Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Preview
The Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej prediction for Saturday, 7 February 2.776 (kickoff 15:30 GMT) feels like one of those Matchday 21 stories where the details matter. Alinma Stadium in Buraidah has been kind to Al Taawon, and with both sides sitting in the top half, the points here carry real weight: Taawon are hunting a top-four lane, while Khaleej want to keep their mid-table comfort without getting dragged into a messy run.
Start with the table picture: Al Taawon are 5th with 38 points from 18 matches, and their home form has been a steady platform. They are on an eight-game unbeaten run at home, and they have failed to score in only one home match all season. That is not “perfect”, but it is the kind of baseline that makes opponents sweat.
Péricles Chamusca usually sets Taawon up in a 4-3-3, and the plan is simple to describe but hard to stop: stay compact, then break fast. They have been one of the league’s best counter-attacking sides, and it fits their personnel.
There are a few warning lights, though. Musa Barrow is still out long-term with a knee ligament injury, and three regulars—El Mahdioui, Flávio, and Muteb Al-Mufarrij—are one yellow away from suspension. That can affect how aggressively they press and tackle.
Georgios Donis leans into an attacking 4-4-2. Al Khaleej are 8th on 25 points, dangerous going forward but not always tidy when the game turns in transition. A recent 3-1 loss to Al Fayha underlined the issue: when their shape breaks, they can be played through.
The January window also changed their look. They added goalkeeper Rayan Al Dossary and midfielder Murad Al Hawsawi, but they still miss Ibrahim Sehić (out for the season) and Marcel Tisserand (injured). If Taawon spring counters into those spaces, Donis’ “tighten up” message will be tested quickly.
Let’s blend the story with the numbers. The 1X2 betting odds are: Home 2.77, Draw 3.2.885, Away 2.88. On paper, that says Taawon are favoured, but not in runaway style—useful context for sports betting decisions.
The head to head leans Taawon: they have 6 wins in the last 14 meetings (Khaleej 2, draws 6). In the last H2H on 2.774-09-13, Taawon won 2-0, priced at 1.85 while Khaleej were 4.1. Also, both teams have shown they can ruin a coupon: Taawon drew away at Al-Nassr (1-1) at massive 10.0 odds in May 2.775, and Khaleej smashed Al Shabab 1.54 away in August 2.775 at 5.2.
Why does 1X fit the match? Because Taawon’s home “floor” is high, while Khaleej’s away threat often arrives late—great for drama, less great for a clean away win. The goals angle also makes sense: Taawon’s counter speed vs Khaleej’s transition gaps is a classic recipe for chances at both ends.
Our projected final score is 2.77, with a first-half lean of 1:0. That matches the idea of Taawon starting sharp at home, then needing to manage Khaleej’s late push. For anyone building a bet slip, the Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej prediction starts with safety (1X) and then looks to goals for upside.
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Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.39
1X -185
Al Taawon to win or draw with odds of -1851 177
Al Taawon is expected to win with odds of 177Over 2.5 -122
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -159
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -110
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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5
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4
-
1
|
|
 Al Khaleej |
27-Oct-25
1:1
| Al Taawon  |
| Al Khaleej |
25-Sep-25
0:1
| Al Taawon |
| Al Khaleej |
15-Feb-25
0:1
| Al Taawon |
| Al Taawon |
13-Sep-24
2:0
| Al Khaleej |
| Al Taawon |
18-Apr-24
1:1
| Al Khaleej |
| Al Khaleej |
26-Oct-23
1:1
| Al Taawon |
| Al Khaleej |
15-May-23
0:2
| Al Taawon |
| Al Taawon |
06-Jan-23
0:1
| Al Khaleej |
| Al Taawon |
20-Apr-17
0:0
| Al Khaleej |
| Al Khaleej |
03-Dec-16
0:1
| Al Taawon |
Recent Matches of Al Taawon| 06 Mar | W |
Al Taawon
| 3 |
Al Fateh
| 2 |
| 28 Feb | D |
Al Qadisiya
| 1 |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
| 24 Feb | D |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
Al Hilal
| 1 |
| 20 Feb | L |
Al Taawon
| 2 |
Al Fayha
| 3 |
| 12 Feb | L |
Damac
| 2 |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | D |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
Al Khaleej
| 1 |
| 03 Feb | L |
Al Ettifaq
| 1 |
Al Taawon
| 0 |
| 30 Jan | W |
Al Taawon
| 1 |
Al Okhdood
| 0 |
| 26 Jan | L |
Al Nassr
| 1 |
Al Taawon
| 0 |
| 22 Jan | D |
Al Taawon
| 2 |
Al Hazem
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Al Khaleej
| 06 Mar | W | Al Khaleej |
2 |  Al Hazem |
1 |
| 27 Feb | L |  Al Ittihad |
1 | Al Khaleej |
0 |
| 24 Feb | L | Al Khaleej |
2 |  Al Kholood |
3 |
| 21 Feb | L | Al Khaleej |
0 |  Neom SC |
1 |
| 14 Feb | D |  Al Riyadh |
1 | Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 07 Feb | D | Al Taawon |
1 | Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 03 Feb | L | Al Khaleej |
0 |  Al Qadisiya |
1 |
| 28 Jan | L |  Al Fayha |
3 | Al Khaleej |
1 |
| 24 Jan | D | Al Khaleej |
0 |  Al Shabab |
0 |
| 20 Jan | L |  Al Ahli SC |
4 | Al Khaleej |
1 |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr | 24 | 65-19 | 61 |
| 2 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 24 | 46-15 | 59 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 24 | 62-23 | 58 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah | 24 | 55-22 | 54 |
| 5 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 24 | 39-28 | 42 |
| 6 |
Al Taawon | 24 | 42-29 | 41 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 24 | 35-42 | 38 |
| 8 |
NEOM | 24 | 29-33 | 32 |
| 9 |
Al-Fateh | 24 | 32-43 | 28 |
| 10 |
Al-Hazm | 24 | 26-44 | 28 |
| 11 |
Al Khaleej | 24 | 42-38 | 27 |
| 12 |
Al-Fayha | 24 | 28-41 | 27 |
| 13 |
Al Shabab | 24 | 30-38 | 25 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood | 24 | 32-42 | 25 |
| 15 |
Al Riyadh | 24 | 22-45 | 16 |
| 16 |
Damac | 24 | 18-41 | 16 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood | 24 | 22-50 | 13 |
| 18 |
Al Najma | 24 | 22-54 | 8 |
