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Match Prediction

Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Riyadh

€184.80m

25 Jan12:30
1 : 1

Al Hilal

€184.80m

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Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Prediction Pro League

Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Prediction: Stats, Odds & Expert Analysis

Welcome to NerdyTips’ expert take on the Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal prediction for the Saudi Pro League fixture set for January 25, 2026, at 17:30 GMT. If you’re after a clear, data-driven preview with a dash of wit, you’re in the right place. We'll break down tactics, recent form, head to head history, and our AI’s betting predictions to help you make sense of the betting odds and total goals markets.

Form Guide and Tactical Overview

On paper, this Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal prediction looks straightforward. Al Hilal, the perennial Saudi Pro League leaders, arrive in Riyadh with a near-perfect record: 13 wins and 2 draws from 15 league matches, a whopping 41 points, and no losses. Their attack is relentless—40 goals scored, just 14 conceded—and they haven’t dropped points in their last five league outings. Al Hilal’s dominance is no fluke; they’ve also bagged 19 wins and 2 draws in all competitions this season, netting 55 goals in the process.

Al Riyadh, meanwhile, are fighting at the other end of the table. They sit 16th, having collected just 9 points from 15 matches. Their defensive frailties are evident: 34 goals conceded, only 14 scored, and no wins in their last five league games. For Sabri Lamouchi’s side, survival is the name of the game.

Head to Head and Squad News

  • Head to head: Al Hilal have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last five, including a 2-0 victory in August 2025. Al Riyadh are still searching for their first win against Al Hilal in the last decade, with the head to head record showing 17 wins for Al Hilal and 10 draws.
  • Squad Value: Both teams are valued at €184.80m, but that’s where the similarities end.
  • Al Hilal team news: New signings like Theo Hernandez and Darwin Nunez have added firepower, but injuries are a concern. Captain Salem Al Dawsari is being monitored for a pelvic contusion, Ruben Neves has a quadriceps issue, and Aleksandar Mitrović remains sidelined. Joao Cancelo recently left on loan to Barcelona, and there’s a long list of other knocks and niggles.
  • Al Riyadh team news: Mohamed Konate leads their attack, and the squad is largely new, assembled for this campaign. No major injury worries have surfaced recently.

Tactical Insights

Expect Al Hilal, under Simone Inzaghi, to dominate possession and dictate the tempo, likely controlling up to 66% of the ball. Their approach will be proactive, using quick passing and width to stretch Al Riyadh’s defense. Al Riyadh, on the other hand, will look to stay compact and organized, hoping to hit on the break. Their expected 34% possession and just 9 shots (with 2 on target) reflect a reactive game plan.

Betting Odds and Market Analysis

  • Home win: 16.0
  • Draw: 8.0
  • Away win: 1.21

The betting odds highlight Al Hilal’s overwhelming status as favorites, with a home win for Al Riyadh priced at a massive 16.0. The draw is also considered unlikely at 8.0, while an away win is almost expected at 1.21. The total goals market is also in focus, with over 2.5 goals offered at 1.38.

NerdyTips AI Predictions: What the Numbers Say

  1. Best tip: Over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.38, trust level 4.2/10)
  2. 1X2 market prediction: 1X (home or draw) at odds of 5.0, confidence 2.0/10
  3. Predicted final score: 2:2 (with a 1:1 scoreline at half-time)
  4. Expected ball possession: Al Riyadh 34%, Al Hilal 66%
  5. Shots on target: Al Riyadh 2, Al Hilal 7
  6. Expected corners: Al Riyadh 3, Al Hilal 8 (total 11)
  7. Yellow cards: 1 for each team

While the stats and form scream “Al Hilal win,” our AI isn’t ruling out a surprise. The 1X prediction (home or draw) is given a low confidence level but juicy odds of 5.0, suggesting value for the brave. Our AI’s best tip is over 2.5 goals, which aligns with both teams’ recent scoring and conceding patterns. The predicted 2:2 draw is bold, especially considering Al Riyadh’s struggles, but it reflects the unpredictability of football—especially when the underdog has nothing to lose.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

  • Al Hilal are clear favorites, but recent surprises—like Al Riyadh’s draw at Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Hilal’s shock win at Manchester City—show that anything is possible.
  • The over 2.5 goals market is the most logical bet, with both teams likely to contribute to the scoreline given Al Hilal’s attacking strength and Al Riyadh’s defensive gaps.
  • For those seeking big odds, a draw or home double chance (1X) could be worth a speculative punt.

Final Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Prediction

To sum up, our Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal prediction leans heavily towards a high-scoring affair, with Al Hilal expected to dominate but Al Riyadh capable of springing a surprise. Backing over 2.5 total goals looks sensible, but don’t rule out a dramatic draw if Al Riyadh find their shooting boots. Whether you’re following the form or chasing value in the betting odds, this fixture promises entertainment and, perhaps, a few surprises.

Stay tuned for more expert head to head analysis, total goals tips, and the latest betting odds right here at NerdyTips.

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal

O2.5 -263

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -263
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X 365

Al Riyadh to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -263

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -109

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 406

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:2

Stats Predictions

0.72
xG
2.4
34%
Ball Possession
66%
9
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.8
Expected Goals
2.34
3
Total Goals
3.6
0.9
Goals Scored
2.9
2.1
Goals Against
0.7
37%
Possession
59%
13.5
Total Shots
18.2
4.3
Shots on Goal
7.2
5.9
Shots off Goal
6.2
14.1
Fouls
9.6
4.2
Corners
8
1.5
Offsides
2.6
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.67
330
Total Passes
509

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
10
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
4
Over 3.5 Goals
6
8
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Riyadh
0 - 1 - 4
Al Hilal
Al Hilal Al Hilal 29-Aug-25
2:0
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Al Hilal Al Hilal 14-Feb-25
1:1
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 14-Sep-24
0:3
Al Hilal Al Hilal
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 08-Mar-24
1:3
Al Hilal Al Hilal
Al Hilal Al Hilal 15-Sep-23
6:1
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Riyadh

28 Jan Al Najma Al Najma.
-
Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh
25 JanD Al Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Al Hilal. Al Hilal
21 JanD Al Okhdood Al Okhdood.
2:2
Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh
18 JanL Al Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:3
Al Taawon. Al Taawon
13 JanL Al Fateh Al Fateh.
3:1
Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh
10 JanD Al Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Al Fayha. Al Fayha
04 JanL Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya.
4:0
Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh
29 DecL Al Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:2
Al Hazem. Al Hazem
25 DecL Al Riyadh Al Riyadh.
0:2
Al Ettifaq. Al Ettifaq
21 NovL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad.
2:1
Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Hilal

25 JanDAl Riyadh Al Riyadh.
1:1
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
22 JanWAl Hilal Al Hilal.
4:1
Al Fayha.Al Fayha
18 JanWNeom SC Neom SC.
1:2
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
12 JanWAl Hilal Al Hilal.
3:1
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
08 JanWAl Hilal Al Hilal.
3:0
Al Hazem.Al Hazem
04 JanWDamac Damac.
0:2
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
31 DecWAl Kholood Al Kholood.
1:3
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
26 DecWAl Hilal Al Hilal.
3:2
Al Khaleej.Al Khaleej
22 DecWAl Sharjah Al Sharjah.
0:1
Al Hilal.Al Hilal
29 NovWAl Hilal Al Hilal.
4:1
Al Fateh.Al Fateh

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
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