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Match Prediction

Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Qadisiya

€119.65m

7 Feb12:30
1 : 1

Al Fateh

€16.80m

Preview

Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh Prediction Pro League

Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh prediction: goals, tempo and value

Our Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh prediction starts with a simple idea: this game should be lively. The Saudi Pro League meeting is set for 2025.02-07 at 17:30 GMT, played at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium in Khobar, where Al Qadisiya’s recent surge has turned matchday into a proper event again. With ticket demand rising in a 15.000-seat arena, the mood fits a match that could swing on small tactical details rather than reputation alone.

How the match may be played: styles that invite chances

Brendan Rodgers arrived in December 2025 and has quickly stamped a possession-first, front-foot identity on Al Qadisiya. It is not just the results (D-W-W-W-W); it’s the rhythm: a high line, aggressive pressing, and wide overloads that pull teams apart before the final pass. Against an opponent still searching for stability, that can look overwhelming for long stretches.

But José Gomes is too experienced to accept a track meet without a plan. Al Fateh have recently moved away from a deep 5.0-1 and into a more balanced 4-2-3.1, aiming to close the gaps in the box while keeping outlets for counter attacks. If Qadisiya push their line up, Fateh’s best moments may come from the space behind it.

Key tactical themes to watch

  • Qadisiya’s pressing vs Fateh’s first pass: if Al Fateh play through pressure, they can run into open grass.
  • Wide overloads and cut-ins: Qadisiya’s wingers drifting inside can crowd the half-spaces and open lanes for late runners.
  • Transition defending: Gomes will want quicker protection of the penalty area; Rodgers will want quick restarts and repeat waves.

Team news, form, and the players who tilt the story

On paper, the resources are wildly different: Al Qadisiya’s squad value sits around €119.65m, while Al Fateh are closer to €16.80m. Still, football rarely follows a spreadsheet, and this fixture has history: Al Fateh have won 5 of the last 13 head to head meetings, while Qadisiya have 3.

Recent form points to the home side, though. Qadisiya are 4th with 40 points and have mixed big performances with big scores, including January wins by 5.0 and 5-1, plus a 2-2 draw with Al Hilal. They also went to Al Nassr on 2025.3.1-08 and won 1-2 at massive betting odds of 5.0, the type of result that changes a dressing room’s belief.

  • Julian Quiñones remains the primary goal threat, with Musab Al-Juwayr supplying creativity.
  • Nacho Fernández organizes the back line, crucial if the game turns into transition defending.
  • Goalkeeper Koen Casteels is a major doubt (unknown injury), while J. Abdullatif Ahm is out with a torn thigh muscle.
  • Mateo Retegui has returned from minor thigh issues and is expected to start.

For Al Fateh, the pattern (D-D-L-L-W) shows the issue: too many draws, not enough control of key moments. Their 2-2 draw with Al Ittihad on 2025.3.1-29 (with Ittihad priced at 1.62) proved they can raise their level, and they followed with a 1-1 against Al Hazm on Feb 1.

  • Mourad Batna is still the main creator, with a strong assist output.
  • Matías Vargas has added spark since January, even while managing an ankle problem.
  • Wesley Delgado is one booking from suspension; Marwane Saâdane is back fit to steady the defense.

Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh prediction and AI betting tips

The market leans heavily to the hosts in the 1x2: home win 1.45, draw 5.0, away win 7.5. Those betting odds reflect Qadisiya’s form and squad depth, plus the memory of the last head to head on 2024-08-23 when Al-Qadisiyah FC won 3.0 (Qadisiya 1.65, Fateh 4.7). Still, our numbers see more danger than the price suggests.

What NerdyTips AI likes in sports betting terms

  • Best tip: Over 2.5 goals (trust 6.7/10, odds 1.457). Our AI also flags over 2.5 again for the under/over bet (trust 6.8, odds 1.457).
  • 1x2 angle: X2 (trust 1.45, odds 3.05). Low trust, but it hints that Fateh’s transition threat and Qadisiya’s high line could keep the game open.
  • Correct score lean: 2:2, with a predicted half-time score of 1:1.

These tips connect neatly with the tactics. Qadisiya’s attacking structure creates volume, but it also invites counters—especially if Casteels misses out and if Fateh’s Vargas and Batna find early space. That is why the over 2.5 goals call looks more stable than picking a side at short odds, even though bookmakers strongly favor a home win. For readers looking for a clean, readable Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh prediction, goals may be the safer story than certainty.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Al Qadisiya didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Qadisiya vs Al Fateh

O2.5 -182

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -182
6/10

1x2 Tip

X2 185

Al Fateh to win or draw
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -182

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 220

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

15
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
2
11
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

3.7
Total Goals
2.8
2.8
Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Goals Against
1.3
12.9
Total Shots
11.4
5.4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
5.3
13.3
Fouls
13.2
1.9
Offsides
2.6
554
Total Passes
311

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
5
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
4
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Qadisiya
2 - 4 - 5
Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 27-Sep-25
0:1
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Fateh Al Fateh 01-Feb-25
1:1
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 23-Aug-24
3:0
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 25-May-21
3:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 19-Jan-21
1:1
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 27-Jan-19
2:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 31-Aug-18
0:0
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 29-Jan-18
1:4
Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 13-Oct-17
2:1
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 06-Apr-17
1:2
Al Fateh Al Fateh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Qadisiya

28 Feb Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya - Al Taawon Al Taawon -
23 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0
20 FebW Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
12 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Neom SC Neom SC 0
07 FebD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
03 FebW Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1
29 JanD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Hilal Al Hilal 2
25 JanW Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3
22 JanW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1
18 JanW Al Hazem Al Hazem 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 5

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fateh

26 FebDAl Fateh Al Fateh 1 Damac Damac 1
23 FebWAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
19 FebLAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 4 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3
14 FebLAl Fateh Al Fateh 0 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2
07 FebDAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
01 FebDAl Fateh Al Fateh 1 Al Hazem Al Hazem 1
29 JanDAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 2
25 JanLAl Fayha Al Fayha 2 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0
20 JanLAl Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Kholood Al Kholood 5
16 JanDAl Najma Al Najma 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr23
62-18
58
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah23
45-15
56
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi23
57-20
55
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah23
54-21
53
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon23
41-28
40
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC23
38-28
39
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq23
34-39
38
8 NEOM NEOM23
28-31
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej23
42-37
27
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh23
31-42
27
11 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha23
27-38
27
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab23
27-33
25
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm23
23-43
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood23
30-41
22
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh23
22-44
16
16 Damac Damac23
17-40
15
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood23
19-49
10
18 Al Najma Al Najma23
21-51
8
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