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Match Prediction

Albacete vs Zaragoza Prediction

Finished

Albacete

€13.20m

31 Jan11:15
2 : 0

Zaragoza

€21.75m

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Albacete vs Zaragoza Prediction Segunda División

Albacete vs Zaragoza prediction: value in a tight game

The Albacete vs Zaragoza prediction for Saturday, January 31, 2026 (15:15 GMT) feels like one of those Segunda afternoons where one goal can decide everything and everyone pretends they always saw it coming. Albacete welcome Zaragoza to the Estadio Carlos Belmonte with both sides needing points for different reasons: Albacete to keep climbing, Zaragoza to stop the relegation worries getting too loud.

Match context, team news, and the tactical feel

Albacete sit 12th on 30 points and come in with confidence after a “dream” run that includes league wins over Valladolid and Cádiz. The big mood-booster was that famous Copa del Rey night on January 14, when they beat Real Madrid 3-2 as huge underdogs (odds were 10.25). When you’ve just knocked off Madrid, a rainy 1-0 in the league doesn’t feel so scary.

  • Albacete key men: Antonio Puertas (7 goals) and Jefte Betancor (5) are the main finishers, while Riki Rodríguez keeps the ideas flowing in midfield.
  • Albacete absences: Higinio Marín is out, while Fidel, D. González Polanco, and Alejandro Meléndez are all listed as doubtful.
  • January tweaks: signings like Lluís López (defender) and Samuel Obeng (forward) add depth for the second half of the season.

Under Alberto González, Albacete have looked more serious without the ball. Expect a balanced 4.3-3-1 and quick breaks toward Puertas and Betancor rather than endless passing for the sake of it.

Zaragoza, meanwhile, are 21st on 22 points and living in the relegation zone. They did take a solid 0-0 against Castellón last time out, but consistency has been the problem. Rubén Sellés, appointed in October 2025, wants a high press, but this week he has a headache on the left side of defense.

  • Zaragoza standout: goalkeeper Esteban Andrada leads the league in saves per match (4.3), which is both impressive and… slightly worrying.
  • Zaragoza missing pieces: Dani Tasende is suspended, Carlos Pomares is a major doubt, while Radovanovic and Paulino are out.
  • New faces: Willy Agada could debut as the reference striker; Rober González arrives on loan for extra creativity.

In the recent head to head, Albacete won 2-1 on 2025-01.92. They are also said to be unbeaten in eight straight against Zaragoza, which matters psychologically even if the table says otherwise.

AI betting tips for Albacete vs Zaragoza prediction

The market makes Albacete slight favorites: Home win 1.92, Draw 3.5, Away win 4.3. Interestingly, squad value leans Zaragoza (€21.75m vs €13.20m), but football doesn’t hand out points for Transfermarkt pages.

Best bet: Under 3.5 goals

NerdyTips’ model points to Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a confidence around 5.1/10 (NerdyTips trust 5.2). The expected scoreline is 1-0, with a 0-0 half-time prediction. That lines up with the game script: Albacete steady, Zaragoza cautious, and Andrada likely busy.

  • Expected tempo: possession is close (49% Albacete, 51% Zaragoza), so neither side should fully dominate.
  • Chance count: Albacete are projected for 16 shots to Zaragoza’s 10, but only 4 vs 3 on target.
  • Set pieces and discipline: about 10 total corners (6-4) and more yellows for Zaragoza (3 vs 1), which can slow rhythm and help the under.

For beginners who prefer a cushion, the AI leans to 1X (Albacete or draw) at 1.3, though with a low trust rating (1.92). With Albacete’s form and Zaragoza’s defensive reshuffle, it’s understandable, but the real value looks stronger in goals markets.

Final take: this Albacete vs Zaragoza prediction is about patience. If you’re hunting betting tips that fit the likely story, Under 3.5 goals feels like the sensible pick—because Segunda rarely does fireworks unless someone forgets to bring the defenses.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Albacete didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Albacete vs Zaragoza

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
5/10

1x2 Tip

1X -385

Albacete to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 102

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.83
xG
1.41
49%
Ball Possession
51%
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.53
Expected Goals
1.6
2.5
Total Goals
2.6
1.3
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Against
1.3
43%
Possession
53%
13.1
Total Shots
11.9
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.7
5.4
Shots off Goal
5.4
10.9
Fouls
12.7
5.2
Corners
4.7
1.6
Offsides
2.8
1.83
Yellow Cards
3.43
339
Total Passes
401

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
8
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Albacete
6 - 7 - 2
Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 15-Sep-25
0:0
Albacete Albacete
Albacete Albacete 07-Feb-25
2:1
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 30-Nov-24
0:1
Albacete Albacete
Zaragoza Zaragoza 02-Jun-24
1:1
Albacete Albacete
Albacete Albacete 25-Nov-23
1:0
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 26-Mar-23
1:1
Albacete Albacete
Albacete Albacete 06-Dec-22
0:0
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Albacete Albacete 22-Jan-21
1:0
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Zaragoza Zaragoza 11-Oct-20
1:0
Albacete Albacete
Albacete Albacete 17-Jul-20
4:1
Zaragoza Zaragoza

Profile time Recent Matches of Albacete

16 Mar Albacete Albacete - Las Palmas Las Palmas -
07 MarD Huesca Huesca 0 Albacete Albacete 0
27 FebD Albacete Albacete 1 Almeria Almeria 1
22 FebL Malaga Malaga 1 Albacete Albacete 0
15 FebD Albacete Albacete 1 Gijon Gijon 1
08 FebL Deportivo Deportivo 2 Albacete Albacete 1
03 FebL Albacete Albacete 1 Barcelona Barcelona 2
31 JanW Albacete Albacete 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 0
24 JanW Valladolid Valladolid 0 Albacete Albacete 1
18 JanW Albacete Albacete 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Zaragoza

14 MarZaragoza Zaragoza - Almeria Almeria -
06 MarWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 0 Zaragoza Zaragoza 1
28 FebLZaragoza Zaragoza 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 1
22 FebLAndorra Andorra 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 1
14 FebDCultural Cultural 0 Zaragoza Zaragoza 0
07 FebDZaragoza Zaragoza 1 Eibar Eibar 1
31 JanLAlbacete Albacete 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 0
25 JanDZaragoza Zaragoza 0 Castellon Castellon 0
17 JanDZaragoza Zaragoza 1 Real II Real II 1
10 JanWRacing S Racing S 2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 3

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing29
60-39
56
2 Almeria Almeria29
56-40
52
3 Castellón Castellón29
48-33
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La29
44-33
49
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas29
38-22
48
6 Malaga Malaga29
44-34
48
7 Burgos Burgos29
32-26
46
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC29
36-43
44
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon29
38-37
42
10 Eibar Eibar29
32-30
41
11 Cordoba Cordoba29
41-41
41
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra29
36-40
38
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad29
42-41
37
14 Albacete Albacete29
33-39
36
15 Granada CF Granada CF29
34-33
35
16 Cadiz Cadiz29
29-36
35
17 Leganes Leganes29
29-29
34
18 Valladolid Valladolid29
32-41
33
19 Huesca Huesca29
26-37
31
20 Zaragoza Zaragoza29
24-41
27
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural29
27-47
27
22 Mirandes Mirandes29
28-47
24
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