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Match Prediction

Al Shabab vs Al Najma Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Shabab

€49.88m

20 Jan10:05
0 : 0

Al Najma

€12.50m

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Al Shabab vs Al Najma Prediction Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al Najma Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines for 2026

The Al Shabab vs Al Najma prediction is one that has fans and punters alike scratching their heads, as both sides look to turn their fortunes around in the Saudi Pro League. With the match set for January 20, 2026, at the King Fahd International Stadium, this encounter offers more than just three points—it’s a battle for pride, momentum, and perhaps a little bit of redemption. Let’s dive into the details, tactics, and betting tips that could shape your weekend ticket.

Team News, Tactics, and What to Expect

If you’re expecting a tactical masterclass, you might want to temper your expectations—both teams have been more “heart in mouth” than “textbook perfection” this season. Here’s what we know:

  • Al Shabab (currently 14th) have struggled for consistency, with just 2 wins from 14 games and a worrying -10 goal difference. Their home form is slightly better, but conceding 22 goals in 14 matches tells its own story. The positive? They’re fresh off a 3-2 win over NEOM SC, with Yannick Carrasco (7 goals this season) looking sharp and Abderrazak Hamdallah likely to return after international duty.
  • Al Najma are rooted to the bottom of the table, still searching for their first win. With just 2 points from 14 games and a -17 goal difference, their defense has been as leaky as a sieve. Away from home, it’s even bleaker: 1 draw, 7 defeats, and 15 goals scored to 32 conceded overall. Their last outing—a 1-1 draw with Al Fateh—offered a rare glimmer of hope.

Injury and suspension woes are hitting both squads. Al Shabab are missing several key players, including Mohammed Harbush and Vincent Sierro, while three others are suspended. Al Najma are without Samer Ahmed Faqih (suspended) and have a lengthy injury list, with Deybi Flores and Jawad El Yamiq among those absent or away on international duty.

Tactically, Al Shabab under Imanol Alguacil like to play on the front foot, but their defensive frailties are a constant concern. Expect them to dominate possession (projected at 55%) and create chances, but don’t be surprised if they leave the back door open. Al Najma, under Mário Silva, will likely set up to frustrate and counter, knowing that their best chance is to keep things tight and hope for a lucky break.

Head to Head, Squad Value, and Key Stats

While there’s little recent head to head data, some sources suggest Al Najma have the better historical record, with three wins to Al Shabab’s two in their last six meetings. Still, with Al Najma’s last top-flight campaign dating back to 2002-03, history might not count for much here.

  • Squad Value: Al Shabab’s squad is worth nearly €50 million, dwarfing Al Najma’s €12.5 million. On paper, this is a mismatch.
  • Discipline: Al Shabab have picked up 5 red cards this season—the most in the league. If you’re betting on cards, keep that in mind!
  • Shots & Corners: Expect Al Shabab to register 14 shots (4 on target) and 6 corners, while Al Najma are projected for 9 shots (3 on target) and 3 corners.

Both sides have a habit of conceding—Al Shabab have let in at least one goal in 11 straight league matches, while Al Najma have conceded in each of their last five. If you’re a fan of goalmouth action, this could be your kind of game.

AI Betting Tips, Odds, and Final Al Shabab vs Al Najma Prediction

Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. The odds are stacked in favor of the home team: Al Shabab are priced at 1.47 for the win, the draw is 4.85, and a shock Al Najma victory is out at 6.75. The data and our AI models agree—this is Al Shabab’s game to lose.

  1. Best Bet: Over 1.47 Goals – Odds: 1.19, Confidence: 8.4.850. Both teams love to attack and hate to defend. With both leaking goals and the over 1.47 hitting in almost every recent match, this looks as safe as a bet gets in football.
  2. 1.19 Prediction: Al Shabab Win – Odds: 1.47, Trust Level: 4.85/10. The home side’s superior squad, recent win, and attacking options make them strong favorites, even if their defense keeps things interesting.
  3. Correct Score Prediction: 3:2. The AI expects a lively affair, with Al Shabab’s attacking talent just edging out a spirited Al Najma side. If you like a flutter on correct scores, this one could offer value.

Expect a match with plenty of action, a few defensive lapses, and a home crowd that might need their nerves of steel. If you’re looking for betting tips, the over 1.47 goals market is our top pick, but don’t rule out Al Najma sneaking a goal or two on the break.

To sum up, the Al Shabab vs Al Najma prediction is for goals, drama, and a likely home win—though with these two, expect the unexpected. Whether you’re betting or just watching, this is one to enjoy with your favorite matchday snack and maybe a stress ball or two.

Key Takeaways for Your Bets

  • Al Shabab’s firepower and home advantage make them favorites, but their defense is always a risk.
  • Al Najma’s form is poor, but their fighting spirit could see them on the scoresheet.
  • Over 1.47 goals is the safest play, with a 3:2 final scoreline looking like a smart long shot.

Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Yannick Carrasco’s finishing!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Najma

O1.5 -526

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -526
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -213

Al Shabab is expected to win with odds of -213
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -526

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -133

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -303

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

1.1
xG
0.78
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.89
Expected Goals
0.72
3.4
Total Goals
3.2
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
2.2
Goals Against
2
40%
Possession
44%
9.8
Total Shots
10
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.3
4.2
Shots off Goal
4.1
10.8
Fouls
8.8
4.3
Corners
3.4
2.2
Offsides
2.3
3
Yellow Cards
1.43
300
Total Passes
386

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
0
10
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Shabab
0 - 0 - 0
Al Najma

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Shabab

29 Jan Al Hazem Al Hazem.
-
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
24 JanD Al Khaleej Al Khaleej.
0:0
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
20 JanD Al Shabab Al Shabab.
0:0
Al Najma. Al Najma
17 JanL Al Nassr Al Nassr.
3:2
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
14 JanW Al Shabab Al Shabab.
3:2
Neom SC. Neom SC
09 JanL Al Taawon Al Taawon.
2:0
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
03 JanL Al Fateh Al Fateh.
2:0
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
31 DecL Al Shabab Al Shabab.
2:3
Al Qadisiya. Al Qadisiya
27 DecL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad.
2:0
Al Shabab. Al Shabab
23 DecD Al Shabab Al Shabab.
2:2
Al Khor. Al Khor

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Najma

28 JanAl Najma Al Najma.
-
Al Riyadh.Al Riyadh
25 JanLAl Najma Al Najma.
1:3
Al Qadisiya.Al Qadisiya
20 JanDAl Shabab Al Shabab.
0:0
Al Najma.Al Najma
16 JanDAl Najma Al Najma.
1:1
Al Fateh.Al Fateh
12 JanLAl Hazem Al Hazem.
3:2
Al Najma.Al Najma
08 JanLAl Najma Al Najma.
3:4
Al Ettifaq.Al Ettifaq
02 JanDAl Najma Al Najma.
2:2
Al Khaleej.Al Khaleej
29 DecLAl Taawon Al Taawon.
1:0
Al Najma.Al Najma
25 DecLNeom SC Neom SC.
2:1
Al Najma.Al Najma
22 NovDDamac Damac.
0:0
Al Najma.Al Najma

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
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