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Match Prediction

Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Qadisiya

€119.72m

28 Feb14:00
1 : 1

Al Taawon

€37.12m

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Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon Prediction Pro League

Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon prediction: top-four tension

The Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon prediction for Saturday, 2026-02-28 (kickoff 19:00 GMT) feels like a story of two seasons moving in opposite directions: Al Qadisiya riding a wave toward the AFC Champions League places, and Al Taawon trying to rediscover the spark that lit up their early months. The setting is Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium in Khobar (20,100 seats), though big nights sometimes get moved to the larger venue in Dammam—either way, the home crowd will expect a statement.

Context, form, and the chess match on the pitch

Al Qadisiya sit 4th on 53 points and arrive with a remarkable unbeaten league run that has turned them into one of the league’s toughest puzzles to solve. Under Brendan Rodgers (appointed December 2025), “The Knights of the East” have looked sharper in possession and more ruthless in the final third, often lining up in a high-pressing 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1. The recent big-score wins tell the same story: pace out wide, quick combinations, and a front line that does not like sharing oxygen with defenders.

  • Key home pieces: Julián Quiñones (20+ league goals), Mateo Retegui (a headline January arrival), Musab Al-Juwayr (assist leader), and captain Nacho anchoring a defence that has conceded only 21 goals.
  • Home comfort: unbeaten at home this season (8 wins, 4 draws), making Khobar feel like a very expensive place for visitors to drop points.
  • Fitness note: goalkeeper Koen Casteels has been managing a minor issue, but is expected to be available.

Al Taawon, 5th on 40 points, trail by 13 and have recently been stuck in the “nearly” zone—winless in five before a gritty 1-1 with Al Hilal on 2026-02-24, a result that deserves a small frame on the wall given Al Hilal were priced at 1.35. Péricles Chamusca’s approach is typically more measured: absorb pressure, counter quickly, and hope the opponent’s high line leaves a gift-wrapped lane behind it.

  • Key away pieces: Roger Martínez as the main finisher, Angelo Fulgini as the chance-creator.
  • Injury blows: Musa Barrow (torn lateral knee ligament, out until May 2026) and defender M. Alhurayji are sidelined—two absences that shrink Taawon’s margin for error.

Head to head, motivation, and market mood

The head to head angle adds bite: the last meeting on 2025-01-11 ended 0-3 to Al Taawon, when Al Qadisiya were priced around 1.65. So yes, revenge is on the menu—and so is a reminder that football loves to laugh at form tables. Still, Al Qadisiya’s upward curve is real: they even beat Al Nassr away on 2026-01-08 at huge 5.4 odds (1-2), a result that screamed confidence.

Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon prediction and betting tips

Bookmakers lean heavily to the hosts: Home 1.395, Draw 5.4, Away 7.50. Our Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon prediction agrees, but without overconfidence—the main tip is 1 (home win) at 1.395, with 5.0/10 confidence. The 1X2 model also lands on 1 (confidence 5.1, odds 1.395).

What the numbers say (and how the game may look)

  • Expected score: 3-0 (half-time 1-0), suggesting early control then a second-half pull-away.
  • Possession: 63% Al Qadisiya vs 37% Al Taawon, matching Rodgers’ press-and-play style.
  • Shots: 16 vs 5 (on target 5 vs 2), pointing to a one-way shot count unless Taawon’s counters land clean.
  • Corners: 6-1 to Al Qadisiya (7 total), consistent with wing play and sustained pressure.
  • Discipline: 1 yellow for Qadisiya, 3 for Taawon—often what happens when you defend for long spells.
  • Squad value: €119.72m vs €37.12m, a financial gap that tends to show over 90 minutes.

For goals, the model prefers Over 2.5 at 1.53, though with a modest trust level (2.7). Translation: we see goals, but we also respect Taawon’s ability to keep things awkward if they survive the first wave. If you want simple, readable betting tips: Qadisiya to win is the clean angle; over 2.5 is the bolder companion. And if Taawon do it again, football will remind us—politely—that it did not ask for our predictions.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Qadisiya vs Al Taawon

1 -256

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -256
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -256

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -256
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -192

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -385

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

2.4
xG
0.92
63%
Ball Possession
37%
16
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
2
6
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.29
Expected Goals
1.52
3.6
Total Goals
2.6
2.8
Goals Scored
1.2
0.8
Goals Against
1.4
62%
Possession
53%
15.5
Total Shots
9.9
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.2
6.5
Shots off Goal
3.8
13.6
Fouls
11
6.5
Corners
4.2
2.1
Offsides
1
2.1
Yellow Cards
3
565
Total Passes
423

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
6
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Qadisiya
7 - 1 - 6
Al Taawon
Al Taawon Al Taawon 01-Nov-25
2:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Taawon Al Taawon 11-May-25
0:1
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 11-Jan-25
0:3
Al Taawon Al Taawon
Al Taawon Al Taawon 07-Jan-25
0:3
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Taawon Al Taawon 24-Sep-23
2:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Taawon Al Taawon 15-Mar-21
2:1
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Taawon Al Taawon 13-Feb-21
0:2
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 29-Oct-20
1:0
Al Taawon Al Taawon
Al Taawon Al Taawon 12-Apr-19
2:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 21-Dec-18
3:1
Al Taawon Al Taawon

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Qadisiya

23 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0
20 FebW Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
12 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Neom SC Neom SC 0
07 FebD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
03 FebW Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1
29 JanD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Hilal Al Hilal 2
25 JanW Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3
22 JanW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1
18 JanW Al Hazem Al Hazem 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 5
14 JanW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 5 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Taawon

24 FebDAl Taawon Al Taawon 1 Al Hilal Al Hilal 1
20 FebLAl Taawon Al Taawon 2 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3
12 FebLDamac Damac 2 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1
07 FebDAl Taawon Al Taawon 1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1
03 FebLAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0
30 JanWAl Taawon Al Taawon 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
26 JanLAl Nassr Al Nassr 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0
22 JanDAl Taawon Al Taawon 2 Al Hazem Al Hazem 2
18 JanWAl Riyadh Al Riyadh 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3
14 JanLAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 2 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr23
62-18
58
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah23
45-15
56
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi23
57-20
55
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah23
54-21
53
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon23
41-28
40
6 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC23
38-28
39
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq23
34-39
38
8 NEOM NEOM23
28-31
32
9 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej23
42-37
27
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh23
31-42
27
11 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha23
27-38
27
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab23
27-33
25
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm23
23-43
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood23
30-41
22
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh23
22-44
16
16 Damac Damac23
17-40
15
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood23
19-49
10
18 Al Najma Al Najma23
21-51
8
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