Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Welcome to our Al Qadisiya vs Al Riyadh prediction, where we break down the latest stats, betting odds, and tactical insights for this intriguing Pro League fixture. With both teams bringing unique narratives to the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium on January 4, 2026, at 17:30 GMT, sports betting fans and football followers alike have plenty to consider. Let’s dive into the numbers, the context, and the best bets for this match.
Al Qadisiya, currently sitting 5th in the Saudi Pro League, have been quietly impressive this season. Their recent form is solid, remaining unbeaten in their last three outings and scoring in four consecutive matches. What really stands out is their defensive record at home—they’ve conceded fewer goals on their own turf than any other side in the league. In their last five games, they’ve picked up two wins and two draws, with just one defeat, netting 12 times (an average of 2.4 per game) and conceding 8 (1.6 per game).
Al Riyadh, on the other hand, are struggling to find their rhythm. Languishing in 16th place, they’re on a five-match winless run, with three straight losses and just two draws to show for their recent efforts. Their defense has been leaky, conceding the most goals in the division, and their away record is the weakest in the league.
Tactically, expect Al Qadisiya to dominate possession—our AI forecasts a whopping 70%—and to press high, using their midfield strength and quick transitions. Al Riyadh will likely sit deep, hoping to hit on the counter, but their recent defensive woes suggest they’ll have their hands full.
Looking at the head to head record, these sides have met 12 times since 2008. Al Qadisiya holds a slight edge with four wins to Al Riyadh’s three, while five matches have ended all square. In their last eight meetings, Al Qadisiya have three wins, Al Riyadh two, and three draws. Notably, Al Qadisiya have avoided defeat in five of their last seven encounters with Al Riyadh.
Squad values also tell a story: Al Qadisiya’s roster is valued at €129.23m, while Al Riyadh’s is higher at €192.15m—though that hasn’t translated into results on the pitch.
Now for the numbers that matter to sports betting fans. The current betting odds are heavily stacked in favor of the home side: 1.2 for an Al Qadisiya win, 5.8 for a draw, and a long 11.5 for an Al Riyadh victory. But as any seasoned punter knows, value can sometimes be found in the details.
Digging deeper into the stats, Al Qadisiya are expected to take 15 shots (5 on target), while Al Riyadh should muster 7 (3 on target). Corners could be plentiful—10 for the home side and 4 for the visitors. Discipline-wise, Al Riyadh are forecasted to pick up two yellow cards, while Al Qadisiya are expected to keep their noses clean.
To sum up our Al Qadisiya vs Al Riyadh prediction: while the home side are clear favorites in the betting odds, recent results and head to head history suggest this could be a more competitive fixture than expected. Over 2.5 goals looks like the standout bet for sports betting fans, and a draw or even a surprise away result can’t be ruled out. With both teams eager to kick off 2026 on a positive note, expect an entertaining contest with plenty of twists.
Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert analysis, betting odds updates, and all your Al Qadisiya vs Al Riyadh prediction needs!
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O2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161X2 240
Al Riyadh to win or drawOver 2.5 -161
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 106
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 292
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:1
2:2
|
|
2
-
1
-
1
|
|
 Al Qadisiya |
02-Mar-25
1:0
| Al Riyadh  |
| Al Riyadh |
04-Oct-24
2:1
| Al Qadisiya |
| Al Riyadh |
28-Feb-23
1:2
| Al Qadisiya |
| Al Qadisiya |
04-Oct-22
1:1
| Al Riyadh |
Recent Matches of Al Qadisiya| 29 Jan |
Al Qadisiya.
|
-
| Al Hilal.
| |
| 25 Jan | W |
Al Najma.
|
1:3
| Al Qadisiya.
|
| 22 Jan | W |
Al Qadisiya.
|
2:1
| Al Ittihad.
|
| 18 Jan | W |
Al Hazem.
|
1:5
| Al Qadisiya.
|
| 14 Jan | W |
Al Qadisiya.
|
5:0
| Al Fayha.
|
| 08 Jan | W |
Al Nassr.
|
1:2
| Al Qadisiya.
|
| 04 Jan | W |
Al Qadisiya.
|
4:0
| Al Riyadh.
|
| 31 Dec | W |
Al Shabab.
|
2:3
| Al Qadisiya.
|
| 27 Dec | D |
Al Qadisiya.
|
1:1
| Damac.
|
| 28 Nov | D |
Al Ahli SC.
|
3:3
| Al Qadisiya.
|
Recent Matches of Al Riyadh
| 28 Jan |  Al Najma. |
- |
Al Riyadh. | |
| 25 Jan | D | Al Riyadh. |
1:1 |
Al Hilal. |
| 21 Jan | D |  Al Okhdood. |
2:2 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 18 Jan | L | Al Riyadh. |
1:3 |
Al Taawon. |
| 13 Jan | L |  Al Fateh. |
3:1 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 10 Jan | D | Al Riyadh. |
1:1 |
Al Fayha. |
| 04 Jan | L | Al Qadisiya. |
4:0 |
Al Riyadh. |
| 29 Dec | L | Al Riyadh. |
1:2 |
Al Hazem. |
| 25 Dec | L | Al Riyadh. |
0:2 |
Al Ettifaq. |
| 21 Nov | L |  Al Ittihad. |
2:1 |
Al Riyadh. |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 17 | 45-16 | 45 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 17 | 29-12 | 40 |
| 3 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 17 | 41-16 | 39 |
| 4 |
Al-Nassr | 16 | 44-18 | 37 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 16 | 35-19 | 35 |
| 6 |
Al-Ettifaq | 17 | 27-26 | 29 |
| 7 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 16 | 29-20 | 27 |
| 8 |
Al Khaleej | 17 | 37-27 | 25 |
| 9 |
NEOM | 17 | 21-28 | 21 |
| 10 |
Al-Fateh | 17 | 22-31 | 21 |
| 11 |
Al-Hazm | 16 | 17-29 | 17 |
| 12 |
Al-Fayha | 17 | 16-31 | 17 |
| 13 |
Al Kholood | 17 | 25-32 | 15 |
| 14 |
Al Shabab | 17 | 14-25 | 13 |
| 15 |
Damac | 16 | 13-28 | 11 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 17 | 17-37 | 11 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 16 | 13-31 | 9 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 17 | 17-36 | 4 |
