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Match Prediction

Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Kholood

€16.75m

17 Jan11:10
0 : 1

Al Ahli SC

€163.08m

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Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC Prediction Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC Prediction: Can the Underdogs Surprise Again?

If you’re looking for a clear and friendly Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC prediction, you’re in the right place. This Saudi Pro League match, set for January 17, 2026, at 15:10 GMT, brings together two teams with very different stories this season. While Al Ahli SC (sometimes just called Al Ahli) are flying high near the top of the table, Al Kholood are fighting to stay clear of the drop zone. But as we saw in their last head to head, anything can happen—especially when football decides to have a little fun at the bookies’ expense.

Team Form and Tactics: David vs Goliath, Saudi Style

Al Kholood enter this fixture in a rough patch. Out of their last 14 matches, they've lost nine, and their recent form reads like a sad country song: L-W-L-L-L. Their last league outing was a 0-4 defeat at home to Al Ittihad, and they’ve conceded 22 goals in their last 10 games—an average of 2.2 per match. The defense has been leaky, allowing the most goal attempts in the league (14.8 per match). It’s not all doom and gloom, though. Ramiro Enrique is a bright spot up front with 7 league goals, and goalkeeper Juan Cozzani is doing his best to keep the scorelines respectable, leading the league in saves per match.

On the other side, Al Ahli SC are enjoying life near the top of the table. With 28 points from 13 matches, they sit 4th and have lost just once all season. Their recent run—W-W-W-L-W—shows a team in control and brimming with confidence. Ivan Toney, with 9 goals, is a constant threat, and their tactical discipline under coach Matthias Jaissle is clear for all to see. Even with key players like Edouard Mendy, Riyad Mahrez, and Franck Kessié away at the Africa Cup of Nations, Al Ahli’s squad depth keeps them strong.

Head to Head and Key Numbers

Looking at the head to head record, Al Ahli SC have dominated, winning three of the last four meetings. The last time these two met in May 2025, Al Ahli SC cruised to a 4.85 victory. However, it’s worth remembering the shock result from January 2025, when Al Kholood pulled off a 1-0 win—despite the betting odds being heavily against them. That’s football for you: sometimes the underdog bites back.

Home and away stats tell us a bit more. Al Kholood have scored 11 of their 19 goals at home this season but have also conceded 16 on their own turf. Al Ahli SC, meanwhile, are rock-solid on the road, conceding just 2 away goals all season—the best in the league.

Team News and Player Watch

  • Al Kholood: Missing key players due to injuries and suspensions—William Troost-Ekong (suspended), Saad Al-Mousa (broken ankle), Houssem Aouar (muscle injury), and Abdulmalik Al-Harbi (long-term knee issue). Muhannad Al Yahya and Saud Al Elewai are away on international duty.
  • Al Ahli SC: Edouard Mendy, Riyad Mahrez, and Franck Kessié are away with their national teams. Yassin Al-Zubaidi and Rayan Hamed are back from injury, and Ivan Toney looks fully fit after a scare last spring.

Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC Prediction: AI Tips and Betting Odds

Let’s break down the Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC prediction using our trusted AI models and the latest stats. The betting odds are clear: 6.5 for a home win, 4.85 for a draw, and just 1.5 for an away win. The money says Al Ahli SC are favorites, and the numbers back that up.

  • Best Tip: Over 1.5 total goals in the match, with a trust rating of 7.6/10 and odds of 1.17. Both teams have shown they can be involved in games with goals, and with Al Kholood’s leaky defense, two or more goals look likely.
  • 1x2 Prediction: Our pick is “2” (away win) with a trust score of 7.5 and odds of 1.5. Al Ahli SC’s form, squad value (€163.08m vs €16.5m for Al Kholood), and recent head to head record make them the logical choice.
  • Predicted Score: 1-2 in favor of Al Ahli SC.
  • Half-time Prediction: 1-1. Expect Al Kholood to come out fighting at home, but Al Ahli’s quality should tell in the end.

Match Stats and What to Expect

  • Ball possession: 45% Al Kholood, 55% Al Ahli SC
  • Total shots: 8 for the home team, 12 for the away team
  • On-target shots: 2 for Al Kholood, 5 for Al Ahli SC
  • Total corners: 9 (4 for Al Kholood, 5 for Al Ahli SC)
  • Yellow cards: 1 for the home team, 2 for the away team

Final Thoughts: Should You Bet on the Favorite?

All signs point to an Al Ahli SC victory, but as we saw in their last head to head, you can never rule out a surprise. The best value bet is on over 1.5 total goals, given both teams’ attacking potential and defensive weaknesses. If you’re feeling brave, a small punt on Al Kholood isn’t the wildest idea—after all, they’ve shocked us before. Still, for most bettors, the smart money is on Al Ahli SC to take the points.

That wraps up our Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC prediction. Whether you’re backing the favorites or hoping for another underdog story, enjoy the match—and may your bets be as lucky as Al Kholood’s last upset!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Kholood vs Al Ahli SC

O1.5 -588

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -588
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 -200

Al Ahli SC is expected to win with odds of -200
7/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -588

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -141

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -357

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.72
xG
1.83
45%
Ball Possession
55%
8
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.96
Expected Goals
1.72
3.6
Total Goals
3
1.4
Goals Scored
2
2.2
Goals Against
1
47%
Possession
42%
11.3
Total Shots
12.2
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.5
4.4
Shots off Goal
4.1
9.9
Fouls
15.2
6.9
Corners
4.5
2
Offsides
3.3
1.38
Yellow Cards
3.14
395
Total Passes
317

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
2

Head to Head

Al Kholood
1 - 0 - 3
Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 17-May-25
4:1
Al Kholood Al Kholood
Al Kholood Al Kholood 15-Jan-25
1:0
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Kholood Al Kholood 07-Feb-23
1:2
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 05-Sep-22
1:0
Al Kholood Al Kholood

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Kholood

12 Mar Al Hazem Al Hazem - Al Kholood Al Kholood -
07 MarL Al Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
28 FebW Neom SC Neom SC 1 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2
24 FebW Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3
19 FebL Al Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2
14 FebL Al Najma Al Najma 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1
07 FebW Al Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0
03 FebD Damac Damac 0 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0
30 JanL Al Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3
24 JanL Al Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Ahli SC

13 MarAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya - Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC -
06 MarWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 3 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1
26 FebWAl Riyadh Al Riyadh 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 1
23 FebWDamac Damac 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 1
19 FebWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 4 Al Najma Al Najma 1
16 FebWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 4 Shabab A Shabab A 3
13 FebWAl Shabab Al Shabab 2 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 5
09 FebDAl Wahda Al Wahda 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 0
05 FebWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 2 Al Hazem Al Hazem 0
02 FebDAl Hilal Al Hilal 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 0

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr25
66-19
64
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah25
49-16
62
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi25
66-23
61
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah25
59-23
57
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon25
45-31
44
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC25
40-31
42
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq25
36-43
39
8 NEOM NEOM25
29-34
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej25
44-39
30
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha25
33-41
30
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh25
34-46
28
12 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm25
27-46
28
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab25
31-39
26
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood25
33-46
25
15 Damac Damac25
21-41
19
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh25
22-48
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood25
22-55
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma25
22-58
8
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