Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Welcome to our Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh prediction for the Saudi Pro League fixture scheduled for January 21, 2026, at Prince Hathloul Stadium in Najran. With both teams fighting to escape the lower reaches of the table, this match promises tension, tactical battles, and, for savvy bettors, some intriguing opportunities. Let’s break down the stats, tactics, and betting odds to help you make the smartest picks.
Al Okhdood and Al Riyadh might not be the league’s headline-makers, but their recent meetings have been anything but dull. Both sides are hovering near the relegation zone—Okhdood in 17th, Riyadh just above in 16th. The last eight head to head encounters have been split evenly, with each team winning four times and no draws, and a combined total of 21 goals (13 for Okhdood, 8 for Riyadh). Their most recent meeting, back in March 2025, saw Okhdood edge a 1-0 win.
Looking at recent form, Okhdood have managed just one win in their last five matches, scoring only twice and conceding eight. Their attack has struggled, averaging just 0.4 goals per game. Riyadh, meanwhile, are winless in five, with a single draw and four losses, conceding a hefty 12 goals in that span. Their defense has been leaky, letting in 2.4 goals per game, but they do manage to get on the scoresheet a bit more often than Okhdood.
From a tactical perspective, Okhdood tend to control possession (expected at 54% here) but struggle to convert it into clear chances, averaging just under eight shots per game recently. Riyadh, on the other hand, are more direct, averaging nearly 15 shots per match, but their finishing often lets them down. Okhdood’s best chance to score comes just before and after halftime, while Riyadh are most vulnerable in the same period.
The betting odds for this Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh prediction are as tight as the league table: Home win at 2.75, Draw at 3.3, and Away win at 2.85. Bookmakers see this as a near coin-flip, reflecting both teams’ inconsistent form and similar quality.
Our AI model at NerdyTips gives the edge to the home side, suggesting a 1X double chance (Okhdood win or draw) at odds of 1.53. However, the trust score is just 2.0/10, so caution is advised. The most promising market, according to our data, is under 3.5 total goals, with a trust score of 4.8/10 and odds of 1.25. Both teams have struggled for goals lately, and the expected final score is a narrow 1-0 win for Okhdood, with a goalless first half.
To sum up our Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh prediction: expect a tight, tactical affair with few goals and plenty of midfield battles. Both teams are desperate for points, but Okhdood’s home form and slightly better defensive record could tip the balance. The under 3.5 goals market stands out as the best value, while the 1X double chance is a sensible safety net for more cautious punters. As always, keep an eye on late team news—especially Okhdood’s injury list—before placing your bets.
Whether you’re looking for head to head trends, total goals markets, or the latest betting odds, this fixture offers value for those who do their homework. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your analysis!
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U3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4001X -222
Al Okhdood to win or drawUnder 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -119
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -159
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
1:0
|
|
4
-
0
-
4
|
|
 Al Riyadh |
08-Mar-25
1:0
| Al Okhdood  |
| Al Okhdood |
20-Oct-24
0:1
| Al Riyadh |
| Al Okhdood |
01-Mar-24
1:2
| Al Riyadh |
| Al Riyadh |
01-Sep-23
0:1
| Al Okhdood |
| Al Okhdood |
08-Feb-23
1:2
| Al Riyadh |
| Al Riyadh |
07-Sep-22
0:3
| Al Okhdood |
| Al Okhdood |
22-Feb-19
4:0
| Al Riyadh |
| Al Riyadh |
16-Nov-18
2:3
| Al Okhdood |
Recent Matches of Al Okhdood| 30 Jan |
Al Taawon.
|
-
| Al Okhdood.
| |
| 21 Jan | D |
Al Okhdood.
|
2:2
| Al Riyadh.
|
| 16 Jan | L |
Al Khaleej.
|
4:1
| Al Okhdood.
|
| 13 Jan | W |
Al Okhdood.
|
1:0
| Al Kholood.
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Al Okhdood.
|
0:1
| Al Ahli SC.
|
| 02 Jan | L |
Al Ettifaq.
|
2:0
| Al Okhdood.
|
| 30 Dec | L |
Al Okhdood.
|
0:1
| Damac.
|
| 27 Dec | L |
Al Nassr.
|
3:0
| Al Okhdood.
|
| 23 Nov | D |
Al Okhdood.
|
1:1
| Al Shabab.
|
| 07 Nov | L |
Al Fayha.
|
2:0
| Al Okhdood.
|
Recent Matches of Al Riyadh
| 28 Jan |  Al Najma. |
- |
Al Riyadh. | |
| 25 Jan | D | Al Riyadh. |
1:1 |
Al Hilal. |
| 21 Jan | D | Al Okhdood. |
2:2 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 18 Jan | L | Al Riyadh. |
1:3 |
Al Taawon. |
| 13 Jan | L |  Al Fateh. |
3:1 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 10 Jan | D | Al Riyadh. |
1:1 |
Al Fayha. |
| 04 Jan | L |  Al Qadisiya. |
4:0 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 29 Dec | L | Al Riyadh. |
1:2 |
Al Hazem. |
| 25 Dec | L | Al Riyadh. |
0:2 |
Al Ettifaq. |
| 21 Nov | L |  Al Ittihad. |
2:1 |
Al Riyadh. |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 17 | 45-16 | 45 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 17 | 29-12 | 40 |
| 3 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 17 | 41-16 | 39 |
| 4 |
Al-Nassr | 16 | 44-18 | 37 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 16 | 35-19 | 35 |
| 6 |
Al-Ettifaq | 17 | 27-26 | 29 |
| 7 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 16 | 29-20 | 27 |
| 8 |
Al Khaleej | 17 | 37-27 | 25 |
| 9 |
NEOM | 17 | 21-28 | 21 |
| 10 |
Al-Fateh | 17 | 22-31 | 21 |
| 11 |
Al-Hazm | 16 | 17-29 | 17 |
| 12 |
Al-Fayha | 17 | 16-31 | 17 |
| 13 |
Al Kholood | 17 | 25-32 | 15 |
| 14 |
Al Shabab | 17 | 14-25 | 13 |
| 15 |
Damac | 16 | 13-28 | 11 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 17 | 17-37 | 11 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 16 | 13-31 | 9 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 17 | 17-36 | 4 |
