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Match Prediction

Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction

Finished

Alaniya V

€3.10m

24 May06:00
1 : 2

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Alaniya V vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction First League

Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction: Can the Underdogs Upset the Odds?

If you love your football with a side of unpredictability and a dash of statistical intrigue, the Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik prediction for May 24, 2025, is the kind of matchup that keeps your spreadsheets—and your heart—racing. The early kickoff at Stadion im. Sultana Bilimkhanova (11:00 GMT) is set to serve up a contest where the numbers tell one story, but the teams love rewriting the script.

Betting Odds and Value: Who’s Really the Favorite?

Let’s get nerdy with the odds, shall we? The bookies have laid their cards on the table:

  • Alaniya Vladikavkaz home win: 4.46
  • Draw: 4.466
  • FK Neftekhimik away win: 1.86

These numbers whisper that Neftekhimik are the favorites, but not by a landslide. The away win is priced tighter than a goalkeeper’s gloves, and yet, with home wins in the First League clocking in at 39.4% and away wins just 27.8%, the home side might have more of a puncher’s chance than the odds suggest. Add in a draw rate of 32.8%, and you suddenly see why this one could go any way.

NerdyTips AI: Under the Hood of the Predictions

The Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik prediction from our AI partners is clear but cautious. Here’s the lowdown:

  • Best tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.863, trust level 3.4/10)
  • Preferred 1x2 bet: X2 (Neftekhimik or Draw) (odds 1.35, trust score 2.0/10)
  • Predicted final score: 0:2 (with both goals in the first half!)

Now, the trust levels aren’t exactly screaming “bet your house,” but there’s logic here. With only 38.8% of First League games going over 2.5 goals, and just 18.6% breaking the 3.5 barrier, this is a league where defenses tend to win arguments. The AI’s call for under 2.5 goals (even if it’s a bit shy about it) fits the broader trend—most matches here are more chess than pinball.

Head to Head: History Lessons and Odds Shifts

Let’s rewind to the last head to head: August 14, 2022. Alaniya edged it 1-0 at home, with odds then favoring them at 1.67, while Neftekhimik were the underdogs at 3.95. Fast forward to now, and the tables have turned—Neftekhimik are favorites, Alaniya the value pick. What’s changed? For one, squad values: Alaniya’s total worth is €4.460m, while Neftekhimik tip the scales at €6.68m. Money doesn’t guarantee goals, but it often buys a deeper bench.

Recent Form: When the Unexpected Becomes the Norm

If you think you can predict Russian First League football, think again. Alaniya’s 1-1 away draw at KAMAZ (odds 5.35!) and Neftekhimik’s 1-1 with FC Sochi (odds 5.3) both bucked the bookies. These results remind us that, in this league, underdogs bite and favorites sometimes trip over their own shoelaces. Both teams have shown they can grind out results when least expected.

League Averages: What the Numbers Say

  • Home wins: 39.4%
  • Away wins: 27.8%
  • Draws: 32.8%
  • Both teams scoring: 42.1%
  • Over 1.863 goals: 61.4%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 38.8%
  • Over 3.5 goals: 18.6%

With under 2.5 goals landing in over 60% of games, the AI’s tip looks even smarter. And with less than half of all matches seeing both teams score, that predicted 0:2 result for Neftekhimik isn’t far-fetched.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

So, what’s the bottom line for your Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik prediction? Here’s how it all shakes out:

  1. Under 2.5 goals is the statistically sound play, even if the AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high. The league’s defensive tendencies and both sides’ recent form back it up.
  2. X2 (Neftekhimik or Draw) is the AI’s preferred 1x2 bet. With Neftekhimik’s squad value and the bookies nudging them as favorites, it’s a sensible call.
  3. Don’t rule out surprises. Both teams have a habit of defying expectations, so keep your stakes sensible and your sense of humor intact.

The Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Neftekhimik prediction may lean toward an away win, but if this league has taught us anything, it’s to expect the unexpected. Whether you’re a stat-head, a casual fan, or just here for the drama, this is one to watch—and maybe, just maybe, one to bet on with a little caution and a lot of curiosity.

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AI Predictions
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Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Alaniya V vs FK Neftekhimik

U2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -526

FK Neftekhimik to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -154

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -137

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -175

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Average / Match

3.4
Total Goals
1.9
1.1
Goals Scored
0.6
2.3
Goals Against
1.3
1.56
Yellow Cards
1.67
0.22
Red Cards
0

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
1
10
Over 1.5 Goals
6
8
Over 2.5 Goals
2
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2 - 2 - 4
FK Neftekhimik
Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya V 24-May-25
1:2
Neftekhim FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik Neftekhim 21-Sep-24
0:0
Alaniya V Alaniya Vladikavkaz
FK Neftekhimik Neftekhim 03-Mar-24
3:0
Alaniya V Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya V 24-Jul-23
1:0
Neftekhim FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik Neftekhim 05-Mar-23
0:0
Alaniya V Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya V 14-Aug-22
1:0
Neftekhim FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik Neftekhim 06-May-22
5:2
Alaniya V Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Russia - First League Russia - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Baltika Baltika34
50-18
69
2 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva34
51-25
65
3 Chernomorets Chernomorets34
51-34
64
4 Ural Ural34
50-38
59
5 FC Sochi FC Sochi34
55-34
57
6 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk34
44-41
53
7 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva34
41-31
50
8 Enisey Enisey34
36-39
49
9 Rotor Volgograd Rotor34
32-26
47
10 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula34
25-30
41
11 KAMAZ KAMAZ34
31-35
38
12 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik34
31-37
38
13 Chayka Chayka34
31-43
38
14 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik34
24-42
35
15 FC UFA FC UFA34
32-48
35
16 FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol34
25-41
32
17 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya34
24-50
27
18 Tyumen Tyumen34
30-51
27
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