Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
For our Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad prediction, the football is almost fighting to be the main event. This Saudi Pro League game on 2026-02-06 (kickoff 17:30 GMT) arrives with star power, title pressure, and a cloud of off-field noise that could change everything with one team sheet.
Al-Awwal Park will host what many still call the Saudi El Clasico, but this week it has an extra label: the “protest derby.” Fans are not just debating form and finishing; they are debating power, ownership influence, and who gets the shiny new toys.
The biggest headline is Cristiano Ronaldo’s situation. He missed Al Nassr’s 1-0 win over Al Riyadh on February 2, and reports indicated it was not an injury issue. The story doing the rounds is that Ronaldo has been unhappy with how the league’s big decisions have gone, especially with rivals appearing to get priority in recruitment. Whether he returns is still unclear as of February 3, and that uncertainty alone shapes the entire match narrative.
On the pitch, the managers offer a neat contrast. Jorge Jesus has leaned into speed and direct transitions, especially when Ronaldo is not leading the line. Without him, Al Nassr’s front options have looked more fluid, with João Félix, Sadio Mané, and Kingsley Coman rotating and attacking space quickly.
Sérgio Conceição, appointed in October 2025, has generally tried to make Al Ittihad harder to break down. His usual idea is a disciplined 4-2-3-1, with Fabinho and N’Golo Kanté acting like security guards in midfield: no fun unless you earn it.
The last head to head meeting adds spice: on 2025-10-28, Al Ittihad won 2-1 away at Al Nassr, a surprise given the away betting odds were 5.8 at the time. It was a reminder that this fixture can ignore reputations when emotions run hot.
The market still leans strongly home: 1.641 for Al Nassr, 4.35 for the draw, and 5.0 for Al Ittihad. Interestingly, squad values are basically a dead heat (€138.13m vs €141.6415m), so this is less about money and more about stability, form, and who handles the chaos.
So why does our Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad prediction still land on the home win despite the last head to head sting? Form and game control. Al Nassr have been winning even when the attack is not perfect, and Conceição’s Al Ittihad often starts cautiously, which fits the half-time call of 1-0.
The Under 3.5 pick has lower trust, but it matches the likely rhythm: Ittihad sitting deeper, Nassr probing, and a match that could be tense rather than wild. If Ronaldo returns a day after his 41st birthday, the script changes. If he stays out, Nassr’s pace-based front three still gives them enough to edge it—just maybe without fireworks.
Read More
1 -156
Al Nassr is expected to win with odds of -1561 -156
Al Nassr is expected to win with odds of -156Under 3.5 -137
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 147
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U5.5 -270
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
2:0
|
|
9
-
6
-
10
|
|
 Al Nassr |
28-Oct-25
1:2
| Al Ittihad  |
| Al Ittihad |
26-Sep-25
0:2
| Al Nassr |
| Al Nassr |
19-Aug-25
2:1
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Nassr |
07-May-25
2:3
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Ittihad |
06-Dec-24
2:1
| Al Nassr |
| Al Nassr |
27-May-24
4:2
| Al Ittihad |
| Al Ittihad |
26-Dec-23
2:5
| Al Nassr |
| Al Ittihad |
09-Mar-23
1:0
| Al Nassr |
| Al Ittihad |
26-Jan-23
3:1
| Al Nassr |
| Al Nassr |
02-Oct-22
0:0
| Al Ittihad |
Recent Matches of Al Nassr| 07 Mar | W |
Al Nassr
| 1 |
Neom SC
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | W |
Al Fayha
| 1 |
Al Nassr
| 3 |
| 25 Feb | W |
Al Najma
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 5 |
| 21 Feb | W |
Al Nassr
| 4 |
Al Hazem
| 0 |
| 18 Feb | W |
Al Nassr
| 1 |
Arkadag (Tkm)
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Al Fateh
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 2 |
| 11 Feb | W |
Arkadag (Tkm)
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 1 |
| 06 Feb | W |
Al Nassr
| 2 |
Al Ittihad
| 0 |
| 02 Feb | W |
Al Riyadh
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 1 |
| 30 Jan | W |
Al Kholood
| 0 |
Al Nassr
| 3 |
Recent Matches of Al Ittihad
| 06 Mar | L |  Al Ahli SC |
3 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 27 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
1 |  Al Khaleej |
0 |
| 24 Feb | D |  Al Hazem |
1 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 21 Feb | D |  Al Hilal |
1 | Al Ittihad |
1 |
| 17 Feb | W |  Al-Sadd (Qat) |
1 | Al Ittihad |
4 |
| 13 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
2 |  Al Fayha |
1 |
| 10 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
7 |  Al-Gharafa |
0 |
| 06 Feb | L | Al Nassr |
2 | Al Ittihad |
0 |
| 01 Feb | W | Al Ittihad |
1 |  Al Najma |
0 |
| 29 Jan | D |  Al Fateh |
2 | Al Ittihad |
2 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
