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Match Prediction

Al Najma vs Al Fateh Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Najma

€12.50m

16 Jan09:40
1 : 1

Al Fateh

€20.20m

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Al Najma vs Al Fateh Prediction Pro League

Al Najma vs Al Fateh Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Story-Style Preview

If you’re looking for the most readable and friendly Al Najma vs Al Fateh prediction on the web, you’ve come to the right place. With the Saudi Pro League heating up, sports betting fans and football romantics alike are eyeing this Matchday 16 fixture—kicking off at 13:40 GMT on January 16, 2026—with a mix of curiosity and, let’s be honest, a little concern for the home side. So, let’s dive into the stats, the stories, and the betting odds, all with a dash of humor and a keen eye for value.

Form, Fortunes, and Footballing Fates

It’s a tale of two teams heading in very different directions. Al Najma, currently rooted to the bottom of the table, have managed just two points from 14 matches. Yes, you read that right—zero wins, two draws, and a whopping twelve losses. Their goal difference? Ten scored, twenty-five conceded. If you’re searching for optimism, you might want to look elsewhere—or perhaps at their last home match, a wild 3-4 defeat to Al Ettifaq, which at least kept the crowd entertained.

Al Fateh, on the other hand, have been quietly climbing the standings. Sitting 10th with 14 points, they’ve picked up five wins, two draws, and six losses. Their recent form is impressive: four wins in their last five matches, including a gritty 1-0 victory over NEOM SC. They’re twelve points clear of the drop zone, and their fans have started to dream of a top-half finish.

Head to Head and Tactical Setups

Here’s a quirky fact for your next football quiz night: this is the first-ever competitive meeting between Al Najma and Al Fateh. With no head to head history to lean on, both managers are entering new tactical territory.

  • Al Najma are led by Mário Silva, who is surely feeling the heat. His side’s defensive frailties are well documented—an average of 2.29 goals conceded per match, and twelve shipped in their last six. Their home games are rarely dull, with over 2.5 goals in 70% of them.
  • Al Fateh, managed by José Gomes, are far more balanced. Their defense has tightened up recently (just four goals conceded in six matches), and they always look a threat on the break. Matías Vargas is their main man up front, already netting five goals, while Murad Batna’s seven assists have kept the attack ticking.

Squad Value, Key Players, and Betting Odds

Let’s talk numbers. Al Najma’s squad is valued at €12.50m, while Al Fateh’s is a more robust €20.20m—a gap that shows on the pitch. Al Najma’s hopes rest on the likes of Romell Quioto, Ali Jasim, and Bilal Boutobba, but confidence is low. Al Fateh, meanwhile, boast a deeper roster with Sofiane Bendebka and Jorge Fernandes shoring up the midfield and defense.

The betting odds reflect the gulf between the teams: 4.0 for a home win, 4.0 for a draw, and just 1.95 for an away win. In short, the bookies—and the form—favor Al Fateh.

AI Tips, Stats, and Our Al Najma vs Al Fateh Prediction

Now, let’s get nerdy. Our AI at NerdyTips has crunched the numbers, and here’s what stands out for this Al Najma vs Al Fateh prediction:

  1. X2 (Al Fateh win or draw) is the standout tip, with a confidence of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.29. Given Al Najma’s struggles, this feels as safe as a keeper picking up a back pass (well, almost).
  2. 1x2 prediction: Away win (2) comes in with a trust level of 8.3 and odds of 1.95. The away side’s form, squad value, and tactical discipline all point in this direction.
  3. Over 2.5 goals is another smart play, with a trust score of 4.7 and odds of 1.75. Both teams’ recent matches have seen plenty of action, and Al Najma’s leaky defense almost guarantees goals.

Match Stats and Expected Outcomes

  • Expected final score: 1-2 in favor of Al Fateh.
  • Half-time prediction: 0-1 to the visitors.
  • Possession: 47% for Al Najma, 53% for Al Fateh.
  • Total shots: 10 for the home side, 13 for the away.
  • Corners: 3 for Al Najma, 6 for Al Fateh.
  • Yellow cards: 1 for Al Najma, 2 for Al Fateh.

With all the stats, betting odds, and head to head analysis in mind, our Al Najma vs Al Fateh prediction is a confident away win. Al Fateh’s recent form, squad depth, and tactical balance should see them take all three points, while Al Najma will be hoping for a miracle—or at the very least, a defensive improvement.

For sports betting fans, the value lies in backing the visitors or a double chance (X2), and for those who like a bit of goalmouth action, over 2.5 goals is a tempting shout. Whatever happens, expect entertainment, a few twists, and maybe a new chapter in this fledgling head to head rivalry.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Najma vs Al Fateh

X2 -345

Al Fateh to win or draw with odds of -345
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -105

Al Fateh is expected to win with odds of -105
8/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -145

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -164

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -200

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.85
xG
1.77
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.66
Expected Goals
1.28
3.1
Total Goals
3
1.1
Goals Scored
1.6
2
Goals Against
1.4
43%
Possession
46%
8.8
Total Shots
10.8
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.1
3.7
Shots off Goal
3.5
8.7
Fouls
13.9
3.3
Corners
5.9
2.4
Offsides
2
1.63
Yellow Cards
2.38
365
Total Passes
301

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Najma
0 - 0 - 0
Al Fateh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Najma

12 Mar Al Najma Al Najma - Damac Damac -
06 MarL Al Hilal Al Hilal 4 Al Najma Al Najma 0
28 FebL Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 3
25 FebL Al Najma Al Najma 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 5
19 FebL Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 4 Al Najma Al Najma 1
14 FebW Al Najma Al Najma 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1
05 FebL Al Fayha Al Fayha 3 Al Najma Al Najma 0
01 FebL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1 Al Najma Al Najma 0
28 JanD Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1
25 JanL Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fateh

06 MarLAl Taawon Al Taawon 3 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2
26 FebDAl Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1
23 FebWAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
19 FebLAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 4 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3
14 FebLAl Fateh Al Fateh 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2
07 FebDAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
01 FebDAl Fateh Al Fateh 1 Al Hazem Al Hazem 1
29 JanDAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 2
25 JanLAl Fayha Al Fayha 2 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0
20 JanLAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 5

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr25
66-19
64
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah25
49-16
62
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi25
66-23
61
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah25
59-23
57
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon25
45-31
44
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC25
40-31
42
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq25
36-43
39
8 NEOM NEOM25
29-34
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej25
44-39
30
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha25
33-41
30
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh25
34-46
28
12 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm25
27-46
28
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab25
31-39
26
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood25
33-46
25
15 Damac Damac25
21-41
19
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh25
22-48
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood25
22-55
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma25
22-58
8
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