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Match Prediction

Al Najma vs Al Kholood Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Najma

€15.55m

14 Feb11:35
2 : 1

Al Kholood

€18.30m

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Al Najma vs Al Kholood Prediction Pro League

Al Najma vs Al Kholood prediction for a tense relegation six-pointer

The Al Najma vs Al Kholood prediction for Saturday, 14 February 2026 (15:35 GMT) comes with the kind of pressure you can almost hear in the stands. Round 22 of the Saudi Pro League brings a genuine relegation six-pointer to Al-Najma Club Stadium in Unaizah, with both sides chasing the same prize: another week of breathing space in the top flight.

Context, form, and why this match matters

Al Najma arrive rooted to the bottom (18th) with just 5 points, and the numbers are harsh: no wins in their last 18 matches in all competitions. Recent defeats have followed the same pattern too—painful losses like the 2.82 setback to Al-Fayha and the 1-0 defeat to Al-Ittihad, where small moments punished them. Still, there was a reminder they can suffer well: on 2026-01-20 they held Al Shabab away (0-0) despite massive 6.75 odds for a Najma win.

Al Kholood, 14th with 19 points, are not safe, but they do have momentum. The 1-0 win over Al Shabab on 7 February—sealed late by Abdulaziz Al Elewa—fed into their “final every week” mindset. And this team has shown it can shock big names before, like the 1-0 win over Al-Ahli Jeddah back on 2025-01-15 at wild 7.5 odds.

Tactical notes, team news, and head to head

Najma coach Mário Silva is expected to go pragmatic. With a defence conceding over 1.8 goals per game and a habit of conceding first, the priority should be staying alive early and keeping the crowd in it.

  • Al Najma squad notes: Long-term injuries to Mohammed Al-Kunaydiri and A. Al Harbi (cruciate ligaments). Creativity leans heavily on Ali Jasim and Bilal Boutobba. January arrivals Felippe Cardoso and Nabil Donga were brought in for instant impact.
  • Al Kholood squad notes: William Troost-Ekong is suspended (red card), while Abdulmalik Al-Harbi remains out after cruciate ligament surgery. Ramiro Enrique and Myziane Maolida lead the threat, with John Buckley key to their recent structure.
  • Recruitment angle: Al Kholood’s “Spanish connection” has shaped their market moves, including Iker Kortajarena, plus the addition of Edgaras Utkus.

The head to head picture leans Kholood. They beat Najma 1-0 in the most recent H2H on 2024-01-31, and reports from this season point to further Kholood success, including a 5-1 league win and a King’s Cup elimination.

Odds, NerdyTips betting tips, and predicted score

Bookmakers price this like a struggling home side trying to resist: Home win 2.82, Draw 3.5, Away win 2.38. Squad values add a small nudge too (€15.55m vs €18.30m), but the main edge is in stability and game management.

Best angles from our model

  • Best tip: X2 (Al Kholood win or draw) at 1.42 odds, confidence 5.2/10. With Najma’s winless run, “avoid the home win” is the sensible starting point.
  • 1X2 pick: Away win (2) at 2.38 odds, trust 4.1. The price is attractive, but the trust rating stays modest because relegation matches can turn chaotic fast.
  • Goals market: Over 1.5 at 1.26 odds, trust 3.3. Najma’s defensive issues suggest chances will appear, even if the game begins cautiously.

Our Al Najma vs Al Kholood prediction settles on a controlled away performance: predicted final score 0-2, with 0-1 at half-time. If Kholood score first, their counter-attacking style and Najma’s need to chase could make the second goal feel more likely than a comeback. For readers looking for safer betting tips, X2 fits the story of both the table and the tactics—while the away win is the bolder play for those comfortable with the risk.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Al Kholood didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Najma vs Al Kholood

X2 -238

Al Kholood to win or draw with odds of -238
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 138

Al Kholood is expected to win with odds of 138
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -400

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No 130

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -192

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
5

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
2.9
1
Goals Scored
1.3
1.9
Goals Against
1.6
10.3
Total Shots
9.9
3.6
Shots on Goal
2.9
3.4
Shots off Goal
4.4
9.8
Fouls
10.1
2.4
Offsides
2.4
396
Total Passes
355

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Najma
0 - 1 - 3
Al Kholood
Al Kholood Al Kholood 27-Oct-25
1:0
Al Najma Al Najma
Al Kholood Al Kholood 17-Oct-25
5:1
Al Najma Al Najma
Al Najma Al Najma 31-Jan-24
0:1
Al Kholood Al Kholood
Al Kholood Al Kholood 20-Aug-23
2:2
Al Najma Al Najma

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Najma

12 Mar Al Najma Al Najma - Damac Damac -
06 MarL Al Hilal Al Hilal 4 Al Najma Al Najma 0
28 FebL Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 3
25 FebL Al Najma Al Najma 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 5
19 FebL Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 4 Al Najma Al Najma 1
14 FebW Al Najma Al Najma 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1
05 FebL Al Fayha Al Fayha 3 Al Najma Al Najma 0
01 FebL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1 Al Najma Al Najma 0
28 JanD Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1
25 JanL Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Kholood

12 MarAl Hazem Al Hazem - Al Kholood Al Kholood -
07 MarLAl Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
28 FebWNeom SC Neom SC 1 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2
24 FebWAl Khaleej Al Khaleej 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3
19 FebLAl Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2
14 FebLAl Najma Al Najma 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1
07 FebWAl Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0
03 FebDDamac Damac 0 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0
30 JanLAl Kholood Al Kholood 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3
24 JanLAl Kholood Al Kholood 1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr25
66-19
64
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah25
49-16
62
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi25
66-23
61
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah25
59-23
57
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon25
45-31
44
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC25
40-31
42
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq25
36-43
39
8 NEOM NEOM25
29-34
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej25
44-39
30
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha25
33-41
30
11 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh25
34-46
28
12 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm25
27-46
28
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab25
31-39
26
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood25
33-46
25
15 Damac Damac25
21-41
19
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh25
22-48
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood25
22-55
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma25
22-58
8
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