint a familiar picture. The 1X2 odds put Al Ittihad firmly in the driver’s seat: home win 1.55, draw 4.25, away win 6.4. That gap matches the squad reality too—market value sits around €164.55m for Al Ittihad versus €15.60m for Al Fayha. Money doesn’t score goals, but it usually buys the kind of depth that matters in February.
Our system’s top betting tips point to 1 (Al Ittihad to win) at 1.55, with confidence 5.7/10. That confidence isn’t sky-high, and that’s important: the “new Ittihad” is still settling, and Al Fayha’s game plan is built to frustrate. But the overall balance—home pitch, stronger squad, and more ways to create chances—keeps the home win as the most sensible play.
The AI leans over 2.5 goals at 1.7 (trust level 4.9). That’s a moderate lean rather than a full sprint, but it fits the match logic: if Al Fayha concede early while sitting deep, their structure has to open up, and that’s when games can run away fast in Jeddah.
That 3-0 echo from the head to head history is hard to ignore, even if football loves rewriting scripts. And both teams have shown they can spring surprises: Al Ittihad winning away at Al Nassr on 2025-10-28 as a 5.8 underdog (1-2) is proof they can deliver chaos on demand; Al Fayha beating Al-Qadisiyah on 2024.254-12 at 5.65 (2-1) shows they don’t mind being the party crasher.
Still, for this Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha prediction, the simplest story remains the strongest: Al Ittihad at home should have enough pressure, enough chances, and enough quality to get over the line. If you want a clean angle, the home win is the headline; if you want a little spice, pair it with goals—just remember Al Fayha will try to turn the first hour into a chess match where the ball spends most of its time in crowded squares.
Read More
Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.35
1 -182
Al Ittihad is expected to win with odds of -1821 -182
Al Ittihad is expected to win with odds of -182Over 2.5 -118
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -111
At least one team is not expected to score1X&O1.5 -222
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:0
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10
-
4
-
5
|
|
 Al Fayha |
17-Oct-25
1:1
| Al Ittihad  |
| Al Ittihad |
11-May-25
3:0
| Al Fayha |
| Al Fayha |
11-Jan-25
1:1
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Ittihad |
29-Mar-24
3:1
| Al Fayha |
| Al Fayha |
31-Oct-23
0:3
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Fayha |
29-Sep-23
0:0
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Fayha |
27-May-23
0:3
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Fayha |
13-Mar-23
1:1
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Ittihad |
29-Jan-23
2:0
| Al Fayha |
| Al Ittihad |
19-Jan-23
3:0
| Al Fayha |
Recent Matches of Al Ittihad| 06 Mar | L |
Al Ahli SC
| 3 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
| 27 Feb | W |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
Al Khaleej
| 0 |
| 24 Feb | D |
Al Hazem
| 1 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
| 21 Feb | D |
Al Hilal
| 1 |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
| 17 Feb | W |
Al-Sadd (Qat)
| 1 |
Al Ittihad
| 4 |
| 13 Feb | W |
Al Ittihad
| 2 |
Al Fayha
| 1 |
| 10 Feb | W |
Al Ittihad
| 7 |
Al-Gharafa
| 0 |
| 06 Feb | L |
Al Nassr
| 2 |
Al Ittihad
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Al Ittihad
| 1 |
Al Najma
| 0 |
| 29 Jan | D |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
Al Ittihad
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Al Fayha
| 13 Mar | Al Fayha |
- |  Al Ettifaq |
- | |
| 07 Mar | W |  Al Okhdood |
0 | Al Fayha |
5 |
| 28 Feb | L | Al Fayha |
1 |  Al Nassr |
3 |
| 25 Feb | D | Al Fayha |
1 |  Neom SC |
1 |
| 20 Feb | W |  Al Taawon |
2 | Al Fayha |
3 |
| 13 Feb | L | Al Ittihad |
2 | Al Fayha |
1 |
| 05 Feb | W | Al Fayha |
3 |  Al Najma |
0 |
| 01 Feb | L |  Al Shabab |
1 | Al Fayha |
0 |
| 28 Jan | W | Al Fayha |
3 |  Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 25 Jan | W | Al Fayha |
2 |  Al Fateh |
0 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
