Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Uruguay
Preview
For an Apertura opener, this one has a very “back-to-work” feel. Our Albion vs Liverpool M. prediction lands on a match that could be more about control than chaos when the ball rolls on 2.126-02-06 at 22:00 GMT. Albion, the old “Pionero” of Uruguayan football, return to the top flight as second-division champions. Liverpool Montevideo arrive with a point to prove after a rough 2.12 and a squad rebuild that still looks like it’s settling.
There’s also a very Montevideo twist: both sides are effectively sharing the city’s spare keys. Albion are using Estadio Luis Franzini while Parque Falco Lichtemberger gets upgraded, and Liverpool’s usual home, Belvedere, has also been under major reconstruction. It’s an opener without the comfort of routine — and those games often start cautiously.
Albion begin this Apertura under Federico Nieves, appointed on January 1 after Joaquín Boghossian stepped aside for health reasons (staying on as a sporting advisor). Nieves has talked up a “protagonist” approach, typically in a 4-2-3-1: press early, move the ball forward fast, and make the wings matter. The names fit the idea: Francisco Ginella to set rhythm in midfield, Leonardo Pais and Hernán Toledo for width, and veteran striker Tobías Figueroa brought in late January to add a finisher’s touch.
Liverpool, meanwhile, are in the “new paint, same walls” stage. Camilo Speranza took charge in December 2.12 and has been trying to push a more possession-first style. The problem in recent months has been converting neat spells into goals — and cutting out the defensive lapses that dragged them down last season. Rubén Bentancourt leads the line, with Martín Campaña still the experienced voice in goal and Kevin Amaro a key young piece at the back. Jean Rosso remains out with a cruciate ligament injury, which matters in a match where margins could be tiny.
Recent notes add texture. In their most recent head to head meeting (2.122.12-08), it ended 1-1, and Albion were priced as outsiders (3.55) against Liverpool (1.84). Albion have also shown they can spring surprises away from home, like that 2.12 draw at Atletico Torque on 2.123.756-06 with huge 5.75 odds attached. Liverpool have their own reminder that they can travel and bite: a 0-3 win at Peñarol on 2.12-03.750 at 5.4 odds. Still, the more immediate memory is Albion beating Liverpool 2-0 in a Copa de la Liga game on 2.126-01-13 — the kind of pre-season bruise that doesn’t vanish overnight.
The market gives Liverpool a cautious edge: Home win 3.75, Draw 3.35, Away win 2.12. That pricing reflects reputation and squad value, but also the reality that early-season football can be messy, especially with new managers and fresh lineups.
NerdyTips’ model isn’t expecting fireworks. The most profitable angle flagged is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.24) with a trust rating of 6.8/10. The separate under/over call agrees: Under 3.5 again, confidence 5.6, odds 1.24. The projected script is tight throughout: half-time score 0:0, and a final score 0:0.
How does that fit the story? Albion’s energy and pressing can make them awkward, but they’re also stepping up a level and may choose security first, especially with new defensive pieces like Rodrigo Rodríguez and Matías De los Santos in the mix. Liverpool, for all their talent and bigger budget, are still learning Speranza’s patterns — and with Rosso out, the safest route could be patience, not risk.
So, for anyone hunting simple betting tips, the Albion vs Liverpool M. prediction leans into a low-scoring opener: keep the goals modest, respect the head to head history, and don’t be shocked if the loudest moment is the final whistle rather than the net rippling.
Read More
Derby match
U3.5 -417
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -417X 235
The match is expected to end in a drawUnder 3.5 -417
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -108
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
|
|
1
-
2
-
1
|
|
 Liverpool M. |
13-Jan-26
0:2
| Albion  |
| Albion |
08-Aug-22
1:1
| Liverpool M. |
| Liverpool M. |
19-Jul-22
0:0
| Albion |
| Liverpool M. |
13-Feb-22
4:0
| Albion |
Recent Matches of Albion| 07 Mar |
Progreso
| - |
Albion
| - | |
| 28 Feb | L |
Albion
| 1 |
Racing M
| 3 |
| 21 Feb | D |
Boston River
| 0 |
Albion
| 0 |
| 16 Feb | W |
Albion
| 3 |
CA Cerro
| 0 |
| 06 Feb | L |
Albion
| 1 |
Liverpool M.
| 2 |
| 18 Jan | D |
Boston River
| 1 |
Albion
| 1 |
| 13 Jan | W |
Liverpool M.
| 0 |
Albion
| 2 |
| 26 Oct | D |
Albion
| 0 |
Central Esp.
| 0 |
| 19 Oct | L |
Tacuarembo
| 2 |
Albion
| 0 |
| 12 Oct | W |
Albion
| 4 |
Rentistas
| 1 |
Recent Matches of Liverpool M.
| 01 Mar | W | Liverpool M. |
2 |  Cerro Largo |
0 |
| 25 Feb | D |  Ind. Medellin |
0 | Liverpool M. |
0 |
| 20 Feb | D |  CA Cerro |
1 | Liverpool M. |
1 |
| 18 Feb | L | Liverpool M. |
1 | Ind. Medellin |
2 |
| 14 Feb | L | Liverpool M. |
1 |  Defensor Sp. |
2 |
| 06 Feb | W | Albion |
1 | Liverpool M. |
2 |
| 13 Jan | L | Liverpool M. |
0 | Albion |
2 |
| 16 Nov | L | Liverpool M. |
1 |  Penarol |
2 |
| 07 Nov | L | Cerro Largo |
2 | Liverpool M. |
0 |
| 01 Nov | L | Liverpool M. |
0 |  Juventud |
1 |
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo | 4 | 9-5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Central | 4 | 6-2 | 9 |
| 3 |
Club Nacional | 41 | 80-36 | 89 |
| 4 |
Penarol | 41 | 73-38 | 87 |
| 5 |
Liverpool | 41 | 57-41 | 72 |
| 6 |
Defensor | 41 | 46-41 | 68 |
| 7 |
Juventud | 41 | 48-45 | 62 |
| 8 |
Racing | 41 | 49-44 | 60 |
| 9 |
Boston River | 41 | 52-44 | 57 |
| 10 |
Atletico | 41 | 62-56 | 56 |
| 11 |
Cerro Largo | 41 | 43-46 | 52 |
| 12 |
Danubio | 41 | 46-47 | 50 |
| 13 |
Cerro | 41 | 35-48 | 49 |
| 14 |
Albion FC | 4 | 5-5 | 4 |
| 15 |
Progreso | 41 | 40-68 | 40 |
| 16 |
Wanderers | 41 | 29-53 | 38 |
