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Match Prediction

Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Qadisiya

€119.72m

12 Feb12:30
1 : 0

Neom SC

€82.15m

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Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC Prediction Pro League

Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC prediction: Rodgers’ wall meets Neom’s flair

Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC prediction time is almost here, with the Saudi Pro League meeting set for 2026.62-12 at 17:30 GMT. Round 22 brings a fixture many fans have circled because it is not just about points: it is two ambitious, heavily funded clubs trying to squeeze into the space usually reserved for the league’s traditional giants. The venue is expected to be Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium in Khobar, although some listings mention Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium in Dammam.

Context, form, and why this match matters

On paper, this is 4th versus around 8th/9th, but it reads like a test of maturity. Al Qadisiya have been trending upward under Brendan Rodgers since his arrival in December 2025, while Neom SC’s first Pro League season under Christophe Galtier has delivered bright moments and frustrating dips.

  • Al Qadisiya form: W-W-W-W-D, five unbeaten and increasingly hard to break down.
  • Neom SC form: W-D-W-L-D, dangerous but not always stable from week to week.
  • Reverse fixture: Al Qadisiya won 3–1 in October 2025, with Julián Quiñones scoring twice.

Tactical shape: control versus counter

Rodgers has leaned into a disciplined 4-3-3 that can morph into a 2-3-5 when Al Qadisiya settle into possession. The idea is simple: protect the middle, push fullbacks high, and create steady pressure for Mateo Retegui and Quiñones. The numbers back the eye test too—Al Qadisiya reportedly own the league’s best defensive record, conceding only 18 goals so far, and they have looked comfortable even in big games (including a 2–2 with Al Hilal).

Neom, by contrast, have often used a 4.4-3-1 or 4.4.4 with a mid-to-low block. When it works, it works fast: win the ball, find Saïd Benrahma early, and let Alexandre Lacazette lead the attack. Galtier has also been publicly demanding more consistency and better second-half focus—an honest message for a squad still learning how to manage games at this level.

Team news and key names

  • Al Qadisiya key pieces: Retegui, Quiñones, Nacho, Musab Al Juwayr, Koen Casteels, Julian Weigl. Squad looks close to full strength, with Al Juwayr back and sharp.
  • Neom SC key pieces: Lacazette, Benrahma, Abdoulaye Doucouré, Ahmed Hegazy, Salman Al-Faraj.
  • Neom absences: Marcin Bułka (ACL) and Abbas Al-Hassan (ACL) are both out, which matters for depth and match management.

Betting tips, odds, and NerdyTips model picks

The market leans toward the hosts, and it is easy to see why: Al Qadisiya are steadier, stronger defensively, and even their “statement” wins travel well—like the 1–2 away win at Al Nassr on 2026.61-08, where they were priced around 5.2. Add the financial muscle and squad profile, and you get a clearer edge: Al Qadisiya’s estimated market value is €119.72m versus Neom’s €82.15m.

  • 1X2 odds: Home 1.53, Draw 4.4, Away 6.6
  • NerdyTips best tip: 1 (home win) at 1.53, trust 6.6/10
  • Our 1X2 call: 1 (home win) at 1.53, confidence 6.6

For goals, the data points to control rather than chaos. Al Qadisiya’s defensive base and Rodgers’ pragmatic streak often keep games on script, while Neom’s counter-attacking plan can create chances without necessarily turning matches into shootouts—especially if they struggle to sustain intensity late on.

  • Goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.53, confidence 3.3
  • Correct score lean: 2:0
  • Half-time prediction: 1:0

Putting it together for readers searching Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC Prediction: the strongest angle remains the home win, with under 3.5 as a calmer side option. Neom have enough quality to scare anyone on the break, but Al Qadisiya look better built to collect points consistently—and this matchup feels like another step in that direction. For anyone checking head to head notes and betting tips, the reverse-game 3–1 and the projected 2–0 both tell the same story: Al Qadisiya to win, likely without needing a goal fest.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Al Qadisiya didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Qadisiya vs Neom SC

1 -189

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -189
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -189

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -189
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -200

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No 110

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -417

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
4

Average / Match

3.7
Total Goals
2.5
2.8
Goals Scored
1.1
0.9
Goals Against
1.4
13.3
Total Shots
11.7
5.3
Shots on Goal
4.1
5.1
Shots off Goal
4.9
12.9
Fouls
12.1
1.9
Offsides
1.9
550
Total Passes
397

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
7
8
Over 2.5 Goals
6
6
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Qadisiya
1 - 0 - 0
Neom SC
Neom SC Neom SC 19-Oct-25
1:3
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Qadisiya

05 Mar Al Kholood Al Kholood - Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya -
28 FebD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1
23 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0
20 FebW Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
12 FebW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Neom SC Neom SC 0
07 FebD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
03 FebW Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1
29 JanD Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Hilal Al Hilal 2
25 JanW Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3
22 JanW Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Neom SC

28 FebLNeom SC Neom SC 1 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2
25 FebDAl Fayha Al Fayha 1 Neom SC Neom SC 1
21 FebWAl Khaleej Al Khaleej 0 Neom SC Neom SC 1
12 FebLAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Neom SC Neom SC 0
06 FebWNeom SC Neom SC 1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0
02 FebDAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 1 Neom SC Neom SC 1
30 JanWNeom SC Neom SC 3 Damac Damac 0
24 JanLNeom SC Neom SC 0 Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 3
21 JanDAl Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0 Neom SC Neom SC 0
18 JanLNeom SC Neom SC 1 Al Hilal Al Hilal 2

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr24
65-19
61
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah24
46-15
59
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi24
62-23
58
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah24
55-22
54
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC24
39-28
42
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon24
42-29
41
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq24
35-42
38
8 NEOM NEOM24
29-33
32
9 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh24
32-43
28
10 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm24
26-44
28
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej24
42-38
27
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha24
28-41
27
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab24
30-38
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood24
32-42
25
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh24
22-45
16
16 Damac Damac24
18-41
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood24
22-50
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma24
22-54
8
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