Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
Al Shabab vs Al Fayha Prediction time: Sunday, 2026-02-01, 15:15 GMT (18:15 local) at the SHG Arena in Riyadh. This one has “lower-mid table nerves” written all over it, the kind of match where three points feel like a warm blanket and one mistake feels like a week of bad sleep.
Both sides are fighting for positioning in that crowded lower-to-mid zone, so the word “six-pointer” is not an exaggeration. Al Shabab arrive with bigger names and a much higher squad value (€42.08m vs €15.27m), but Al Fayha have shown they can be annoyingly efficient when you least want them to be.
Imanol Alguacil’s Al Shabab typically want the ball, slow-cook the game, and create chances through combinations. The issue lately is finishing those meals. Without Abderrazak Hamdallah (hamstring tear, expected back mid-February), possession can turn into “nice passing” rather than goals. Still, with Yannick Carrasco stretching the pitch and creators like Yacine Adli and Josh Brownhill, the home side should be the team asking most questions. Marcelo Grohe’s experience in goal also matters in matches like this, where one counter can ruin your afternoon.
Pedro Emanuel’s Al Fayha are usually happy to sit deep and break fast. Fashion Sakala is the spearhead, Yassine Benzia is the helper, and Chris Smalling organizes the back line like a man who has seen every type of striker trick in the book. They recently showed the plan working with limited possession and maximum punishment on transitions. If Al Shabab push full-backs high, Fayha will try to hit that space immediately.
The head to head trend leans Al Shabab historically, and the last notable meeting we have (2.1-01-27) ended 2.1 for Al Shabab. That said, these games can tighten up when the table pressure rises. Also worth remembering: Al Shabab once went to Al Hilal and grabbed a 2-2 draw despite huge pre-match odds (6.0), so they can compete when written off. Al Fayha also have a habit of upsetting prices, like their 2.1 win over Al-Qadisiyah when they were around 5.65.
Let’s get practical with the betting odds: Home win 2.1, Draw 3.65, Away win 4.45. The market slightly favors Al Shabab, but not with full trust—probably because their finishing can disappear for long stretches.
Our top tip is 1X at 1.27 with confidence 8.4.450. It fits the match script: Al Shabab should control territory, and even if Fayha counter well, the away win still feels like the hardest outcome to land. In a game with tactical caution and table tension, “don’t lose at home” is a sensible angle.
The straight 1 is priced at 2.1 with trust 6.6/10. That’s the bolder play: you’re basically betting that Shabab’s chance creation (Carrasco, Adli, Brownhill) beats Fayha’s compact block over 90 minutes, even without Hamdallah. If you like value, this is where it is—just accept a few nervous moments.
For total goals, the model leans Over 1.5 at 1.276, but with a modest confidence of 4.8/10. That “low confidence” is important: it suggests goals are more likely than not, yet not a lock. The expected score is 2.1, with an interesting half-time call of 0-1—so don’t be shocked if Al Fayha make things awkward early before Shabab rally.
Al Shabab vs Al Fayha prediction summary: safer bettors can take 1X, braver ones can chase the 2.1 home win, and goals bettors should keep expectations realistic—this may be a slow burn before it turns spicy.
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Al Shabab didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1X -370
Al Shabab to win or draw with odds of -3701 110
Al Shabab is expected to win with odds of 110Over 1.5 -256
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 102
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -141
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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10
-
3
-
3
|
|
 Al Fayha |
19-Sep-25
0:0
| Al Shabab  |
| Al Fayha |
26-May-25
0:2
| Al Shabab |
| Al Shabab |
27-Jan-25
2:1
| Al Fayha |
| Al Shabab |
06-Jan-25
2:1
| Al Fayha |
| Al Shabab |
07-Mar-24
2:3
| Al Fayha |
| Al Fayha |
15-Sep-23
0:1
| Al Shabab |
| Al Shabab |
09-Mar-23
3:2
| Al Fayha |
| Al Fayha |
02-Oct-22
1:2
| Al Shabab |
| Al Fayha |
27-Feb-22
1:2
| Al Shabab |
| Al Shabab |
01-Oct-21
2:1
| Al Fayha |
Recent Matches of Al Shabab| 07 Mar | D |
Al Ettifaq
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 1 |
| 27 Feb | L |
Al Shabab
| 3 |
Al Hilal
| 5 |
| 23 Feb | W |
Al Shabab
| 3 |
Al Riyadh
| 1 |
| 20 Feb | W |
Damac
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 3 |
| 18 Feb | W |
Al Shabab
| 13 |
Tadamon
| 0 |
| 13 Feb | L |
Al Shabab
| 2 |
Al Ahli SC
| 5 |
| 11 Feb | D |
Al Nahda
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | L |
Al Kholood
| 1 |
Al Shabab
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Al Shabab
| 1 |
Al Fayha
| 0 |
| 29 Jan | W |
Al Hazem
| 0 |
Al Shabab
| 4 |
Recent Matches of Al Fayha
| 07 Mar | W |  Al Okhdood |
0 | Al Fayha |
5 |
| 28 Feb | L | Al Fayha |
1 |  Al Nassr |
3 |
| 25 Feb | D | Al Fayha |
1 |  Neom SC |
1 |
| 20 Feb | W |  Al Taawon |
2 | Al Fayha |
3 |
| 13 Feb | L |  Al Ittihad |
2 | Al Fayha |
1 |
| 05 Feb | W | Al Fayha |
3 |  Al Najma |
0 |
| 01 Feb | L | Al Shabab |
1 | Al Fayha |
0 |
| 28 Jan | W | Al Fayha |
3 |  Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 25 Jan | W | Al Fayha |
2 |  Al Fateh |
0 |
| 22 Jan | L |  Al Hilal |
4 | Al Fayha |
1 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 25 | 66-19 | 64 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 25 | 49-16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 25 | 66-23 | 61 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 25 | 59-23 | 57 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon | 25 | 45-31 | 44 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 25 | 40-31 | 42 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 25 | 36-43 | 39 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 25 | 29-34 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al Khaleej | 25 | 44-39 | 30 |
| 10 |
Al-Fayha | 25 | 33-41 | 30 |
| 11 |
Al-Fateh | 25 | 34-46 | 28 |
| 12 |
Al-Hazm | 25 | 27-46 | 28 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 25 | 31-39 | 26 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 25 | 33-46 | 25 |
| 15 |
Damac | 25 | 21-41 | 19 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh | 25 | 22-48 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 25 | 22-55 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 25 | 22-58 | 8 |
